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Steel Rebar Futures (Oct 2022)

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RBV2022 trade ideas

iron buddha.The price of red dirt is ready to break down. even with the debasement of the USD, the price of this commodity has failed to increase. This colony of the empire (terra nullus) has done well from the plentiful red dirt. A countries wealth is from its resources . African countries have always been exploited for this. China's demand for red dirt might be on the decline. Maybe a world war might cause this price to spike as more steel is required to make tanks but then tanks are expensive and easy targets for $500 drones.
COMEX:TIO1!Short
by RogueCleaner
Long SteelWhen the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, it tends to diminish the appeal of fixed-income assets due to lower yields, prompting investors to seek higher returns elsewhere. This shift often leads to increased investment in commodities, including steel, as they offer a hedge against inflation and potential for speculative gains in a low-rate environment. For someone bullish on steel, a Fed announcement to cut rates could be particularly favorable, as it not only decreases the attractiveness of bonds and similar investments but also potentially weakens the dollar, making commodities priced in USD more attractive to foreign investors. This scenario can drive up the price of steel, benefiting investors who anticipated the move and positioned themselves in the market accordingly. The broader economic stimulation from lower rates, while encouraging spending and investment, also raises inflation concerns, further bolstering the case for investing in tangible assets like steel that can serve as a hedge against the eroding value of currency. Looking for a 20% gain +. We have started to see Mill pricing start shifting upward after a series of decreases.
COMEX:HRC1!Long
by Smart_Money_Cpyder
Iron Ore Futures ~ Snapshot TA / Coiling like a Steel RollIron Ore Futures coiling like a steel roll in a series of Lower Highs & Higher Lows since October 2022. Break above 116.60 = Bullish momentum towards 134.85 (38.2% Fib Retracement) Break below 99.40 = Bearish momentum towards 77.60 (78.6% Fib Extension) Seasonality typically favours the Bulls running strong into end of year - we'll see if it still rings true this year, given China's current economic woes.. Boost/Follow appreciated. Futures: SGX:FEF1! SGX:FEF2! COMEX:TIO1! COMEX:TIO2! ASX: ASX:BHP ASX:RIO ASX:FMG ASX:MIN ASX:CIA NYSE: NYSE:VALE
SGX:FEF2!Long
by BlueHatInvestor
Iron ore hits record-low as demand drops By the end of 2022, the price of iron ore is expected to hit their lowest level in three or four years as global demand for the commodity continues to slow down, particularly from China, the world's largest consumer of iron ore. In recent years, China has been cutting down its iron ore demand especially after the government placed restrictions on the industry to reduce carbon emissions. In 2021, the country's iron ore import fell to 1.12 billion tons from 1.17 billion tons in the prior-year period. Expectations for 2022 from the production side are no better with Australia, the world's biggest exporter of iron ore, projecting a 0.6% drop in global steel output to 1.947 billion tons. "Combined with growing global recessionary fears, new COVID-19 outbreaks and weakness in China's housing sector have dampened world steel and iron ore demand in recent months," the Australian government said in its October quarterly report. A Reuters survey in October showed that prices are expected within the $90/ton to $115/ton range by the end of the year. MetalMiner data shows the price in early 2022 were at $160.30/ton at the beginning of Russia's war against Ukraine. The decline comes despite forecasts of growth in the demand for iron ore through to 2026. The global market for iron ore is estimated to reach 2.7 billion metric tons, while production is expected to reach 3.17 billion metric tons. Until definite signs of recovery are observed, maybe it is best to err on the side of caution regarding iron ore prices, especially considering the threats of a recession in Europe and the persisting problems in China's property sector, which could heavily impact on the demand for the key steelmaking ingredient.
SGX:FEF1!
by BlackBull_Markets
BHP Group to explore new territory of $53 per share?This week is one of the busiest for the Australian Securities Exchange, with many of its biggest names delivering their respective earning reports. Among those reporting is the country’s largest mining company, BHP Group (ASX: BHP). BHP are expected to deliver their FY2022 results on 16 August 2022. In addition to BHP’s results, the miner announced an AU $8.4 billion to acquire OZ Minerals (ASX: OZL) last week. As OZ Minerals have already rejected the take-over offer, additional rounds of bids will likely follow over the next week or two. The monthly chart indicates that BHP is currently in a bullish trend and has tested a key resistance just above $48 a share twice in the past month and a half. BHP is currently trading inside a parallel channel, and it looks like it might be about to bounce from the support, in confluence with the 50-DMA. Fibonacci extension levels indicate that the price might reach an all-time high of $53, if bullish fundamentals continue. From the perspective of the daily time frame, BHP looks a little more vulnerable with the suppression of Iron Ore prices, one of its primary exports. It was only last month that the mineral rebounded from a multi-month low, from $101 USD/T to $110 USD/T but is still contending with the dark clouds hanging over the Chinese construction sector. However, Iron Ore is mor eon the side of oversold rather than overbought according to the RSI indicator.
SGX:FEF1!
by BlackBull_Markets
Iron Commodity SingaporeSun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series Focus: Worldwide By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures | USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision. #debadipb #profitsolutions
SGX:FEF1!
by Sunstorminvest
Iron ore miners to Bull hard Hey guys, Good time to load up on iron ore miners who have been sold off recently but i dont see prices falling below that major long term support line it has bounced off. This chart is part of my thesis on the Inflation cycle to calm down over the next few months but as commodities like iron ore, copper, Oil etc start to bull again as people still have cash at hand to deploy as prices come back down. The Bullwhip effect has certainly started with retailers increasing stock by +25% while sales Revenue only increases by 3% something that confirms prices have started to fall but Major support being hit here and in other commodity showing people are back to buying and the commodities will lead the way back up starting the next wave of inflation that will hit a higher peak then current levels.
SGX:FEF1!Long
by jackwheeler