AUD/USD Show Mixed Signals,Market Sentiment Remains Wait-and-SeeThe Dollar Index kicked off the new week with an optimistic tone; however, the overall outlook for the currency appears to be in a state of hesitation. In my view, August may likely see limited volatility, with few significant movements on the horizon. Meanwhile, AUD futures (6A1!) indicate a consolidation around a previous supply zone, suggesting a potential pullback before reaching the next major supply level. Additionally, data shows an increase in short positions among non-commercial traders, which could hint at a possible bearish trend emerging in the near future.
โ
Please share your thoughts about AUDUSD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
USDAUD trade ideas
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Much HigherโUptrend Shows StrengthMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Much HigherโUptrend Shows Strength
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6480 and 0.6500 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above the 0.6450 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6530 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6470 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6500 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6540 zone. A high was formed near 0.6541 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6449 swing low to the 0.6541 high. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6510 level.
The next major support is near the 0.6495 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level. If there is a downside break below 0.6495, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6470 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6450.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6530. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6530.
The first major resistance might be 0.6540. An upside break above it might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6580 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6600 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD โ Tuesdayโs RBA Rate Decision and US CPI Release Pivotal?Itโs only 5 weeks ago that the RBA surprised FX traders by keeping interest rates on hold to provide policymakers with extra time to assess new information on the Australian economy and to confirm that the direction of inflation is moving back down towards 2.5% on a sustainable basis. This decision helped AUDUSD to post a 2025 high of 0.6625 on July 24th, a level from which fresh selling reappeared resulting in a low of 0.6419 being touched on August 1st.
August has so far been a positive one for AUDUSD, with general US dollar weakness seeing this popular currency pair closing on Friday at 0.6522, right in the middle of the range identified above. This week, Tuesday is potentially the pivotal day for AUDUSD traders to focus on with the RBA Interest Rate Decision due at 0530 BST, which is then quickly followed by the press conference led by Governor Bullock starting at 0630 BST.
A 25bps (0.25%) RBA rate cut is fully priced so anything else would probably be an even bigger surprise than the July pause. Especially since the latest Q2 CPI print showed inflation moving lower, a move acknowledged by RBA Deputy Governor Hauser as a welcome development. This shifts the emphasis towards the press conference where AUDUSD traders will be keen to hear whether their expectations for more rate cuts from the RBA into the first quarter of 2026 are correct or well off base.
Thatโs the AUD side of the pair covered, then later Tuesday the focus shifts to the US dollar side, when the latest US CPI update is released at 1330 BST. FX traders are very sensitive to the direction of US inflation, and the outcome of this release could well influence whether the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at their next meeting in September, as traders expect, or if they could be forced to remain unchanged as President Trumpโs tariffs start to lead to higher prices, something Fed Chairman Powell has stated policymakers are concerned about.
Strap in AUDUSD traders tomorrow could be a wild and volatile ride!
Technical Update: Is the 0.6521 Level Pivotal?
So far, August has seen AUDUSD rally from the August 1st low into last Thursdayโs high by just under 2%. While this activity may lead to some traders anticipating a more sustained period of strength, looking at the chart below, it becomes evident that further confirmation may be required before jumping to this conclusion.
Price strength seen last Thursday and Friday, was held by the 0.6521 price level, which is equal to half the decline that materialised between July 24th and August 1st. While 0.6521 is currently being tested, this looks like the first potential resistance focus, with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength towards 0.6625, the July 24th high.
As for support, traders may well now be focused on the 0.6480 level, which is half of the August price strength. While not a guarantee of prolonged declines, successful closing breaks below the 0.6480 support, might suggest continued price weakness.
As the chart above shows, closing breaks below the 0.6480 level, may see prices under increasing pressure, with possibilities to then test the August price low at 0.6419, even 0.6355, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 9th to July 24th 2025 strength.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesnโt represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldnโt be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isnโt to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readersโ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isnโt permitted.
Bearish reversal?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6532
1st Support: 0.6383
1st Resistance: 0.6625
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Tuesdayโs triple risk: Tariffs, RBA rate cut, and U.S. inflationTraders face a busy Tuesday with developments on U.S. China trade talks, a RBA policy decision, and the latest U.S. inflation data.
U.S. China tariff deadline โ Tuesday
The current truce between the U.S. and China is set to expire on 12 August, with U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick indicating it will likely be extended by 90 days. China may also face an additional 25% tariff on Russian oil imports, like measures already applied to India.
RBA announcement โ Tuesday
The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to cut rates, with a Reuters poll showing all 40 surveyed economists anticipating a 25bp reduction to 3.60%. The broader market is pricing a 98% probability of that outcome and a 2% chance of a larger 50bp cut.
U.S. CPI โ Tuesday
Headline U.S. CPI for July is expected to rise 0.2% month-on-month taking the annual rate to 2.8% from 2.7%. Wells Fargo notes that the figures may show further signs of higher tariffs feeding into consumer prices.
AUSDUSD 4Hour TF - August 10th ,2025๐ฆ AUDUSD 4H Analysis
๐
August 10, 2025
Top-Down Trend Bias:
โข Monthly โ Bearish
โข Weekly โ Bearish
โข Daily โ Bearish
โข 4H โ Bullish
AUDUSD is currently resting around our key zone at 0.6500 after a bullish push on the 4H. Higher timeframes remain bearish, making this a potential area for sellers to re-enter the market.
๐ Key Zone: 0.6500
This level aligns with prior structure and could serve as a rejection point for either a bullish or bearish short term move.
โ
Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Orange Path)
1.If price taps 0.6500 and rejects
2.Look for bearish confirmation (engulfing, LTF BOS, rejection wicks)
Target 1: 0.6350 support
This is the trend aligned setup and holds higher probability given the HTF bias.
โ ๏ธ Scenario B: Bullish Breakout (Blue Path)
1.If price rejects 0.6500
2.Could open the door to 0.6585 resistance zone
3.Would indicate a stronger bullish correction within the broader downtrend
This path is counter-trend on HTFs and requires solid confirmation.
๐ง Final Notes
โข Higher timeframe structure is bearish, so shorts are favored unless 0.6500 holds
โข Patience is key let the level confirm before entering
โข Manage risk carefully, especially on counter-trend setups
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.6532
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6580
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6481
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (โVantage Global Limitedโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โEverest Fortune Groupโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD: Rate Cut Tuesday + Price At A Daily -FVG! Time To Sell?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 11 - 15
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD
AUDUSD has been difficult to trade, as it chops its slow grind upwards. Then last, although the week's trading range was small, the Weekly candle closed as a bearish Inside Bar. This, as price made contact with a -FVG! The scenario could be laying the ground work for a new bearish leg to form.
Couple the above with an interest rate cut coming Tuesday for the AUD, and August being a historically bad month for the aussie, things could get real interesting for sellers next week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Ready for the Aussie Heist? Is This the Perfect Entry?๐จ๐ฐ - "The Aussie Vault Raid: Bullish Robbery in Progress!" ๐ฐ๐จ
AUD/USD Forex Trade Idea (Thief Style Swing/Day Plan)
๐๐ฅ Designed for Thief Traders, Market Robbers & Money Makers Worldwide ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ธ
๐ Hello Global Robbers!
๐ Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Salaam! Konnichiwa! ๐
Welcome to another bold heist plan from the Thief Trading Crew. This oneโs a high-stakes raid on the AUD/USD โ "The Aussie" โ using our signature Thief Trading Style, combining raw technical setups with real macro/fundamental edge. We're eyeing the Bullish Vault Breakout, so tighten up your gloves โ itโs time to rob smart, not hard.
๐๐ธ ENTRY PLAN โ โThe Vault is Unlocked!โ
Grab the bullish loot at any valid price zone โ but hereโs how real thieves move:
๐ Recommended Entry Style:
Use Buy Limit Orders near local swing lows, demand zones, or key pullback entries on the 15m to 30m chart.
Execute DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) / Layered Orders for more precision.
Align with your MA lines & candle structures for max confirmation.
๐ STOP LOSS โ โEscape Route Securedโ
๐ SL hidden beneath recent swing lows below MA (on 4H):
๐ฏ Suggested Level: 0.64550
๐ก Custom-fit your SL based on:
Trade size
Number of active positions
Account risk strategy
๐ฏ PROFIT TARGET โ โCash Out Before the Cops Show!โ
๐ดโโ ๏ธ Take-Profit Zone: 0.66400
This is our bullish breakout reward zone โ a high-value zone where profit meets safety.
๐ MARKET OUTLOOK โ "Cops Are Watching, but We're Ahead..."
๐ The AUD/USD market is flashing bullish momentum, supported by:
โ
Risk sentiment flow
โ
US Dollar weakness and rate expectations
โ
Intermarket signals from commodities (Gold/Iron)
โ
Positive macro positioning from smart money (via COT)
โ
Technical demand forming reversal patterns from oversold zones
๐ For a deeper breakdown โ
๐ฐ Fundamentals | COT Reports | Sentiment | Intermarket Analysis โ Check Klick ๐
โ ๏ธ THIEF ALERT โ โAvoid Sirens. Watch the News.โ
Stay out of trouble by following these protocols during major news events:
๐ซ Donโt enter trades blindly before/after big news
๐ Use trailing stops to protect gains
๐ Adjust SL/TP if price nears breakout points during volatility
๐ฅ SUPPORT THE CREW โ โSmash That Boost Button!โ
Love the plan? Then Boost this chart to show love for the Thief Trading Movement.
Every like, comment, and boost adds power to our robbery network across the globe. ๐โค๏ธ๐ฐ
โ๏ธ DISCLAIMER โ โNot Financial Advice, Just Thief Vibesโ
๐ This analysis is for educational and entertainment purposes only.
๐ Trade at your own risk and always do your own analysis.
๐ Market moves fast โ stay sharp, stay stealthy.
**๐ญ See you at the next heist.
Until then, trade rich. Rob wise.
Thief Trader out. ๐ฑโ๐ค๐ฐ๐๐**
AUD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.644 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
AUDUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6526
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6495
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD - at Resistance (W1)Again, technical analysis tells me that agains all the odds USD should start gaining, rather than loosing - what is widely expected.
This time Aussie - the price has got to the Technical Resistance a bit ahead of time, what made it to balance over the level for few weeks.
Now, when EUR got there too, Aussie may start to respect it al last.
The level of 0.6549 has been in indicated by FR 61.8 of the downward move initiated on Sept 30, 2024 and the upper band of the Regression Line (2 SD).
Yet, in W1 Aussie is basically in downtrend for many years, so the move should not be a surprise.
Just mu humble opinion.
AUD/USD Pullback or Trap? Key Level in FocusPrice has slipped below the rising channel and is now pulling back to retest the breakdown area. This retest could decide the next move.
If buyers fail to step in here, and price gets rejected again, it may signal the start of a deeper correction. However, reclaiming the channel could flip the bias back to bullish.
AUDUSD Clear Short opportunityWe have been over extended on multiple oscillators. We are going to start layering sells at now and keep layering new sells every 1 to two candles. Keep risk light per candle. we are going to targe the VWAP for TP. We have pulled far enough away that we can expect a retest.
AUDUSD SWING: SHORT-TERM BEARISH OPPORTUNITY (TRICKY)Hi there,
I'd like to see AUDUSD trade lower after running multiple highs and lows and creating a MSS on the weekly chart.
Price is also currently trading in-between weekly support and resistance levels which could aid the trade play out. The only concern I have is that the current region price is playing at is quite choppy - hence, price might not move cleanly.
Anyways, watchout for my next post tomorrow.
Cheers,
Jabari