SPX 6600 Target HitHello Traders, Well I expected a retrace by now but this market keeps powering higher. Well it finally hit the target many were talking about 6600 . It hit that number the other day on the ES as well. Its the 1.618 fib and the first resistance level and RSI is well overbought. Also we have a rate cut for Wednesday so a drop Monday and Tuesday before the rate cut on Wednesday powers the market and crypto higher makes sense. I don't think we are gonna get that big retrace I kind of expected yet. after we hit these targets we probably head up towards the dreaded 6666. See ya there!
US500.F trade ideas
"When the move is tiring." "Moves in the tiring stage will try to have the best chance for clearing debt and freaking out the market with high prices. The first move of this stage will go with fewer candles but high movement in price by itself. The second is opposite—its strength is weak, but its effort is strong (more candles)."
Let me know if you want to expand this into a trading strategy or a visual example. It's got a poetic rhythm to it—almost like market philosophy.
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"Superiority zone will break in the chance of wonderful news, but only for a while. There should not be any trade—market needs to absorb the new price."
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"Pressure zone free is no longer a trade with real money. It's a controlled move to break the new price for the sake of the news and shift into a political view."
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"Free range is the zone that will hold the price strongly below or above it."
SPX500 (15m) | VolanX Protocol Analysis📊 SPX500 (15m) | VolanX Protocol Analysis
The index is pressing into the 6,617 zone, showing exhaustion at key Fib extensions.
Our VolanX model outlines two possible paths:
1️⃣ A corrective retracement toward 6,450 support before momentum rebuilds.
2️⃣ A continuation breakout, with upside targets at 6,689 and potentially 6,799.
⚖️ Bias: Neutral-to-bullish short-term, with risk of a healthy pullback before continuation.
🧠 VolanX Protocol continues monitoring momentum shifts, liquidity sweeps, and volatility clusters for adaptive trade execution.
🔗 #VolanXProtocol #WaverVanir #SPX500 #TradingAI #MarketIntelligence
US500 In strong bullish momentumFundamentals
The US500 remains supported by resilient earnings and the prospect of Federal Reserve easing, yet it faces notable vulnerabilities. While softer jobs growth and weakening leading indicators strengthen the case for upcoming rate cuts, a short term tailwind for equities, they also highlight the economy’s underlying fragility.
At the same time, elevated valuations and heavy market concentration in a handful of mega-cap leaders leave the index exposed to sharper corrections should sentiment shift.
For traders, monitoring sector rotation, earnings revisions, and macroeconomic signals will be critical to navigating opportunities while managing downside risks.
Technicals
US500 price action reveals a strong bullish trend, supported by momentum indicators and consistent uptrends, though signs of overbought conditions suggest a potential for short term pullbacks.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 6,545 is a key technical support zone; below this, 6,505 is a significant psychological and trend support zone.
Immediate Resistance: 6,630 is the nearest overhead ceiling, followed by 6,690.
Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
S&P500 Historical Price Highs vs. Inflation-Adjusted Highs Nominal Price Definition (most used in history books & Wall Street research)
Inflation-Adjusted Definition (shown in your chart)
If you bought the 1929 top, you weren’t truly back to even (after inflation) until 1958.
Same with the 1968 top — real break-even wasn’t until the early ’90s.
Same with the 2000 top — real break-even was ~2016.
This method shows how devastating secular bears are if you happen to buy at the peak and hold. It makes the secular bears look even longer, because inflation erodes your gains even when the index regains its nominal high.
Secular & Cyclical Bull & Bear MarketsSecular vs. Cyclical Bull & Bear Markets (S&P 500, 1921–Present)
Secular Market Cycles (long-term)
Secular Bull:
1921–1929
1949–1968
1982–2000
2013–Present
Secular Bear:
1929–1949
1968–1982
2000–2013
Cyclical Market Cycles (shorter-term swings inside secular trends)
Cyclical Bears: 1929–1932, 1937–1942, 1946–1949, 1956–1957, 1961–1962, 1966, 1968–1970, 1973–1974, 1976–1978, 1980–1982, 1987, 1990, 2000–2002, 2007–2009, 2020 (COVID), 2022.
Cyclical Bulls: 1932–1937, 1942–1946, 1949–1956, 1957–1961, 1962–1966, 1966–1968, 1970–1973, 1974–1976, 1978–1980, 1982–1987, 1987–1990, 1990–2000, 2002–2007, 2009–2020, 2020–2022, 2022–Present.
Key Takeaways
Secular Bulls tend to last ~13–15 years on average, delivering powerful long-term gains with multiple smaller cyclical corrections along the way.
Secular Bears last ~13–16 years, usually defined by sideways price action with sharp rallies and deep drawdowns, leaving investors flat or negative after inflation.
Cyclical Bulls average ~4–5 years, while Cyclical Bears average ~1–2 years.
The current secular bull began in 2013 after breaking out of the 2000–2013 range.
SPX500 Holds Below 6,590 Pivot After Hitting 6,600 TargetSPX500 – Overview
The S&P 500 reached our 6,600 target following softer inflation data that reinforced Fed rate-cut expectations.
Price is now stabilizing below the 6,590 pivot, signaling the potential for a near-term pullback.
📉 Bearish scenario: While trading below 6,590, momentum favors a drop toward 6,571. A confirmed break under this level could extend the decline to 6,550 → 6,527.
📈 Bullish scenario: A 1H close above 6,590 would shift bias bullish, opening the way toward 6,604 → 6,631.
Key Levels
Pivot: 6,590
Resistance: 6,604 – 6,631
Support: 6,571 – 6,550 – 6,527
Bias: Bearish while below 6,590; bullish breakout confirmed only on a 1H close above this pivot.
SPX500USD – Important Levels Below (Watch for Next Week)The S&P 500 is holding near all-time highs. When markets sit at extremes, it’s useful to map out where the structure lives underneath. These are levels that:
Could act as strong support if price pulls back (buy interest).
Or, if broken, could accelerate downside momentum into deeper zones.
Here are some confluent areas to keep in mind for next week (as today is Friday):
6.525 – 6,534 → Weekly vWAP, weekly time POC, and a poor low.
6,495 - 6,506 → Naked weekly POC and naked daily POC.
6,455 – 6,479 → Naked daily, naked weekly, monthly vWAP, daily naked POC, weekly naked POC, current monthly POC, and weekly time naked POC. So clearly the biggest level to watch!
Why these matter: when multiple levels overlap (VWAP, POC, HTF highs/lows, etc, liquidity often pools there. That makes them “decision points” — either support for a bounce or, if broken, fuel for a larger move down.
If you’re new to terms like VWAP or POC, don’t worry — they can be confusing at first. Leave a comment and I’ll happily explain, or DM me if you prefer to ask privately.
This post is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a trading signal.
Multinational Corporations (MNCs) & Their Impact on Global TradiHistorical Evolution of MNCs in Global Trade
Early Forms (Pre-19th Century):
Trading companies like the British East India Company and Dutch East India Company (VOC) in the 17th century were precursors of modern MNCs.
These entities controlled trade routes, natural resources, and colonies, combining commercial with quasi-governmental powers.
They were central to early globalization, particularly in spices, textiles, and precious metals.
Industrial Revolution (19th Century):
Rise of steamships, railways, and telegraphs facilitated international business expansion.
Companies like Singer Sewing Machine and Coca-Cola began setting up operations in multiple countries.
Access to new markets and raw materials became driving forces.
20th Century Expansion:
Post-WWII era saw unprecedented growth in MNC activity.
Organizations like the World Bank, IMF, and GATT/WTO created favorable conditions for cross-border trade.
Automotive companies (Ford, Toyota), pharmaceuticals (Pfizer, Novartis), and oil firms grew into global giants.
21st Century Globalization & Digital Age:
MNCs now dominate global trade through sophisticated supply chains and digital platforms.
Technology firms like Amazon, Google, Meta, and Alibaba reshape e-commerce and services.
The scale and influence of MNCs rival those of many nation-states.
MNCs’ Role in Shaping Global Trade
1. Expansion of Global Markets
MNCs increase trade volumes by producing goods in one country and selling them in another. For instance:
Apple designs in the U.S., manufactures in China, and sells globally.
Nestlé sources raw materials from Africa, processes them in Europe, and distributes worldwide.
This multiplies cross-border flows of goods, services, and intellectual property.
2. Creation of Global Supply Chains
MNCs pioneered the idea of fragmented production. A single product may pass through 10–15 countries before reaching consumers.
Example: A smartphone’s chips from Taiwan, software from the U.S., assembly in Vietnam, packaging in China, and final sales in India.
This supply chain structure makes global trade deeply interconnected.
3. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
MNCs contribute significantly to global trade through FDI, where they invest in factories, offices, or infrastructure abroad.
FDI increases production capacity and export potential.
Countries like India, Vietnam, and Mexico attract MNCs for low-cost production and skilled labor.
4. Technology Transfer
MNCs carry cutting-edge technologies across borders, fostering industrial upgrades in host nations.
For example, Toyota’s lean manufacturing system spread globally, revolutionizing efficiency.
Tech giants bring digital innovations to developing economies.
5. Employment Generation & Skill Development
MNCs provide millions of jobs in host countries and train local workforces in global standards.
BPOs in India (Infosys, Accenture, IBM) boosted IT-enabled services exports.
Manufacturing hubs in Southeast Asia thrive because of MNC-driven employment.
6. Influence on Trade Policies
MNCs lobby governments for trade liberalization, favorable tax regimes, and investment treaties.
WTO and regional trade agreements are shaped significantly by corporate interests.
They encourage reduction of tariffs, opening markets for goods and services.
Positive Impacts of MNCs on Global Trading
1. Increased Efficiency & Lower Costs
MNCs exploit comparative advantages across countries—cheaper labor in Asia, advanced R&D in Europe, or abundant resources in Africa.
This leads to cost efficiency, making products affordable globally.
2. Market Expansion for Developing Nations
Countries gain access to international markets by integrating into MNC supply chains.
Example: Vietnam emerged as a textile and electronics hub thanks to MNC-led exports.
3. Enhanced Consumer Choices
Consumers worldwide enjoy diverse products—from Starbucks coffee to Samsung phones—reflecting cultural and trade interconnections.
4. Rising Standards of Living
Jobs created by MNCs, along with affordable goods, enhance purchasing power and lifestyles in host countries.
5. Stimulation of Competition
MNC entry often forces domestic firms to innovate, improve efficiency, and adopt international best practices.
Negative Impacts of MNCs on Global Trading
1. Economic Dependence & Vulnerability
Host nations may become overly dependent on MNCs for exports and employment.
Example: Mexico’s reliance on U.S. auto firms makes its trade highly vulnerable to U.S. policy changes.
2. Unequal Power Relations
MNCs sometimes exploit weak regulatory systems, extracting resources without fair returns to host nations.
Oil and mining companies in Africa often face criticism for resource exploitation.
3. Cultural Homogenization
Global brands replace local products, diluting cultural uniqueness.
McDonaldization or Coca-Colonization symbolizes cultural dominance.
4. Tax Avoidance & Profit Shifting
MNCs use complex accounting methods to shift profits to low-tax jurisdictions.
Example: Google and Apple have faced criticism for using tax havens.
5. Environmental Challenges
Global production driven by MNCs often leads to pollution, deforestation, and carbon emissions.
Fashion MNCs contribute significantly to fast fashion waste and water pollution.
6. Labor Exploitation
MNCs are accused of paying low wages, unsafe working conditions, and exploiting cheap labor.
Sweatshops in Southeast Asia producing garments for Western brands are prime examples.
MNCs and the Future of Global Trade
Digital Globalization:
E-commerce, cloud services, and fintech expand trade without traditional borders.
Geopolitical Tensions:
U.S.-China trade war shows MNCs must adapt supply chains to political risks.
Sustainability Pressure:
ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) standards are pushing MNCs to adopt greener practices.
Technological Disruption:
AI, automation, and blockchain reshape trade operations, logistics, and transparency.
Deglobalization Trends:
Some countries are reshoring industries, reducing reliance on foreign supply chains.
MNCs must balance globalization with localization strategies.
Conclusion
Multinational Corporations are at the heart of global trade. They are engines of growth, technology transfer, and cultural exchange, but they also raise questions about fairness, sustainability, and sovereignty. As global trading continues to evolve in the 21st century, MNCs will remain both drivers and disruptors. Their influence is likely to increase as technology erases borders, but they must balance profit with responsibility.
Ultimately, the future of global trading will be shaped not only by governments and international institutions but also by the strategies, ethics, and adaptability of MNCs. Their choices will determine whether globalization leads to inclusive prosperity or deepening divides.
#SPX - 300 points move?Date: 24-08-2025
SPX- Current Price: 6466.92
Pivot Point: 6400
Support: 6312
Resistance: 6489
Upside Targets:
--------------------------------
| Target | Price |
---------------------------------
| 🎯 Target 1 | 6557 |
| 🎯 Target 2 | 6625 |
| 🎯 Target 3 | 6710 |
| 🎯 Target 4 | 6794 |
Downside Targets:
| 🎯 Target 1 | 6244 |
| 🎯 Target 2 | 6175 |
| 🎯 Target 3 | 6090 |
| 🎯 Target 4 | 6006 |
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Melt-Up into FOMC - Post FED Expect CorrectionMore all-time highs
I shouldn't be upset (and I'm really not as the portfolio continues to make new YTD highs)
But technically, it is extremely frustrating to see nothing more than slow grind higher after slwo grind higher on the indexes - and also see blowout moves on individual stocks (ORCL, GOOGL, AVGO for example)
Rising Wedge still hasn't rolled over, resistance at 6500 hasn't been a wall yet
50 Day Moving Average is now over 90 bars from price. I could see price action melting up
into a crescendo or peak pre, during, or post FOMC and then fading lower after to find
some technical levels I've been eyeing for weeks
Enjoy the melt-up, just be ready for some action and volatility in the indexes, gold, silver,
bitcoin, and the bond/yield markets
I won't complain about YTD highs, but it's the caution ahead that I don't want to be
surprised by in the coming weeks
Plan accordingly - I'll continue to grind through it the best and safest way I know how
Thanks for watching!!!
If the market wants to go up, we followThe US500 is breaking the resistance level and trading to new highs. We have to remind ourselves that we are not here to predict, but rather to follow the market. The market is breaking higher, and thus we follow.
For this trade, likely best to just use a trailing stop loss using either a 2-day low price, or ATRx2 trailing stop loss.
SPX500 - 10% historical gains aheadThe Fed is shifting gears – and history shows what usually follows. Looking back at the past 21 Fed cutting cycles since 1957, the S&P 500 delivered +9.6% average returns within 12 months after the first cut.
This rally wasn’t just luck:
+6.1% from multiple expansion as valuations re-rate higher
+3.5% from earnings growth as financial conditions ease
Technically, the SPX500 has just broken out of consolidation and remains in a strong upward channel. Momentum is aligned with history – positioning the index for another leg higher. 🚀
If history rhymes, we could be looking at double-digit gains over the next year. The risk/reward couldn’t be clearer.
>> The white box shows you what a +10% gain would mean.
👉 Are you positioned for the next Fed-cut bull leg?
Stay safe and happy trading,
Meikel
Good time to get out of the MARKET (Too Heated)The market has never been this expensive and retailers are being the exit liquidity for whales / institutions. Almost like many people are just sitting a sipping away on an active volcano. The market could be jumping for a few days, but a rate cut confirms that the market is weak and needs a boost / help. Unfortunately, it's too little too late. Most macros show a clear sign of stress, which is not being reflected in the market (for now). Don't get too complacent...the VIX will spike at astronomical levels when the hammer falls. Best of luck!
S&P500 | Daily rising wedge | GTradingMethodGood morning fellow traders,
S&P price action is tightening inside a rising wedge on the daily chart, with volume steadily dropping.
Rising wedges often signal potential reversals, but with CPI on deck, volatility could go either way.
My guess, price tests top of rising wedge, finds resistance and down we go - a long way down.
Keen to hear your thoughts on whether CPI is going to be a catalyst for a breakout or breakdown?
S&P500 reactsd to US Inflation dataUS CPI rose to 2.9% YoY in August (vs. 2.7%), showing inflation is re-accelerating.
Markets still expect a 25bp Fed cut next week, but scope for deeper easing is reduced.
For equities, this means headwinds for tech and other rate-sensitive growth stocks, while defensives and commodity-linked sectors may hold up better.
Overall, the print adds to volatility ahead of the Fed meeting, with equities likely to trade cautiously.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6590
Resistance Level 2: 6610
Resistance Level 3: 6630
Support Level 1: 6440
Support Level 2: 6410
Support Level 3: 6380
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.