USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD Long OpportunityWe broke the floor but are oversold on the oscillators, we are going to enter here and see if we can catch the ride up for the retest.
if we keep dropping we will space out entries and cost average our way to secondary TP. Keep positions lights, we may use up to 5 additional entries to navigate the pull back. We will look to exit when we get overbought on the oscillators (RSI, CCI etc etc)
AUDUSD - LongAUDUSD – BUY Setup
📊 H4 Analysis by Nii_Billions
🔹 Outlook: BULLISH
Using multiple timeframe confirmation for direction.
Strategy blends technicals, fundamentals, and sentiment.
Entry, SL, and TP structured with risk management in mind.
🟢 Educational purposes only 🟢
❤️ Like & comment if this helps your trading journey.
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AUDUSD - Seriously?Main Parameters
1. Monthly timeframe - Bullish
2. Weekly timeframe - Bullish
3. Daily timeframe - Bullish
4. Intraday timeframes - Bearish
Other Parameters
5. COT Data - AUD (Net Short with main parameters)
Intraday Reason for entry: 1W Structure, 1D Validation Level, 4hr Invalidation confluence.
Based on all these parameters, we are taking a Long position risking not more than 12 Pips, targeting a 1:15+.
CAUTION: This is not a financial advice, always trade with caution considering appropriate risk management.
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25
📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:AUDUSD
Lingrid | AUDUSD Selling Opportunity From the Resistance Zone The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD has rejected the resistance zone and is now breaking lower support levels, confirming bearish continuation. Price action is unfolding within a downward channel, with a clear series of lower highs and lower lows forming. If sellers sustain momentum below the broken level, price is likely to extend toward deeper support near 0.6360. Broader context shows persistent bearish momentum, reinforced by structure and rejection at resistance.
📉 Key Levels:
Sell trigger: Breakdown below 0.6470 support with bearish confirmation.
Sell zone: Between 0.6470 – 0.6480 on failed retests.
Target: 0.6361 support level.
Invalidation: Break and close above 0.6500 resistance.
💡 Risks:
Failure to hold below the 0.6470 breakout may trigger a false breakdown.
Broader USD weakness from macroeconomic data could support a bullish rebound.
If risk sentiment shifts (e.g., equities rally), AUD could regain strength despite technical bearish structure.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Break or Fake?AUD/USD – Sell Area or Bounce?
Price stuck below the cloud, looks heavy.
Maybe small bounce to 0.6465 – 0.6480, but if sellers win, next stop could be 0.6390.
Target: 0.63900 ???
What do you think, traders? Will AUD/USD break down to 0.6390 or surprise us with a bounce up? Drop your comments
Falling towards swing low support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a swing low support and could bounce to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.6420
1st Support: 0.6390
1st Resistance: 0.6486
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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AUDUSD – Bearish Push Toward 0.6456 After FVG Rejection On the 1H chart, AUDUSD recently retraced into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) but failed to hold above, showing sellers stepping back in. The break below the 200 EMA combined with a clean trendline break adds more weight to the bearish sentiment.
With momentum shifting downward, my expectation is for price to drop toward the 1.618 Fib extension at 0.6456. If selling pressure remains strong, deeper targets at 0.6450 (Fib 2.0) and 0.6444 (Fib 2.272) could be in play.
📉 Bias – Bearish
📍 Key Resistance – FVG zone & 200 EMA
🎯 Target Levels – 0.6456 → 0.6450 → 0.6444
AUD/USD 4H | Momentum Screams Sell — Will Bears Take Over?AUD/USD is setting up for a clean short opportunity on the 4H chart, backed by both technical momentum and macro fundamentals. The pair continues to trade in a strong bearish trend, with USD gaining strength and AUD under heavy pressure from dovish RBA signals and risk-off sentiment. Our trade plan aligns with an AB=CD projection toward a lower PRZ, but we’re taking an instant sell setup to capture the bearish momentum early.
⚡ Technical Setup – Quick Summary
Pair: AUD/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Trend: Strongly Bearish across 1H, 2H, and 4H
Pattern: Potential AB=CD harmonic, PRZ projected much lower
Indicators: Alligator wide open + momentum bearish confirmations
Execution: Instant Sell (market execution)
Trade Details
Entry: Sell @ 0.64535 ( or Current Market Price)
SL: 0.65279
TP1: 0.63791
Lot Size: 0.13 (1% risk on $10k)
R/R Ratio: 1:1
📉 Confluence Drivers
🔹 Technical Confirmation
Alligator indicator confirms strong bearish momentum.
Multi-timeframe momentum is bearish.
USD index showing strength → adds bearish pressure on AUD/USD.
🔹 Macro Fundamentals
AUD Weakness: AUD is 2024–25’s weakest major currency, dragged by global risk-off mood & commodities slowdown.
USD Strength: Supported by strong Fed signals & macro resilience.
🎯 Trade Trigger Logic
Even though AB=CD PRZ is lower, the bearish momentum calls for immediate entry. Early positioning helps capture the move while risk is controlled with tight SL placement.
Do you also see AUD/USD sliding further, or do you expect a bounce before 0.64? Drop your thoughts 👇. Don’t forget to like, share, and follow for more trade setups!
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Bullish bounce off swing low support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support lev which is a swing low support and could bouce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6420
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support.
Stop loss: 0.6388
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6481
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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AUDUSD Reversal Risk as Buying Power WeakensAUDUSD Reversal Risk as Buying Power Weakens
In recent days, AUDUSD has shown upward momentum, but buying pressure appears to be waning.
The pair has slipped from 0.6570 to 0.6480 without any clear fundamental catalyst, suggesting a potential loss of bullish steam.
Currently, price action seems to be in a corrective phase, and AUDUSD has approached a minor resistance zone near 0.6523.
This area may act as a ceiling, potentially driving the pair back toward the 0.6485 and 0.6455 level.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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AUD/USD Breaks Daily Supply Zone Despite Fundamental CautionThe U.S. dollar maintained its decline yesterday, driven by dovish comments from Federal Reserve official Kashkari, who joined other policymakers in hinting at a possible interest rate cut as soon as September. This shift in tone was mainly triggered by the softer-than-anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) figures released last Friday, signaling a more cautious outlook on the economy.
Meanwhile, the AUD/USD pair broke through our previous Daily Supply zone. However, from a fundamental perspective, nothing has significantly changed, as non-commercial traders increased their short positions last week. This suggests that there may be a second opportunity to target the next Daily Supply zone, as indicated by the chart.
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AUD Nods To A Strengthening USD With A Strong ReversalOANDA:AUDUSD has completed and confirmed a strong Reversal Pattern, the Head and Shoulders!
Price this morning made a Breakout of the Neckline or Support of the Pattern.
Once Price makes a Retest of the Breakout of the Pattern, this will deliver Short Opportunities to take Price down to the next Support Zone @ .6525 - .6420!
AUDUSD H4 | Falling towards Fibonacci confluenceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry which is a pullback support and could bounce from this levle to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 0.6453, whichis a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fib retracement, 78.6% Fib projection and is also slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 0.6421, which is a swing low support.
Tak eprofit is at 0.6519, which is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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AUD/USD 4H AnalysisThe pair has recently rejected the true supply zone (0.6550 – 0.6570), showing clear selling pressure from this area.
🔻 Price is now moving lower, and as long as it remains under this supply zone, the bearish outlook dominates.
Key points to watch:
🔹 Resistance / Supply: 0.6550 – 0.6570
🔹 Immediate Support: 0.6440 – 0.6420
🔹 Major Demand Zone: 0.6350 – 0.6320
📉 If sellers maintain control, the next bearish leg could push price toward the 0.6360 – 0.6320 demand area.
⚠️ Only a strong break above 0.6570 would invalidate this bearish scenario and open the way for higher prices.
✅ Trading Plan: Look for confirmation signals around the supply zone for potential short entries, with targets near the lower channel boundary.
📌 Do you expect AUD/USD to continue its drop toward 0.6360, or will bulls surprise the market with a reversal?
👇 Share your opinion in the comments!
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:AUDUSD
Aussie: short-term bounceThe dollar is in part moving because of the president's meetings with foreign leaders. After those talks, with the current data projections looking weak I expect DXY to revisit last week's lows. I think DXY will stay range bound until the rate decision next month. The cut is already priced in and I expect DXY to rise on renewed confidence in the economy.