ETHUSD corrective pullback support at 4,170The ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,170 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,170 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,517 – initial resistance
4,606 – psychological and structural level
4,686 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,170 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4,000 – minor support
3,908 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,170. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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ETHUSD.P trade ideas
ETHUSD H4 | Bearish reversal signalEthereum (ETH/USD) has rejected off the sell entry at 4,628.98, whichis a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 4,851.84, whichis a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 4,226.60, whichis a pullback support.
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ETH Accumulates for Uptrend Above 5000ETH Technical Analysis
1. Current Market Structure
• ETH is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern.
• The price is trading around 4,487, holding above the moving averages but facing strong resistance ahead.
2. Key Resistance Levels
• 4,573 – 4,653 (Fib 0.618 – 0.786 zone): A critical resistance area where sellers may emerge.
• 4,754: Strong resistance level and neckline of the triangle.
• 5,040: Major target if the price breaks above the 4,754 resistance, aligning with the 1.618 Fib extension.
3. Key Support Levels
• 4,295 – 4,310 zone: Strong demand area and lower triangle support.
• A breakdown below this level could trigger deeper corrections.
4. Price Outlook
• Scenario 1: ETH may retest the 4,295 support zone before bouncing back towards the upper resistance at 4,754.
• Scenario 2: A confirmed breakout above 4,754 could accelerate bullish momentum towards 5,040.
👉 Conclusion: ETH remains bullish as long as it holds above the 4,295 support. Watch for a breakout at 4,754 to confirm continuation towards 5,040.
ETH/USD (1H timeframe, Coinbase):ETH/USD (1H timeframe, Coinbase):
Price has broken out above the descending trendline.
It has cleared the resistance zone around 4,365 – 4,380 (yellow box).
Ichimoku cloud is supportive of a bullish move i have already marked two "Target Points" on your chart.
📍 Targets shown on my chart:
1. First Target Zone: around 4,680 – 4,690
2. Second Target Zone: around 4,720 – 4,730
⚠ Notes:
Watch for a retest of the breakout zone (4,365 – 4,380) for confirmation.
If price fails to hold above 4,365, momentum may weaken.
ETHUSD, bullish short-term caseBullish case for ETHUSD.
This Elliott Wave count has price in wave (5) of ((3)) of iii.
Wave (4) retracing to 4 of lesser degree, .236 from (3) to (2).
Current price sitting at .5-.618 support, with volume profile point-of-control providing support at well.
If this proves correct, target wave (5) completion above 6500.
Analysis invalid below support of 4209.01.
ETH_my_idea_until_Novemberso this is my view on ETH, yes its the m30, as the refined zone for the Daily and H4
from here i believe we can slowly build that long hold into November
we might get some fake outs and some liqi grabs, as this Daily zone is fairly big;
Lets see what big news and ETF's drives it
ETH/USD Rebounds from Support, Eyes 4,767ETH/USD bounced from a protected low at 4,464, showing early signs of recovery. If price holds above support, a move toward the previous swing high at 4,767 is likely. The setup favors buyers as long as the protected low is not broken.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
$ETHUSD: A Breath in the Thin AirGreetings, fellow navigators of the chart.
We find ourselves observing BITSTAMP:ETHUSD in the high altitudes, a territory where the air is thin and the next step must be taken with intention. After a powerful ascent that shattered the old structural ceiling around $3,800, price now pauses. This is not a moment for prophecy, but for observation. This is the market's breath —the exhale after a mighty inhale. Our task is to listen to its rhythm.
The Technical Landscape
The primary trend, like a great river, still flows upwards, defined by the long-term ascending trendlines. The immediate question, however, concerns the former resistance near $3,800. Will this old ceiling now become the new floor? A structure's true strength is only revealed when it is tested. A retest and hold of this level would be a powerful statement of acceptance by the market, paving the way for the next phase of the ascent.
The Philosophy: Two Paths from the Summit
In trading, we do not force a direction; we merely align with the path of least resistance as it reveals itself. Both the bull and the bear are part of the same ecosystem.
The Bullish Path: The patient bull waits for price to return to the ~$3,800 zone. They watch for signs of accumulation, for the market to build a new foundation upon the rubble of old resistance. This is the path of trend continuation. To fight a confirmed hold here would be to play the role of the salmon , exhausting oneself against a powerful current.
The Bearish Path: The tactical bear understands that even the strongest climb requires rest. A deeper correction allows for the bears to be " fattening up for winter ," a necessary phase to gather energy for a sustainable move higher. A return to a stronger base isn't a sign of failure, but of a healthy, functioning market. It is simply one piece of a much larger puzzle .
An Illustrative Setup
To illustrate how one might approach the bearish hypothesis, consider the following structure. This is not a prediction, but a plan—a way to engage with the market with defined risk.
Hypothesis: Short-term exhaustion prompts a corrective move towards a prior area of high activity.
Entry: ~$4,590.33
Invalidation: A close above ~$4,800 signals the immediate trend is resuming, and the corrective thesis is wrong.
Objective: ~$2,854.61, an area of prior structural significance.
This setup provides a logical framework for testing the bearish thesis. If invalidated, we simply listen to what the market told us and move on. The process is the goal.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
The Bullish and Bearish Cases For ETH/USDOverview:
This idea contains both bullish and bearish cases for ETH/USD.
Bullish Case:
ETH/USD has formed a bullish pennant since April 8th. A strong break above the pennant's upper line indicates further upward momentum. The probability of success for a bullish pennant is roughly 54%.
Bullish Case Warning:
Although the bullish pennant is formed, there is a chance the price breaks below its bottom line, which would invalidate it. The bullish pennant is also accompanied by bearish RSI divergence, making a break of the bottom line more likely.
Bearish Case
Since December 17th, 2024, ETH/USD has formed a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern. The probability of success for a harmonic butterfly is roughly 75%. In addition to the butterfly, ETH/USD has short-term bearish divergence, further supporting point D as a turning point downward.
If the butterfly plays out, I would expect an initial drop to the 0.618 Fibonacci around $2750.
Bearish Case Warning
Given that there is a bullish pennant on the short term, I would wait until it is invalidated before taking a short position.
ETH Bulls Target $5,200 Next — Is $5,500 Around the Corner?ETH looks like it’s exiting a sideways/accumulation band and moving back into a bullish regime on the 4-hour chart. The structure recently shifted from range-bound to higher lows → higher highs, which is the first quality check for a sustainable push higher. The move is not yet a blow-off — it’s a controlled attempt to reclaim higher resistance.
On the chart I see three clean bands to treat differently:
• Near-term supply (resistance) sits just under ~$4,950 and extends to ~$5,200. Price has to clear and hold above this zone to confirm a larger breakout and give bulls runway to $5,500+.
• Immediate control / pivot is roughly the present area near $4,500–$4,550 (where buyers re-entered). This zone now acts as short-term support if price holds.
• Lower structural demand is near $4,220 (primary invalidation for this bullish thesis) and below that $3,940 is the deeper cushion where previous buyers stepped in strongly.
Price behavior to watch: a clean 4H close above $4,950 with follow-through opens the path to $5,200; failure there (rejection on heavy tails) turns the move into a “bull trap” and would require caution. Conversely, a breakdown and decisive 4H close below $4,220 invalidates the bullish plan and suggests revisiting lower structural supports.
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Level-by-level careful analysis (why each matters)
• $4,220 (primary support / invalidation) — multiple prior reactions here: a daily/4H close below this suggests sellers regained control and the bullish case fails. Use this as your hard invalidation.
• $4,500 – $4,550 (current control / entry zone) — recent buyers defended this band; it’s where new longs are being accumulated. A hold/clean bounce here is a good risk-controlled entry region.
• $4,950 (first major resistance) — the choke point. This is where supply historically clustered; a close above with volume / hourly follow-through confirms breakout. Partial profit-taking is logical here even if continuation follows.
• $5,200 (secondary resistance / breakout confirmation) — significant supply cluster; a sustained break here targets extension to $5,500+.
• $3,940 (deep support / liquidity pool) — if price collapses through $4,220 this is the next magnet where buyers likely re-appear.
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Numeric recap (all important numbers — copy/paste friendly)
• Current price area to watch: $4,500 – $4,550
• Hard invalidation (stop area): $4,220
• Short-term target / TP1: $4,950
• Breakout confirmation zone / TP2: $5,200
• Extended target / TP3: $5,500+
• Deeper demand if invalidated: $3,940
Estimated risk/reward (if entry ~$4,520 & SL $4,220):
• Risk = $300 (4,520 − 4,220)
• Reward to TP1 = $430 → R:R ≈ 1.43 : 1
• Reward to TP2 = $680 → R:R ≈ 2.27 : 1
• Reward to TP3 = $980 → R:R ≈ 3.27 : 1
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📈 Trade setup (bullets only)
• Entry: buy $4,500 – $4,550 (prefer a constructive 4H bounce inside this zone)
• Stop-loss: $4,220 (clean 4H close below = invalidation)
• Take Profit 1 (TP1): $4,950 → take 30–40% off
• Take Profit 2 (TP2): $5,200 → take another 30–40%; move remaining to breakeven
• Take Profit 3 (TP3): $5,500+ → leave a small runner, trail stop under 4H higher lows
• Trailing stop plan: after TP1, trail SL to breakeven; after TP2, trail SL under each successive 4H higher low or use 1.5× ATR(20,4H) for dynamic trailing
• Risk per trade: keep at 1–2% of account equity; size position so $300 risk equals your dollar risk cap
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Execution & risk notes (brief)
• Prefer confirmation: either a clean 4H bounce from $4,500–4,550 or a clean 4H close above $4,950 (for breakout entries).
• Expect whipsaws near $4,950; partials at TP1 reduce exposure to false breakouts.
• If macro events/US data are due, reduce size or wait for post-event clarity — ETH can gap around high-impact crypto or macro news.
• Re-evaluate if price closes below $4,220 on 4H — cut and re-plan.
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A Clear Bullish set up is getting ready in ETH ETH is showing a bullish setup after recent liquidity sweeps and reaction from the higher-timeframe demand zone.
🔑 Key Observations:
Price tapped into the Bullish Opposite Candle Order Block (4040–4100 zone) and reacted strongly.
A Liquidity Sweep & smart money is likely accumulating.
The Trap Bear OB around 4440–4480 acts as the first magnet for price.
If momentum continues, the next liquidity pool sits higher near 4690–4820, where multiple Bear OBs + IDM overlap.
📌 Trading Plan (Sniper Style):
Entry Zone: 4040–4100 (Bull OB)
Stop Loss: Below 4030 (invalidation)
Target 1: 4440–4480 (Trap OB)
Target 2: 4690–4820 (Major Supply / Bear OB cluster)
💡 Bias: Bullish as long as 4040 demand holds. A clean close below would invalidate the setup.
Entry Point: Sell at 4180 **Trade Setup**
Entry Point: Sell at 4180
Stop Loss: Set your stop loss just above the resistance level at approximately 4210 to minimize risk
Take Profit: Aim for a profit target around 4000, where previous support levels have formed.
**Timeframe**
This setup is ideal for short to medium-term traders. Monitor for changes in market sentiment.
**Conclusion**
As Ethereum approaches the 4180 level with bearish signals, this could present a selling opportunity. Be sure to manage your risk and adjust your strategy based on market developments.
Good luck and trade wisely!
ETH – Symmetrical Triangle Compression📆 On the 6H timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle 🛡️
This compression phase often precedes a sharp directional move — either a breakout to the upside or a breakdown if support gives way ⚡. Traders typically watch these setups closely as volatility tends to expand after the squeeze.
👀 Keep an eye on this structure — the next move could be significant.
Not financial advice.
Volume profile analysisI asked AI regarding this analysis:
In volume profile, let's say the bigger swing has the poc at higher price and lower swing has the poc at a lower price. this is 15 minute eth/usd. does price graviate towards higher volume or lower volume?
Response:
In volume profile analysis, price tends to gravitate toward areas of higher volume, specifically the Point of Control (POC), because these represent price levels where the most trading activity occurred, indicating balanced supply and demand or fair value. Lower volume areas often act as zones where price can move quickly through due to less interest or liquidity.
If a bigger swing has its POC at a higher price and a lower swing has its POC at a lower price on a 15-minute ETH/USD chart, price is generally more likely to be attracted to the higher volume areas (POCs) rather than low-volume areas. The POC acts as a magnet where buyers and sellers find equilibrium, and price may return to or consolidate near these high-volume nodes.
Thus, price generally gravitates toward higher volume levels (POC) as these signify price acceptance and fair value, while lower volume areas usually allow for faster price movements or rejections due to lower participation and interest
Ethereum Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091825Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 4551/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day