0HFB (London) - BIG pullback after a BIG run.With all the stocks getting belted at the moment I thought I'd have a look to see if anything might have perhaps been caught up in the hysteria and perhaps oversold - so with this one definitely buyer beware.
Amphenol Corporation has been a standout performer over the last year, putting up gains of nearly 87% even after the recent 30% dump. They are a massive global player in the electronic connector and sensor market. If you look at the infrastructure behind the AI and data centre boom , these guys are right in the middle of it. The trend has been incredibly strong and consistent until this most recent move.
Its 5 year looks great:
The recent drop looks like a classic sell the news reaction. They actually beat their Q4 earnings expectations, but the stock had already run so hard that investors likely used the report to lock in profits. The valuation had stretched to a P/E over 43x , which is well above its historical average. Combined with some broader tech sector weakness and news of a leadership transition , the market decided it was time for a valuation reset .
Its revenue chart is strong too:
Looking at the chart, the pullback has been aggressive, falling about 28% from the recent peak. This move has sliced through the 50 and 100-day SMAs , which is a significant change in character. However, it has also pushed the stock into a much better value area . The RSI is now deep in oversold territory below 30 , and while the MACD remains negative, the selling pressure usually starts to exhaust itself after a vertical drop like this.
Might be one to keep an eye on.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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In-depth trading ideas
Amphenol has been a Momentum Powerhouse with a Strong UptrendAmphenol Corporation designs and builds high-performance connectors, cables, and interconnect systems for everything from communications and aerospace to automotive and industrial applications. Its products enable reliable, high-speed connectivity in demanding environments, and the company continues to expand through R&D and acquisitions that strengthen its global footprint.
Amphenol has been a standout momentum performer, up around 100% over the past year and 57% in the last six months. The trend is clean and sustained, with price holding well above both the 50-day and 100-day EMAs. RSI around 59 suggests mild consolidation after a strong run, and volume has eased slightly, hinting at a short-term pause rather than weakness. Backed by 53% revenue growth and a large-cap foundation and with a recent pullback to the 50-day SMA followed by a resumption of trend, this remains a quality trend stock worth watching for continuation setups after minor pullbacks.
Might be worth a look.
APH - High-Conviction Swing Long (Strong Growth + Momentum)🎯 Ticker: APH (NYSE)
📈 Type: Swing Long
⏰ Timeframe: Daily & 4H
📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis:
Multi-Timeframe Trend: BULLISH (Daily & 4H) ✅
Momentum Signal: STRONG CONNORS RSI2 BUY (3 consecutive daily signals)
Key Level: Breaking above $135 resistance with momentum
Market Position: Leader in electronic connectors with strong institutional support
💡 Trading Thesis:
APH presents a powerful growth + momentum combination:
EXCEPTIONAL FUNDAMENTAL GROWTH:
Revenue Growth: +21.2% ($15.22B → $12.55B)
Earnings Growth: +25.7% ($2.42B → $1.93B)
Strong Growth rating in both categories
RARE MOMENTUM CONFIRMATION:
3 consecutive Connors RSI2 Buy signals indicate sustained bullish momentum
This pattern typically precedes significant moves in growth stocks
SECTOR LEADERSHIP:
Critical supplier across tech, auto, and industrial sectors
Benefiting from global electronic component demand
Consistent market share gains
⚡ Trading Plan:
🎯 Entry: $135.73 (Breakout above key resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss: $119.00 (Below major support and 200-day MA)
💰 Profit Target: $169.40 (Measured move to all-time highs)
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.0 (Excellent for growth stock swing trade)
📉 Risk Management Notes:
Stop loss placed below major support at $120-122 zone
Wide stop accounts for normal growth stock volatility
Consider partial profit taking at $155-160 area
Position size appropriately for 2-3% maximum portfolio risk
Monitor tech sector sentiment for broader market moves
🚀 Growth Catalysts:
5G infrastructure expansion
Automotive electronics transformation
Industrial IoT adoption
Aerospace & defense electronics demand
Conclusion: APH offers a high-conviction long setup with exceptional fundamental growth confirmed by strong momentum signals. The breakout above $135 opens path to all-time highs with favorable risk-reward dynamics.
Trade the growth, manage the risk!
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately. Growth stocks carry higher volatility.
#APH #SwingTrading #Long #GrowthStocks #ConnorsRSI2 #Electronics #TechnicalAnalysis
APH Amphenol Corporation 1 week potterboxAPH Amphenol Corporation 1 week potterbox. This is one I had a position in and still do actually . because it hasnt broken down below the 100 day MA. It is going down and it could possibly get to the floor $58.79 and bounce. I buy plenty of time on my contracts just for these hiccups. if it does start to get below the 100- and 200-day MA Then I will be watching it more closely. I think it will bounce and return to the original plan of going up. lol Just my opinion. Right now it's at $62.99 ish . It's one I am watching pretty close. once it starts to get around $66.07 ish Thats the 50 percent line or cost basis. Also its going down for the third time thats why i believe it will bounce. the laws of the threes are always in play. It's a pattern I use to predict candles and moves. all of this is just my opinion. Happy trading
APH - Earnings Pump As Indexes Look WeakHas had a big earnings pop back to the top, but there is lots of bearish div through the area and indexes look bearish.
So this might be a shakeout and an opportunity to get the value high from the short side.
Its risky to short just after earnings but this could pay off.
I am short here.
Not advice
Amphenol Corp - Possible 25% Upside?Not a well known company Amphenol Corp producing fibre-optic products which has surprised market expectations in the last earnings report and may have a good upside for short term investors before global correction.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years
Profit margin - is at circa 14.6%
P/E - a little overpriced at 25x
Liabilities - no problems there
Technically:
Following the correction of 2020 which has completed the Expanding triangle, a new 5 wave impulse was developing
Waves 1-4 however have formed already with the last one as a Running Flat
And it's time for the last impulse or diagonal to follow
The target is likely is to update the current high of $88.33 which can make a healthy 25% in a short term
What do you think about Amphenol Corp , is it able to make the final push for the historic highs?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
APH 1M Coffee BreakTEST
No count in between macro target. Trade at your own risk. Long position for years ahead is looking like good growth stock.
Amphenol Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of electrical, electronic and fiber optic connectors interconnect systems, antennas, sensors and sensor-based products, and coaxial and high-speed specialty cable. It operates through the Interconnect Products and Assemblies; and Cables Products and Solutions segments. The Interconnect Products and Assemblies segment comprises connector and connector systems, value-add products, and other products such as antennas and sensors, used in a applications in a diverse set of end markets. The Cable Products and Solutions segment includes value-add products and components for use in the broadband communications and information technology markets as well as certain applications in other markets. The company was founded by Schmitt J. Arthur in 1932 and is headquartered in Wallingford, CT.
APH broke out with volume, can it hold?APH broke out from resistance with volume on Friday July 2nd. The question now is, can it hold.
On Friday, APH gaped up with volume and closed above the 4 month resistance that was forming around the $69.10 area. Not only has APH broken out of resistance, it has also broken out of this ascending triangle.
Making new all-time-highs, breaking out of a long consolidation period with buying power demonstrates that APH is poised to move higher.
I do, however, think that it'll consolidate at this level for a day or two before moving higher.
Final Thoughts:
Making new all-time-highs
Broke out of a 4 month resistance
Steady up-trend looking at the weekly or even monthly charts
Great long term hold as it also pays dividends
Look for buying opportunities around the $69.10 to $69.40 area






















