possibility of uptrend Considering the price behavior in the current resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified. With the resistance range broken, the upward trend will continue along the specified path.
Trade ideas
AUD-USD Short From Supply Area! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUDUSD has rebounded into a horizontal supply area, showing rejection at premium levels. Smart Money Concepts indicate potential redistribution before targeting 0.6510$.
-------------------
Stop Loss: 0.6532$
Take Profit: 0.6510$
Entry: 0.6517$
Time Frame: 3H
-------------------
Sell!
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AUDUSD BBMA Daily Re-Entry ZoneI am looking for sell at this point, I will instantly enter small lot at this area and see the reaction to add more layers.
Reason: Daily re-entry Zone (BBMA) + SNRC1 (Bystra) aligned together
Risk to Reward: 1:2.7
40 pip SL to make 100 pips.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and represents my personal opinion. It is not financial advice or an invitation to trade. Please do your own research before making any decisions.
AUD/USD 4H Technical & Fundamental Market AnalysisAUD/USD 4H Technical & Fundamental Market Analysis
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its cash rate at 3.60% in September, citing persistent inflation in services and a steady labor market.
Meanwhile, China’s new export restrictions and additional port fees have negatively impacted the Australian dollar, given Australia’s strong export dependence on China.
Renewed concerns over potential tariffs or trade retaliation amid U.S.–China tensions are also weighing heavily on AUD sentiment.
Technical Overview
The pair recently showed a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside around 0.6200, confirming bearish momentum after a price gap and a failure to sustain above 0.65400, which serves as our Sell-Side Liquidity Zone.
After filling the gap, price is now retesting the previous BOS level, which now acts as a minor key resistance around 0.6200.
Our objective is to monitor price action closely within both liquidity zones, especially the Sell-Side Liquidity Zone.
If price manages to break below the current resistance and Fair Value Gap (FVG), we will look for a sell continuation setup.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Entry: 115,384.00
Stop Loss: 113,938.00
Take Profit 1: 118,571.00
Take Profit 2: 119,883.00
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
AUDUSD – Confluence Buy Zone!AUDUSD is currently testing a major support confluence zone, where the rising blue trendline, the green demand area, and the lower boundary of the short-term red falling channel intersect.
As long as price continues to hold above the 0.6450–0.6485 zone, the bullish outlook remains valid, and I’ll be looking for long opportunities from this area.
A rebound from this level could trigger a move toward 0.6560, followed by 0.6620–0.6670, aligning with the upper boundary of the broader channel.
However, a 4H close below 0.6425 would invalidate this bullish scenario and shift the focus toward the next support zone near 0.6380.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Introduction to Regional Price Differences1. Definition and Concept of Regional Price Differences
Regional price differences occur when the cost of a product or service varies between regions due to a combination of factors such as transportation costs, local demand and supply conditions, taxes, and market competition. These differences are not limited to goods alone but also extend to services like housing, healthcare, and education.
For example, the price of a smartphone may differ between metropolitan cities and rural areas due to logistical costs and varying consumer purchasing power. Regional price differences highlight the economic disparities between regions and help in understanding regional market dynamics.
2. Factors Causing Regional Price Differences
Several factors contribute to the variations in prices across regions:
Transportation and Logistics: Shipping goods over long distances increases costs. Remote areas often pay higher prices due to transportation expenses.
Supply and Demand: Products in high demand in a particular region may be priced higher, while in areas of oversupply, prices tend to drop.
Taxes and Regulations: Different regions impose varied taxes, tariffs, and regulatory costs, affecting final prices.
Local Economic Conditions: Income levels, employment rates, and regional economic health influence what consumers can pay.
Market Competition: More competitive markets often have lower prices, while monopolistic or limited-supply regions may experience higher prices.
3. Importance for Businesses
Understanding regional price differences is vital for businesses to develop effective pricing strategies. By analyzing these variations, companies can:
Optimize profit margins by adjusting prices according to regional purchasing power.
Decide on the best locations for distribution and retail.
Design promotional strategies tailored to local market conditions.
For instance, a luxury brand may price products higher in urban areas where consumers have more disposable income, while offering discounts or lower prices in rural regions to boost sales.
4. Role in International Trade
Regional price differences also play a significant role in international trade. Countries with lower production costs or cheaper labor can export products at lower prices, creating competitive advantages. Conversely, regions with higher prices may import goods to meet consumer demand at affordable rates.
For example, agricultural products from developing countries may be cheaper than in developed countries due to lower labor costs, influencing global trade patterns and consumer choices.
5. Price Arbitrage and Market Efficiency
Price differences create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders buy products in a low-price region and sell them in a high-price region, earning profits from the difference. This mechanism helps in balancing prices over time, promoting market efficiency.
However, transportation costs, tariffs, and market access restrictions may limit arbitrage. For instance, oil or gas price differences between countries often lead to international trading strategies designed to exploit these variations.
6. Consumer Behavior and Regional Pricing
Regional price differences directly affect consumer behavior. Consumers often make purchasing decisions based on price sensitivity:
In high-price regions, buyers may reduce consumption, switch to alternatives, or seek imports.
In low-price regions, consumers may increase consumption or attract traders from high-price areas.
Understanding these patterns helps businesses and policymakers anticipate demand fluctuations and plan accordingly.
7. Government Policies and Interventions
Governments often intervene to address regional price differences, especially for essential goods. Policies include:
Subsidies: Lowering the cost of goods in high-price regions.
Price Controls: Fixing maximum prices to protect consumers.
Infrastructure Development: Reducing logistics costs to equalize prices between regions.
Such measures ensure affordability, reduce regional inequality, and stabilize markets.
8. Impact on Inflation Measurement
Regional price differences can distort inflation indices if not accounted for. For instance, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) may vary significantly between urban and rural areas. Policymakers often use weighted averages or regional indices to capture the true impact of inflation on households across different regions.
Ignoring regional differences could mislead monetary policy decisions, affecting interest rates, taxation, and social welfare programs.
9. Technological and Digital Influence
Technology and e-commerce platforms are gradually reducing regional price differences. Online marketplaces allow consumers to access products from anywhere, often at competitive prices.
Price Comparison Tools: Help consumers find the lowest prices across regions.
Digital Payments and Logistics Solutions: Facilitate faster, cheaper movement of goods.
However, challenges remain, such as last-mile delivery costs, regional taxes, and local market conditions.
10. Future Trends and Implications
Regional price differences will continue to evolve with globalization, technology, and changing consumer behavior. Key trends include:
Increased Market Transparency: Consumers can compare prices globally, narrowing differences.
Dynamic Pricing Models: Businesses will adopt region-specific pricing using AI and big data.
Sustainable Supply Chains: Reducing logistics and production costs may lead to more uniform pricing.
Policy Adjustments: Governments may enhance infrastructure and regulations to ensure equitable access to goods.
Understanding these dynamics is crucial for businesses, investors, and policymakers to remain competitive and responsive to market needs.
Conclusion
Regional price differences are a fundamental feature of economic markets, influenced by a combination of supply-demand dynamics, logistics, government policies, and technological developments. They impact businesses, consumers, and trade flows while offering opportunities for profit and efficiency. By analyzing these differences, stakeholders can make informed decisions, ensure fair pricing, and contribute to regional economic development.
AUDUSD Daily Chart “Golden Cross”AUDUSD Daily Chart “Golden Cross”. I see this rebounding through / towards .66000. Everything makes sense post RBA comments / gold / tariff tension easing slightly
Analisis AUDUSDConsolidated price has not yet taken a viable direction in the daily timeframe; it is in a constant zone before breaking.
AUDUSD H1 | Bullish Reversal Setup on the AussieBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support, and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.6473, whichis a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.6440, which is a swing low support.
Take profit is at 0.6521, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUD/USD Daily AnalysisThere looks to be a clear demand zone at 0.64200 where we have seen 3 daily rejections so far since June this year.
With price close to the zone, watch for a test and rejection and possible buy set ups.
AUD/USD: Bullish Reversal to 0.652?FX:AUDUSD is gearing up for a bullish reversal on the 1-hour chart , where price has respected the downward trendline as dynamic support, forming a lower high that suggests weakening bearish momentum. The entry zone aligns perfectly near this confluence, offering a high-probability long setup with potential for a bounce off the support zone.
Entry between 0.6420-0.6432 for a buy position. Targets at 0.650 (first) and 0.652 (second) near the resistance zone for excellent risk-reward. Set a stop loss on a close below 0.641 to safeguard against further downside. Watch for confirmation via a strong bullish candle with rising volume, as the pair tests key levels amid ongoing commodity influences.
Fundamentally, today we have speeches from Mr. Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, ahead, and I anticipate potential market volatility. 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: 0.6420 – 0.6432 (buy area near confluence support)
❌ Stop Loss: Close below 0.6410
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.6500 (initial resistance)
TP2: 0.6520 (extended target zone)
What's your play on this setup? Comment below! 👇
AUDUSD STRUCTURE The Audusd has broken below its ascending trendline and has since pulled back to retest the broken support level, which is now acting as resistance. Price is currently trading beneath a key resistance zone and is showing signs of bearish pressure.
Following a period of consolidation around this area, the pair is expected to continue its decline toward the highlighted support levels. As long as the pair remains below the resistance zone, the downside bias will remain intact.
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Australian Dollar Tumbles on China Port Fee EscalationThe Australian dollar plunged against all major currencies overnight following China's decision to impose port fees on shipping vessels, marking a significant escalation in ongoing trade tensions between the world's two largest economies. The move compounds pressure on the aussie after Friday's sharp 1.4% decline in AUD/USD triggered by Trump's initial tariff threats against China. While weekend assurances of cooperation had sparked a brief recovery to start the week, China's retaliatory port fee announcement sent the pair tumbling another 1% as the U.S. dollar captured safe-haven flows throughout the European trading session. The selling momentum reversed during the U.S. morning open, with improving risk sentiment and a rebound in equity markets providing relief for the battered commodity currency.
Technical indicators suggest AUD/USD may be approaching oversold territory after testing critical support levels. The pair touched 0.6450 at its weakest point around 6am EST, marking the first test of the 200-day moving average since May - a level that has historically provided significant support. Following the intraday reversal, AUD/USD now trades at the lower Bollinger Band (2 standard deviations on the 20-day), sitting precariously just above Friday's lows. Australian employment data due Wednesday night could provide near-term direction, while Federal Reserve speakers scheduled throughout the week may influence US dollar strength. However, the primary catalyst for major moves remains the unpredictable flow of trade-related headlines, with any commentary from Trump or Chinese officials capable of triggering sharp volatility in the Aussie.
AUDUSD potential SELL setupAUDUSD
Bearish Setup
Breakout Analysis:
Distribution pattern with breakdown below key support suggests downside acceleration/momentum.
Strategy Framework:
Since the forecast calls for more downside momentum we can anticipate a corrective move towards BOS. The zone between BOS and Resistance Zone give us our POI, where we should be looking for shorts to ride the downside wave towards our targets.
Technical Analysis:
- Breakdown Level:
- Entry Strategy: Short on confirmed BOS level
- Stop Loss: Above Resistance zone.
Target Zones:
- Primary Target: 1 (R:R 1:2)
- Secondary Target: 2 (R:R 1:3)
- Extension Target: 3 (R:R 1:4)
Bearish Confirmations:
🔻 Rejection candlestick patterns
🔻 Bearish Reversal patterns
🔻 Impulsive moves in line with setups directional bias
Position Management:
- Exit: Partial profits at targets
- Stop adjustment: Trail below resistance
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AUDUSD Daily – Testing Demand Zone, Wait for H1 ConfirmationPrice has reached into a daily demand zone around the 0.6430–0.6400 area, a level that previously acted as a launchpad for bullish moves. From a structural standpoint, AUDUSD recently broke structure to the upside, then retraced to mitigate the last bullish impulse before that break , a classic Smart Money Concepts (SMC) behaviour showing a potential shift in order flow.
This zone now represents a high-value area where institutional demand could react again. However, given the size of the daily timeframe, precision entries should only be considered after lower timeframe confirmation, ideally on H1.
Waiting for confirmation means looking for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the H1 chart, a liquidity sweep, or a strong bullish displacement candle. This ensures that the market shows real intent to move higher before capital is committed.
Lingrid | AUDUSD Demand Zone Bounce OpportunityFX:AUDUSD extended its decline after a clear rejection from the resistance zone, breaking below both its upward channel and short-term support trendline. Price is now approaching the demand zone near 0.6430. A rejection and rebound above 0.6430 would confirm a short-term recovery setup as buyers attempt to regain control. Momentum currently leans corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a possible consolidation before any larger directional move.
⚠️ Risks:
Weakness in commodities or a stronger USD could delay recovery attempts.
Failure to hold 0.6430 may expose price to deeper losses.
Upcoming U.S. macro data could increase volatility across USD pairs.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
AUDUSD breakdown:Hidden oppportunity while Gold grabs headlines?While everyone's watching gold hit fresh records after Trump's China tariff threats, there's an overlooked opportunity in AUDUSD that could be setting up for a major breakdown.
The Australian dollar just broke key support at 0.6520 against the USD, creating a fundamental and technical alignment for further downside. With Australia sending 63% of its exports to China, any trade war escalation directly impacts the Aussie dollar.
Key Drivers:
Trade War Impact : Australia's heavy dependence on China makes AUD vulnerable to US-China trade war escalation
Technical Breakdown : Break below 0.6520 support with Fibonacci targets at 0.6443, 0.6311, and 0.6254
Dollar Strength : Government shutdown paradoxically supports USD strength by removing spending and debt payments from the equation
RSI Momentum : RSI shows room for further decline with potential head and shoulders pattern forming, targeting the neckline first
This macro/technical alignment presents a strong trading setup. When others chase gold headlines, smart traders can position for the AUD breakdown. Trade smart, respect the levels, and don't miss this overlooked opportunity.
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AUDUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast - Q4 | W42 | D14 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W42 | D14 | Y25|
📊 AUDUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
25-09-2025 AUDUSDAs shown in the figure： 1H Bullish Shark
The market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
Heading into major resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and oculd reverse to the multi swing low support.
Pivot: 0.6551
1st Support: 0.6469
1st Resistance: 0.6619
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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AUDUSD: Bearish Move From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇦🇺🇺🇸
There is a high chance that AUDUSD will retrace
from the underlined blue resistance.
As a confirmation, I spotted a descending triangle pattern
on an hourly time frame.
I expect a bearish move to 0.6488 level.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD Pivotal trading zone at 0.6525The AUDUSD remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.6475 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.6475 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.6546 – initial resistance
0.6575 – psychological and structural level
0.6590 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.6475 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.6460 – minor support
0.6440 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Neutral bias remains intact while the AUDUSD trades around pivotal 0.6475 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
