New all time highs in MaySPX is heading to new all time high by May 21. Invalidated if breaks below Apr 19 low.Longby AlbCMUpdated 556
SPx (rally to get more record)S&P 500 futures rose approximately 0.7%, and Nasdaq futures surged 1%, while Dow Jones futures gained about 60 points on Thursday, as traders reacted positively to Nvidia's quarterly results. Nvidia's earnings and revenue exceeded estimates due to strong demand for AI chips. Additionally, the company announced an optimistic sales forecast and a 10-for-1 stock split. Technically: The price corrected to its support line before pushing up again, continuing its run towards 5360. To maintain the bullish trend, it must stay above 5320. Stability above 5360 would further indicate a move towards 5426. Conversely, breaking below the breakout zone at 5266 would signal a downward trend towards 5226 and 5192. Pivot Line: 5360 Resistance Levels: 5390, 5423, 5484 Support Levels: 5320, 5281, 5226 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5281 and the resistance 5423. previous idea: Longby SroshMayi4
SPX targeting the 127% extension now. Intraday Update: The SPX could trade to the 5380 level, the 127% extension of the April range. With NVDA earnings behind us, and the 5280's holding yesterday, the risk remains for a move higher. Longby ForexAnalytixPipczar0
the US500 price is expected to move sidewaysUS500 1d 2024-05-22|5307.01 google/gemini-flash-1.5 Based on signals from the indicator CCPR # US500 price movement forecast relative to the dollar Briefly: In the near future, the US500 price is expected to move sideways with little growth potential. Support and resistance levels: * Resistance: 5320, 5350 * Support: 5250, 5200 Signals: * 1d: There is weakness of the seller (BLUEDOT) and the formation of a resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. * 4h: Seller weakness signal (BLUEDOT) and formation of resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. * 6h: Seller weakness signal (BLUEDOT) and formation of resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. * 8h: Seller weakness signal (BLUEDOT) and formation of resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. * 10h: Seller weakness signal (BLUEDOT) and formation of resistance level (DownOrangeBar). Signal strength is weak. Conclusion: There are weak downside signals, but they are not strong enough for a confident forecast. In general, sideways price movement prevails at the moment. Probability of movement: * Up: 40% *Down: 40% * Lateral: 20% The best place to enter a position: * Buy: Upon breakdown of the resistance level 5320 with confirmation by strong signals for growth. * Sell: Upon breakdown of the support level of 5250 with confirmation by strong downward signals. Additional factors to watch for: * Economic News: Follow the release of macroeconomic data such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Business Purchasing Index (PMI) and employment reports. * Political Situation: Monitor political events that may affect the market, such as elections, trade wars and geopolitical conflicts. * Monetary Policy: Monitor central bank decisions on interest rates and quantitative easing. Data for analysis: *Price: Current price is US500. *Volume: Trading volume US500. * Indicators: Keep an eye on technical indicators such as RSI, MACD and Bollinger Bands. Important: *This forecast is based on analysis of historical data and is not a guarantee of future results. * Investing always involves risk. *Consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.by Ivan_Olyanskiy0
SPX500 H4 | Pull back towards overlap supportSPX500 is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,286.72 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 5,225.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 5,383.83 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.Long03:29by FXCM0
New 7 DTE trade put on SPXI closed my last 7 DTE Iron Condor on SPX today for 9.26% gain on capital allocated. Now just opened a new Iron Condor on SPX -5225 +5210 & -5375 +5390 Expires May 24th, atm the % gain on capital is 28% so $327 on $1160, will close this early as well, potentially first half of next week, before Weds and the NVDA update. I choose my sell strike deltas at -0.15 Delta or lower. by leongabanUpdated 0
s&P 500 (SPX) short ideaI love seeing rejection zone. SHORTING is an opportunity to win. See the markup for reference. This is the highest that SPY reached recently.Shortby Blondelady19710
Bad data is good data... but for how long?Following better-than-expected inflation print for April 2024, investors found once again an excuse for relatively bad data to be good for the market in anticipation of rate cuts, causing the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and other indices to soar to new all-time highs. However, just three or four months ago, the general expectations were for seven rate cuts in 2024, something we quickly ruled out when these assumptions emerged. After data in the first quarter revealed sticky inflation numbers, these expectations dropped dramatically to only one or two rate cuts by the year’s end. Thus, by now, it should probably be out of the question whether the Federal Reserve will continue to prioritize controlling inflation over unemployment, which has also been slowly rising. In fact, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9% last month, reaching the highest level since early 2022, when excluding the same print for February 2024. Yet, while the 0.5% increase from the lows does not seem significant, historically, a 1% rise in unemployment has been typically accompanied by a recession. Therefore, even though the rate of increase is slow, unemployment is moving in a concerning direction. Besides that, U-6 unemployment is growing much faster, and there are many other discrepancies in the labor market data, which could potentially hint at a much worse state of the economy that is being reported. Illustration 1.01 The monthly graph of the unemployment rate in the United States is shown above. Another interesting detail is that retail sales remained unchanged in April 2024 from the previous month, and the yearly change amounted to 3%, while inflation rose by 3.4% during the same period. In addition to that, the United States ISM PMI contracted last month, and expansion in the United States S&P Global Composite PMI eased. Again, while these are not outright horrible developments, the economic slowdown will likely become even more apparent in the coming months as the FED keeps a tight monetary policy for longer, putting additional pressure on economic activity and exacerbating the challenges faced by various sectors and consumers. With that, the question lingers over how much longer investors will continue to interpret bad data as good in anticipation of something that is not coming and will only serve to confirm the economy is really not faring that well when it comes. Illustration 1.02 One of the challenges in the current environment is debt servicing. This fact is strongly reflected in soaring delinquencies on credit card loans, which have nearly doubled since the Federal Reserve started the hiking cycle. Technical conditions Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish Monthly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade. Longby Tradersweekly11
Stock Market Outlook For 2nd Half of 2022 & 2023we could see another rebound in 2nd half of this year due to easing inflation rate. july is uncertain.Longby VulcanoRossoUpdated 151512
S&P500 VISION 22/05 On May 15, the SPX500 index broke through its previous ATH of 5286. I had announced this a few days earlier in one of my analyses. For the past 1 week, we've been in an accumulation phase (which is normal, given what's just happened). Here's the configuration I'm expecting: ✅ Liquidation of the bottom of the range ✅ Return to Fibonacci 0.62 ✅ Reaction on H1 order block I'd therefore prefer to buy in the $5250 area! Feel free to subscribe and put a boost on this post if you enjoyed my analysis, and let me know what you think! Good trading and have a good week :)Longby InfiniteY4
SPX500 hourly tending to positiveThe SPX500 has some potential positives to it. These just need to convert. We're looking at trend-following indicators and momentum indicators. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) : CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) : Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.Long03:25by FXCM2
SP500: The Nvidization of the US indices.It is clear that the US indices are inflated based on the boost from the Federal Reserve news. Yesterday three of the US indices closed higher, except for the Russell which closed slightly negative. This comes to reflect that the AI sector seems to be dragging with the magnificent 7 again in this directionality regardless of sectoral scope to all, due to its excess weight relative to the rest of the companies. The fed according to the Bank of America Global Fund manager survey seems to be the only one making the markets hold at highs. This main driver is followed by corporate returns as a key position. The SP500 has returned 5.41% with the average return for the month of May being 2.15%. That Sell in May and Go away feeling seems to be extending at least into June. An annual return of 11.11%, being 24.23% last year and -19.44% the year of the beginning of the Ukrainian war, being positive the two years before this one as well. What a great five years the market has been going with Jerome Powell pulling like the 90’s cycler Indurain on the uphills. The fact that Nvidia is releasing today will also lead the way for that pocket with the Big 3 and the European indices following close behind. Look not so much at the detail but at the AI picture with Microsoft presenting improvements around its AI search engine, and Amazon with its buy orders to Nvidia and its superchips, etc. On the other hand there are Tesla's poor results and the herze company's problem of reselling its vehicles on the used market. Morgan Stanley is also bullish as the leading investment bank is indicating a 20% gain, and only one of its analysts was indicating corrections. It would be necessary to take into account with the future currency of the BRICS+ in relation to the buying/selling towards gold/oil, an environment where money can be defended and the relation of the outflow of dollars from African and Chinese countries against that safe haven element. In other words, a monetary refuge that is sought outside the dollar environment and can trigger the price of gold in the long term as a fundamental element to defend reserves. In the future, we will have to pay attention to these movements on the part of the Brics group and its associates. If we look at the chart, the index is currently in the highs zone again, surpassing yesterday the highs of April 1st. If we look at the RSI, it is currently overbought at 68.34% which could extend a little more forcing the highs zone. Although it is true that the price bell is weighted very strongly at 5,083 points, so it would not be strange to see an initial correction in the direction of the previous price of previous highs. Ion Jauregui - AT Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk. ULongby ActivTrades3
SPX Technical Analysis - LuminoAlgoHi Traders, it's been a long time! So today I decided to waste my time on the SP:SPX chart again , every bit of information you need to understand this idea I've got is on the chart, you can write in the comments if u have any questions :) This idea is under no circumstances intended to be used or considered as financial or investment advice, a recommendation or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities or other form of financial assetby LuminoAlgo1
SPx (it looks bullish)SPX500 New Forecast The price is expected to attempt to reach the resistance level at 5360. It may correct down to 5304 before resuming its bullish trend. As long as the price remains above 5320 and 5304, the bullish trend is likely to continue towards 5360. If the price breaks through this level, it is anticipated to reach 5390 and potentially 5480. Pivot Line: 5313 Resistance Levels: 5360, 5390, 5480 Support Levels: 5293, 5266, 5226 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5281 and the resistance 5360.Longby SroshMayi5
SPX SELLS @ 5321Heavy looking supply at this price. Looking for equities to have a drop and consolidation before moving higher once more.Shortby BarbushCapital0
SPX STORYAs you can see, the S&P 500 index closed at a higher price on March 2nd, 2008 than it did on August 1st, 1996. However, it closed at a lower price on March 1st, 2000 than it did on March 2nd, 2008. This means that if you had bought the S&P 500 index on August 1st, 1996, you could have bought it again on March 2nd, 2008 for slightly cheaper. However, if you had bought it on March 1st, 2000, you would have had to wait until February 2013 to see a new market high. The S&P 500 index has seen a strong upward price movement since breaking out of a 13-year consolidation period in February 2013. The index made a new post dot-com high in February 2013, and then went on to make an all-time high of 4818 in January 2022. As of June 2023, the index is trading at 4282. I understand that many people believe the S&P 500 index is in a bubble and that we are just experiencing a bear market rally. However, it is important to consider all possibilities, as the market can be humbling. Investors not too long ago lived through a period of over a decade where they saw no new market highs, but were able to buy stocks at a lower price after 13 years.by youknowramUpdated 113
US500 trading plan What makes you think it's gonna sell were it is?I don't have any reason to sell us500 but I have 100 reasons to buy this n hold until atleast 60k I will never sell stock markets during this coming they might climb 140% something that you never seen before don't play games of selling uptrend markets use pull backs as opportunities to get into position not overthinking,understand that srs pull backs of stocks there is something going on,either invasion or srs deases don't just dream of selling them alot of companies are just doing find n recovering from Russia invasion n covid trauma,understand what is moving n why.Longby mulaudzimpho0
Excited bulls? For your sake, don't be... just noWe are at a triple top with a low circa 12 VIX max is 5400 before the fall. We will not get what Deutche Bank wants 5500 mark my wordsShortby candlestickninja7
SP500 Secondary Trend. Bowl + handle. Resistance zone. 11 2023Logarithm. Large timeframe 1 week. On the chart a big bowl, you can say already with a handle, the price is testing the resistance of the previous market highs for the 3rd time (entering this zone). Breaking through it, this resistance will become a very strong support during the pumping (probability no more). Simplifying the complex is the key to success. Complicating the simple is a guarantee for your own confusion and mistakes on the plain. It is based on knowledge and experience, which always leads to simplification of actions, not to complication !!!! The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such. The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such. 1️⃣ The increase in % rates will stop closer to the US presidential election, which is logical. 2️⃣ Before elections, the ruling party always shows the people the positive in its work for the people, even if there is none, i.e. injects money into the economy. 3️⃣ Handing out "free money" to potential voters before elections. Who will take it to the stock and cryptocurrency markets. 4️⃣ Changing the bear market cycle to a conventionally bullish one in 2024 and a bullish one in 2025. 5️⃣ Overcoming previous all-time highs, this is the third time we have tested this resistance of the SP500 index. In other words, everything is as always. Before the elections, “everyone is good” and is pushing the economy up. USA together with the Fed. Only the so-called “black swan” can influence this, whether it is real (there are no such things) or staged, it doesn’t really matter. But, this is all a hypothetical probability, nothing more, which must always be kept in mind. Therefore, when the market rises, protect your profits with stop losses or hedge with correlated positions. As a rule, nothing happens, and if it does, the event itself is always inflated by the media and bloggers tens of times in importance, thereby creating the illusion of fear. Don't fall for such tricks, either. The present, and especially the future, is not always a projection of a repetition of the past. It may be conditionally the same, but the details are radically different. This must always be remembered. On linear, it looks like this: The main trend of the index More than 100 years for clarity. Publication 11/22/2022 SP500 index. The whole trend. Anniversary 100 years Vertical growth by +372% (madness, super pump) Before the super collapse of the “Great Depression” Publication 11/22/2022 SP500 index. Pumping before the "Great Depression" Code 372-69 The game controls the people, not the people the game. The concept of a lot is always replaced by a little, a little more, until all their expectations “burst” from greed. This encourages some to become wiser, some, on the contrary, the closer the abyss, the cuter the devils. Longby SpartaBTCUpdated 3332
Short ComingsAll ideas are strictly my interpretation of price action. I am not a professional trader nor is this professional advice. I will continually update all trades.Shortby THE_APIS_TRADER1
SPX500 Outlook👁️ OUTLOOK 5hr chart: 30m chart:https://www.tradingview.com/x/6bTWsxF9/ Context 5hr: Price is breaking bullish and currently reaccumulating. Price is still above the 10,50,200emas which is a good sign. We can see a deeper re-accumulation/pullback into the 10ema at the beginning of the week. Price can also maybe even pullback to the 50ema, still early in the week but as long as price stays above the 10ema I will be looking for longs. Validation 30m: Last week we had a very bullish week, Thursday we had a pullback under the 10ema and 50ema, Friday we showed some bullishness and strength. Price to me looks like it wants to break 5327.3 area (last weeks high) Price is currently above the 50-200emas but under the 10ema, if price shows money coming in then I will happily look for longs on SPX500 and follow it long inside the 5m chart. Analysis summary: Bullish, looking for longs this week. Price just needs to show me a bit more strength and trade above the 10ema before I look for longs throughout the week. Good luck this week! Follow your trading plan/rules! Longby angelvalentinxUpdated 1
SPX500 still influenced by resistanceThe SPX500 hourly is still being influenced by overhead resistance. However, the longer term trend remains firmly up. Looking to see if support proves to be compelling to the shorter-term traders. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) : CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) : Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.Long04:12by FXCM3
SPX Roadmap May 2024After this corrective period that started in late March, it is likely we should see a final leg higher before a more significant declineby Neon0