AEX : (false) outbreak : look correlation RSI/MA50 !Hi everyone, A new analysis, it is not an easy one. Last week we were in the sideways motion but this will not last. This morning there was an outbreak upwards, the disadvantage is that this happened with an open gap (price area), this can still be closed (476) this makes the outbreak difficult to predict, under 476 the outbreak is false and there can be big drop. I want to turn to the correlation RSI / MA50: see that the tops of the RSI coincided with the resistor 482 (red arrows) on the other hand, the MA50 together with the RSI provided support (green arrows) The outbreak can be confirmed by the breakthrough due to the falling resistance line (see blue arrow), which should now provide support! If this is possible then we have a first target at 510 and overshoot cannot be ruled out because of the previously created gap 530 that can be closed! Here's looking for a lower term top, but we're not there yet. So for the next few hours, you should focus on the RSI! Again, when a short position is taken into account a stop loss above 530! short overview: - gap at 476 -> can still be closed - MA50 / RSI should provide support - first target 510, overshoot 530 - under 476 chance of a big drop Regards, TTby TA-VisionUpdated 9910
AEX rejected! Support at the green zoneBull (short term) when we break the 483 zone. First support at 450-455Shortby NLMarco3
AEX short ideaFundamental: expectation of prolonging corona virus meassures by the dutch goverment, announcement after market. These meassures would result in lower opening of AEX on 1/4/2020? Technical: strong resistance at the 0.382 Fibonachi retracement This resistance is a historical support of dec 2018 (bottom of last bull cycle)Shortby NielsGijsen4
AEX : sideways 452 - 482, look for outbreak next weekHi everyone, I get many questions about what is going to happen now, it is important to know that there is now a sideways movement going on between say 482 and 452. I now have to wait for an outbreak before I take a longer term position again (because I am not a day-trader). In the hour chart there is a double top at 482, at the bottom the MA50 (orange line) has to be broken and the RSI in bear-market range (below 50) before we can speak of a clear short signal. If the MA50 does provide support, a new attack can take place on 482, an overshoot to 530 is then equally possible since there is still a gap open which can be closed, but we are not yet there. When you have a short position take into account a large stop loss above 530. So now neutral, wait for a further signal;) Regards, TTby TA-VisionUpdated 18187
AEX going down....Bounced back and kept below 20+year trend line and 340 MA(30 minutes). Expect it to drop on Monday.Shortby svengijsen228
AEX still has lots of room to go downWe haven't seen the worst yet. As new numbers from authorities come out, scenario seems to be getting more and more bearish. One of the most important levels is around 385 points, which we will probably test soon. After that there is a big drop down. If we compare to previous drops it isn't strange to think we can go as low as -60%. Shortby sebapao6
AEX 485-500 Short Opportunity2001: AEX broke the 4 year positive trendline and from that moment dropped 57% in the following 105 weeks. After breaking that trendline the price recovered until slightly above the initial break point. From there the real downward rally continued. In hindsight this point of recovery would have been an excellent short opportunity. 2008: AEX broke the 5 year positive trendline and from that moment dropped 57% in the following 61 weeks. After breaking that trendline the price recovered until slightly above the initial break point again (just like in 2001). From there the real downward rally continued again (just like in 2001). In hindsight this point of recovery would have been an excellent short opportunity again (just like in 2001). 2020: AEX broke the 11 year positive trendline, a similar thing that happened in 2001 and 2008. The price dropped sharply but is now recovering slightly. If the price recovers the next few weeks to 485-500 this would give a similar short opportunity as we have seen in 2001 and 2008. Let me know your thoughts :) PS: a more or less similar opportunity can be spotted when looking at S&P500 and DJ30.Shortby baasix449
AEX : bounce back target 462 - 482Hi everyone, From now on, I will discuss for the shorter term in the coming period to be able to do some driving. We see that after a consolidation (rectangle) there is now an outbreak for what to recover towards the outstanding gap around 482, this seems to be the maximum that can be achieved in the downward trend. This would also test the previously broken long-term support line. See that we are also back in the declining channel which will provide the direction for the coming weeks. 1. Continuation pattern rectangle: target 462 2. Back-test broken long-term support line / closing gap: 482 3. MA50: bullish I explicitly state that there is still no long-term bottom and that we are recovering within the downturn! Regards, TTLongby TA-VisionUpdated 141410
Pushed sideways till recktoning then dump itThe crystal ball tells of a time of stability lasting until the new recktoning after which it dumps with the force of a thousand Gannets. It has been written...by NostraMitchus5
Crucial time for AEX - Tech. Anal.Clearly a crucial time if we look at tech. anal. Whatever is gonna happen is importantby NostraMitchus116
UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial recession is a fact!"UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial recession is a fact! Depression is coming!" Feb 19 UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial markets will goes into years of recession!" Financial market is going to prepare itself for a long-term downward movement. Some financial experts will call this an economic depression the coming period! Mar 02 Trade active: #IEX #AEX #coronavirus is being misused by the financial market to justify correction that has long been established! It will take approximately 10 years for the financial market reach the bottom. Shortby XenoxCapitalUpdated 10
AEXINDEX ABC BOTTOM PREDICTIONI think its an simple abc move down thats extended to the 2.618. Also good support at the price fibonacci giving me.Shortby Bignibba14883
How deep do we go? Breaking this 10-year old channel, compared to the previous two break-outs we had it looks we have plenty room to go down. by CryptoTetTeddy6
AEX : bloody monday 3.0 (temporary) bottom in sight 380Hi everyone, After the breakthrough of the long-term support line, sales have accelerated, the M-pattern had a price target around 380, which has almost been reached, and a temporary upturn is expected here. If you invest for the longer term do not yet board! . The markets are heavily oversold, there is no long-term bottom yet! An upswing should be seen as a correction within the downward trend Support : 380 Resistance : 430 / 460 /478 Good luck traders! and take care of one another. Regards, TTby TA-Vision6
2020 End of AEX BullrunNo '100% proof' analysis, my personal idea of the future of the chart. ATH has been hit and is still funnelling. Personally not thinking of a much higher hit in the future of 2020. Complete random analysis with personal view of interpretation. Comment with your own view on the market or this chart, no harm in a disagreement.by BenjaminGreversUpdated 119
AEX : Bloody monday 2.0 : Reanimation Hello everyone, After the bloody Monday of 2 weeks ago, there was another one yesterday with an even greater calliber, partly caused by the viruses. In the meantime, we have arrived at the bottom of the long-term trend channel, it is important in the coming period whether it can hold, if not there will be an even greater fall. There is still a gap (skipped course) open around 530 , I expect this to be closed at the next recovery. I would just like to point to the larger picture with the formation of an M-pattern, this is top pattern when this is rounded off, this gives a course target the size of its size downwards. The dividing line is around 472 . If it breaks then there is a target of around 377 ! To keep in mind ! Support: 485/472 Resistance: 530 Good luck traders! TTby TA-Vision8