We are busting that trendline to the downside. VPOC on the weekly is at the top. We are now below the monthly VPOC. The amount of bagholding on this is going to be almost incomprehensiible.
www.shuswaphomes.com
The excesses of the past 8+ years have driven RE prices to very high levels. Simple price channels and Standard Deviation channels suggest the unwinding of this bubble may see Real Estate price levels collapse -25% to -30% or more over the next 12+ months.
The US Fed, in an effort to combat inflation, will likely raise rates again - pushing sellers even further...
Technical Tuesday:
Technical reasons to be short Canadian REITs (XRE):
Mid Term (Trend):
- Median Line with 80% chance to return to median line, once re-enters channel (Andrews)
- Rising Wedge
Short Term (Trade):
- Exhaustion Gap (x2)
- Double Top
- Dark Cloud Cover
Speculated movement within John Hill-Gann.
Elliot Wave Projection forecasted.
GLHF
- DPT
The ETF holds Real Estate Investment Trusts. These leveraged vehicles will soon be strapped for cash as tenants refuse (or cannot) to pay rents, but mortgage holders and bank lenders will continue to demand payment. It is increasingly likely that some distributions will have to be cut which will make prices of the trading units suffer.
#Canadian real estate is finished.
The top is in for Canadian real estate as it has tested the top of 2007 multiple times and now is in a decline.
#Canada #debt