ETHUSD.P trade ideas
ETH Hits New All Time High! What's next for the altcoin market?ETH Breaks New All-Time High: What’s Next?
This cycle has largely been a Bitcoin-dominated one, with BTC carrying most of the bullish momentum. For a while, many traders started to lose hope in ETH and the broader altcoin market, thinking this time might really be different. The long-awaited altcoin season seemed like it would never arrive.
But then — ETH came back alive. It picked up momentum and finally smashed through to a new all-time high of $4,970!
And in reality, this was no surprise. Technically, ETH followed the same path it has always taken when viewed against the logarithmic regression band:
Historically, ETH always revisits this band before setting a new ATH — and this cycle was no different.
What Does This Mean for the Market?
When ETH breaks to new highs, the rest of the altcoin market usually follows — often within few weeks. This is one of the strongest signals that altcoin season is around the corner.
But before we get too excited, there’s a historical pattern worth noting. September has not been kind to ETH and BTC in post-election years. For example:
September 2017 → ETH dropped 38%
September 2021 → ETH dropped 35%
If history rhymes, we could see ETH retest the $4,000 level before another leg up, potentially setting a fresh ATH in October/November.
Why This Pattern Matters
Some might argue that relying on just two ETH data points isn’t enough. Fair point. But if we zoom out to BTC, the pattern becomes more convincing. Bitcoin has three post-election year September drops on record:
September 2013
September 2017
September 2021
With both ETH and BTC showing consistent weakness in these timeframes, history suggests we should expect a September pullback before the real fireworks begin.
ETH Forecast: The Bigger Picture
Ethereum hitting a new ATH is not just a milestone for ETH holders — it’s a signal for the entire crypto market. If history rhymes, we’ll likely see:
A short-term correction in September 2025.
A major rebound in October–November.
The start of altcoin season 2025, with capital flowing from ETH into mid- and small-cap coins.
This could make Q4 2025 one of the most profitable windows for altcoin investors.
Final Thoughts
ETH breaking its ATH is a huge milestone, not just for Ethereum itself but for the entire altcoin market. While a short-term correction in September seems likely, the bigger picture points to altcoin season heating up later this year.
Patience here could pay off massively.
ETH eyes on $4488: Proven Genesis Fib holding up new ATHETH has been consolidating near its highs.
Banging its head into a Genesis Fib at $4488,38
Break could be VIOLENT, rejection could be DOOM.
See "Related Publications" for previous charts that NAILED key levels.
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Eth to 4k!?Ethereum seems to be grinding through a corrective pullback, and the price action around 4K is shaping up to be the next major test. If this dip continues to unfold in a corrective fashion, the area of interest (AOI) and levels of interest (LOIs) shown on the chart are where I’ll be watching closely.
The wave count remains clean here. We’ve got confluence stacking around the 4K region, with support zones lining up against standard Fibonacci retracement levels. If price tags those areas while printing corrective structure, it keeps the bigger bullish roadmap intact.
On the upside, 4.5K is the level that keeps capping bulls. Ethereum’s failed attempts to break through highlight its strength as resistance. If price makes another push and finally clears that ceiling, I’d have to reassess whether I’ve leaned too bearish in this pullback. A decisive reclaim would show just how much momentum buyers have left in the tank.
Key Outlook:
4K region = next AOI for a corrective test
3,888 and 3,502 = deeper LOIs if selling pressure extends
4.5K break = potential shift back into aggressive bullish territory
For now, patience is key. If ETH prints corrective structure into these downside levels, the larger Elliott Wave framework still points toward a bullish continuation. But without a strong break above 4.5K, the market hasn’t proven the bulls are back in control....yet
Ethereum Peak Incoming!The above ETH chart highlights the historical relationship between Ethereum’s weekly RSI and major cycle peaks. The red sell zone (RSI above 80) has consistently marked high-risk areas where ETH price eventually topped out.
📜Historical Patterns
🔷 2017 Bull Run
- RSI reached 98 (extreme overbought).
- ETH price peaked soon after.
- A bearish divergence followed, where ETH made higher highs while RSI made lower highs — signaling exhaustion before the major correction.
🔷 2021 Bull Run
- RSI peaked at 92, lower than the 2017 cycle.
- ETH price again topped within this red sell zone.
-A clear bearish divergence formed as ETH pushed to new highs while RSI declined. This preceded the end of the cycle.
🔷 Current Cycle (2025)
-RSI is trending higher and approaching the 80+ sell zone once again.
- Based on the cycle-to-cycle decline (98 → 92 → projected 85), this run could see its RSI peak around 85.
- If ETH price enters the 80+ RSI zone while forming a bearish divergence, ETH could be trading in the $6K–$7K range.
- The projected timing for this peak is late Q4 2025 or early Q1 2026.
📉 Declining RSI Peaks Show Market Maturity
-Each bull run has shown a lower RSI peak compared to the last (2017: 98 → 2021: 92 → projected 2025: 85).
-This reflects ETH’s market maturity: price continues to grow, but volatility and overbought extremes decline cycle by cycle.
🐻 Bearish Divergence Watch
- After previous RSI peaks, ETH displayed a consistent bearish divergence:
Price → higher highs
RSI → lower highs
- This pattern has historically signaled weakening momentum before a macro top.
- We could see a similar divergence formation in the current cycle, marking a potential exhaustion phase.
🎯 Trading Implications
- RSI above 80 = high-risk sell zone.
- A projected RSI peak near 85 could align with ETH’s cycle high.
- ETH may trade in the $6K–$7K range if this setup plays out.\
- Expected peak timing: end of Q4 2025 or beginning of Q1 2026.
- Monitoring RSI and divergence signals will be key in spotting the top.
Conclusion: In 2017, ETH peaked with the RSI hitting 98, while in 2021 the RSI topped at 92. For the current 2025 cycle, the projected RSI peak is around 85. This consistent decline in RSI peaks across cycles highlights ETH’s market maturity, with reduced volatility as the asset grows. Historically, each major top has also been preceded by a bearish divergence, and a similar setup could form again. Traders should remain cautious as ETH approaches the red sell zone above 80 RSI.
Cheers
Hexa
CRYPTOCAP:ETH BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT
CRYPTO: ETHERIUM (H1)CRYPTO:ETHUSD
Wave Count:
- The larger impulse (labeled (1) → (5)) appears complete, with the top marked at wave (5).
- Current structure is unfolding as a corrective pattern following the top.
- Subwaves labeled (a) or (1), B, and C suggest that the market is now in a decisive corrective phase.
There are two potential corrective scenarios being tracked:
1. Expanded Flat / Running Flat correction.
2. Impulse move down unfolding as wave (3).
Targets:
Upside (retracement / correction before continuation):
- 4,400 – 4,600 USD (Expanded Flat target zone).
- 4,961.2 USD is marked as the Recent Count Invalidation level – any move above here would invalidate the current bearish count.
Downside (continuation of correction / start of larger wave (3)):
- 3,573.0 USD – first bearish target (wave (c) or (3)).
- 3,362.7 USD – extended bearish target if downside momentum accelerates.
We got the first profit! Next is 10k. Who's with me? ^_^
We got our perfect entry and reached our TP. Now that big institutions and whales are showing interest in BINANCE:ETHUSDT reaching 10k is more likely once the captial starts moving to ETH.
I too, with the experts have a similar view on ETH's future performance!
Not gonna list out things y'all already know. Feel free to drop your idea even if contradicting.
Good luck!
#BTC #ETH #bullrun #technicalanalysis #crypto #fundamentalanalysis #priceaction
ETHUSD - ATH An idea showing a curved resistance trend line that I think could be hit as a high for price
this would put price at nearly 10K which is crazy
I suspect the white line is support due to previous breakthrough and it no longer being resistance as before.
Aim for the dotted line up.
Daily chart
ETHUSD 4Hr - Strong Horizontal SupportETH has been hodling this horizontal support line quite well with one recent dip then sudden recovery below it
This drop below can be shown with a trend line with dotted line
I think price will hodl the horizontal and break out as predicted by the two prior breakouts along this line.
Okay, here is a brief analysis of Ethereum (ETH), approximately Okay, here is a brief analysis of Ethereum (ETH), approximately 330 words.
**Fundamental Analysis:**
Ethereum, as the world's leading smart contract platform, derives its core value from its vast ecosystem of decentralized applications (dApps), encompassing DeFi, NFTs, GameFi, and numerous other sectors. Its transition to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) via The Merge significantly reduced energy consumption and introduced a deflationary mechanism (through EIP-1559 fee burning), which is theoretically bullish long-term. Key bullish drivers include its narrative as a "digital bond" (generating yield through staking), ongoing ecological innovation (such as Layer 2 scaling solutions), and the potential approval of spot ETFs. However, its primary risks include high Gas fees during network congestion, challenges from other competitive Layer 1 blockchains (like Solana), and regulatory uncertainty.
**Technical Analysis:**
ETH's price is highly correlated with Bitcoin's but typically exhibits greater volatility. Its price action is heavily influenced by overall crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin's movements, and its own network activity (such as NFT minting booms). Key technical levels to watch involve its ability to break through or defend crucial psychological price points (e.g., $2,000, $3,000) and hold long-term trendline support. Trading volume and on-chain activity metrics (like Total Value Locked - TVL, active addresses) are vital indicators for gauging its momentum strength.
**Summary and Outlook:**
Ethereum is more than just a currency; it is fundamental infrastructure for the digital economy. Its long-term value hinges on the growth of its ecosystem, the successful implementation of network upgrades (e.g., future sharding), and its ability to maintain its moat as the premier platform for dApps. Short-term prices are significantly affected by market beta (correlation) and news flow. Investors must weigh its technological leadership against intense competition and be aware of its high-risk nature.
***
*Disclaimer: The above content is market analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are extremely high risk; please make decisions cautiously.*
ETHUSD – Weekend Short Setup Towards 4,050Ethereum is struggling to reclaim 4,400 and continues to get rejected at the moving averages. Structure remains heavy with lower highs forming, and the recent bounce looks corrective rather than impulsive.
The short bias holds as long as price stays below 4,398–4,400. Clean entry confirmation at current levels (≈4,303) with risk capped just above the recent rejection.
Entry: 4,303
Stop Loss: 4,399
Take Profit 1: 4,156
Take Profit 2: 4,050
I’m splitting into 3×0.33 ETH positions:
• First scale out near 4,156,
• Letting the rest ride to 4,050 if momentum continues.
Risk/reward is favorable, and invalidation is clear. A reclaim and close above 4,400 would flip this setup invalid.
Eth's next leg up, following Bitcoin's 2020 exampleThis is an attempt to zoom out over very big time-frames and consider how Eth could enter a new super-cycle and ATH.
The assumption is that Ethereum will follow a similar path Bitcoin did in 2020, where the price similarly broke out of a multi-year descending resistance line formed from that supercycle's ATH, carving out a logarithmic bull channel to the next supercycle's ATH.
Several key differences exist. For instance, Eth's current multi-year descending resistance is longer than Bitcoin's was at the time. Furthermore, Bitcoin's initial breakout of that resistance did not coincide with the formation of a new ATH, as we have already done with Ethereum.
In this chart, we assume that the April Bull channel represents this leg up to the next supercycle ATH. We would expect 2021 resistance to get tapped, possibly at the same time as the log bull channel's bottom support line is tapped.
ETHUSD ShortEthereum recently made a Change of Character (CHoCH) at $4,489, shifting the intraday structure from bullish to bearish. After that shift, price broke lower and confirmed weakness with a Break of Structure (BOS) at $4,215, which suggests sellers have taken control. This BOS indicates that short-term continuation to the downside is likely unless buyers reclaim key resistance levels.
Supply & Demand Zones
The supply zone between $4,445–$4,480 is strong—price reacted here with sharp rejection and a strong selloff, showing that sellers are defending this area aggressively. Another smaller supply zone sits around $4,390–$4,410, where a quick pause before continuation down took place, making it weaker but still valid for short-term reactions. On the demand side, the area around $4,170–$4,230 has historical buying interest, and with price previously bouncing from it, this remains the key downside target. Buyers stepped in there with strength before, but repeated testing could weaken it.
Price Action in the Marked Region
Currently, price is trading near $4,310 after a sharp drop from the $4,445 supply zone. The marked projection suggests a pullback into the $4,357–$4,370 midrange (0.5 retracement) before another leg lower. If sellers hold this retracement and push back down, the next move should target the $4,215 BOS level and extend toward the deeper demand zone near $4,180–$4,200.
Trade Bias & Outlook
The current trade bias is bearish. The expected direction is a short-term rally into supply, followed by continuation down.
Invalidation level: A sustained break and 15m close above $4,410 would negate the bearish view and re-open the path to retest $4,445–$4,480.
Momentum & Candle Behavior
Momentum currently favors sellers—downward moves are impulsive with large-bodied candles, while upward retracements are corrective and smaller. Recent candles show rejection at supply, confirming bearish intent. Unless strong bullish candles appear through resistance, momentum remains with sellers.
ETH/USD: Could $5,000 Be Just Around the Corner?Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading at $4,285, experiencing a slight decline from the previous close. Intraday, it reached a high of $4,474 and a low of $4,261. The $4,300–$4,400 range has been acting as a key support zone, and a breach below this could see ETH testing the $4,000 level, with the 50-day EMA providing additional support. Immediate resistance is observed around $4,530, and a successful breakout above this level could pave the way for a move towards $5,000.
Market sentiment shows the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching overbought territory, indicating potential for a short-term pullback. Significant institutional accumulation continues, with firms like BlackRock increasing their ETH holdings. The approval of Ethereum ETFs in the U.S. and Australia has led to increased investor participation, contributing to upward price pressure.
Short-term volatility is expected as ETH tests these key support and resistance levels. A breakout above $4,530 could signal a bullish continuation towards $5,000, while a drop below $4,000 may lead to further downside. Long-term prospects remain positive, supported by growing institutional interest and favorable market conditions.
ETHUSD BUY 4350ETHUSD Long Setup – Eyeing Momentum Above 4350
📌 Entry: 4350
🛡️ Stop Loss: (Set based on your risk tolerance, e.g., below recent support)
🎯 Target: (Optional – define based on resistance zones or fib levels)
Ethereum is showing signs of strength after consolidating near a key support level. A clean break above 4350 signals bullish intent, supported by improving volume and short-term trend alignment. This setup favors momentum traders looking to capitalize on a potential leg up toward the next resistance zone.
Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes and monitor BTC correlation for added confluence. Ideal for intraday or swing entries depending on volatility.
#ETHUSD #CryptoTrading #Ethereum #BreakoutSetup #BullishBias #MomentumTrade #TradingViewIdeas
Want me to tailor this for meme-style engagement or algo-friendly tagging? I can remix it in seconds.
$ETH 1H candle showing pure range-bound action. CRYPTOCAP:ETH 1H candle showing pure range-bound action.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH 1H candle is showing pure range-bound action, with price steadily bouncing between support and resistance levels. This type of consolidation signals that buyers and sellers are in balance, and the next breakout could set the direction for the upcoming move. 🚀📉