NAS100 | US100 (Nasdaq 4H) – Technical OutlookUS100 (Nasdaq 4H) – Technical Outlook
📊 Market Structure:
Price has recently formed a weak high around 26,200, rejecting from a premium / supply zone, signaling potential short-term bearish pressure.
The previous upward structure showed a BOS (Break of Structure) near 25,000, confirming bullish intent earlier — but now momentum is slowing as price returns below the PDH (Previous Day High).
The current 4H candles show strong bearish reaction, indicating sellers defending the premium zone.
📉 Key Levels:
Supply Zone (Premium Area): 26,000 – 26,200
Equilibrium Zone: Around 24,800 – 25,000
Immediate Support: 25,800 (current PD level)
Weekly Pivot (PW): 25,400 (potential short-term target)
📈 EMA Confluence:
Price has rejected from above the 89 EMA (blue) and is now testing below it.
The 200 EMA (yellow) continues to trend upward, showing long-term bullish momentum, but the shorter EMAs suggest a short-term pullback.
As long as price stays below 89 EMA, bias remains bearish to neutral in the near term.
🎯 Trade Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Short-Term Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: 25,950 – 26,100 (retest of premium area or EMA rejection)
Take Profit: 25,400 (PW)
Stop Loss: Above 26,250
Confluence: Supply zone + weak high + bearish EMA alignment
Scenario 2 – Bullish Continuation (after retracement):
Wait for price to retrace to the equilibrium zone (24,800–25,000)
Look for bullish reaction with confirmation from Stochastic RSI divergence
Target: Return to 26,000
📊 Indicators Insight:
Stochastic RSI: Currently dropping from overbought territory, indicating possible continuation of short-term downside.
Momentum slowing — ideal for short retracement trades before potential reversal.
Summary:
US100 is rejecting from premium resistance near 26,200.
Short-term bias: bearish retracement toward 25,400 or deeper 25,000 equilibrium zone.
Long-term bias remains bullish, supported by 200 EMA structure — watch for confirmation before re-entry buys.
