AUDUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Swing HighMomentum: Bullish
The price is reacting off the sell entry, which has been identified as a swing high resistance.
Sell entry: 0.6682
Swing high resistance
161.8% Fibonacci extension
Stop loss: 0.6716
161.8% Fibonacci extension
Take profit: 0.6615
Overlap suport
Slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar
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Trade ideas
AUDUSD GBPUSD ACTIVE TRADE -Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD GBPUSD ACTIVE TRADE
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
A strategy that allows entering "hundreds of lots"The institutional flow capital zone sits at the 0.786 Fibonacci level + monthly sell resistance + a liquidity gap.
→ This is where institutions typically place very large positions because 0.786 represents the final retracement point of the trend — the deep pullback designed to sweep the last batch of buy-side stop losses.
Meaning: selling here has extremely high probability.
A setup like this fully allows placing 50–100 lots with very limited risk because:
The main entry is positioned exactly at the liquidity zone where institutions are offloading their positions.
POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY Hello traders! Here’s a technical chart breakdown for AUD/USD based on current structure, trend, and likely momentum. (Note: this is analysis, not a guarantee. Use it in conjunction with risk management.
The market has revisited a major zone near September’s high, an area where sellers previously stepped in around 0.66500, which led to the strong drop that created October’s lows.
If this zone holds as resistance again, we could see another bearish reaction.
🔹 Intraday Bearish Setup
• Entry Bias: Look for selling pressure around the current resistance zone (near 0.66500).
• First Target (Intraday): 0.66100
This is the first key level where price could react if buyers remain in control.
🔹 Swing Bearish Target (If Momentum Continues)
• Second Target: 0.65500 – 0.65600
This aligns with deeper bearish continuation back toward prior structure.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement
• Suggested stop-loss zone: 0.66900 – 0.67100
• If price returns to or breaks above this area, it signals:
• Bullish continuation OR
• A liquidity grab / stop sweep before pushing lower.
This idea suggests trading a major historical resistance zone that has proven to produce large bearish moves. As long as the 0.66500–0.66900 zone holds, the bias stays bearish. A break above 0.67100 likely invalidates the setup.
Aussie Resumes Its RecoveryAussie came nicely to the downside in the last few months with clearly three waves down from the highs, so apparently this was a correction, a completed one, after a very nice rebound from the 0.6420 area, from where we can now see impulsive move that broke the trendline and even coming back above the previous triangle swing resistance. This certainly looks like a turning point, and ideally it will take us even higher after some new retracement, so watch out for more upside while the market trades above the November lows.
Even on the daily chart you can clearly see some very choppy and messy price action for the last few months, so sooner or later we think that bulls are ready to hit new highs,, and maybe we are now at the beginning of this thrid wave up; C or 3.
AUDUSD – Can the Winning Streak Continue?AUDUSD has been a star performer in the G10 FX space over the last 2 weeks as it rides the wave of shifting market interest rate expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Reserve moving into early 2026. This has seen it trade from a low of 0.6421 on November 21st up to close the first week of December at 0.6639, a 2-month high and a mere 1% away from its 2025 peak of 0.6710 seen on September 17th.
Looking forward, 2 events in the week ahead are likely to stress test these interest rate outlooks of the market and could generate extra volatility for the AUDUSD currency pair moving into Friday’s close. The first event is the RBA interest rate decision which is released tomorrow at 0330 GMT, with the press conference starting at 0430 GMT. The Australian central bank is expected to keep interest rates on hold, so potentially no surprises there, however FX traders may be focused on how hawkish Governor Bullock’s comments are in the press conference, with recent stronger wage growth and spending data seeing the market start to consider a rate hike being the RBA’s next move at some stage in 2026.
Then on Wednesday the focus shifts to the interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve which is released at 1900 GMT. They are fully expected to cut interest rates 25bps (0.25%), so if this wasn’t to happen it would be a big shock. If the Fed do cut interest rates, then the next big challenge for traders is to digest the tone of comments made by Chairman Powell in the press conference which starts at 1930 GMT. Traders will be listening to see if he sticks to a more hawkish script, emphasising upside inflation risks in 2026, a potential positive for the US dollar (AUDUSD lower) or now that his term as Chairman is due to end in February, he bows to political pressure and is more dovish, highlighting the possibility for further rate cuts moving forward in order to support a slowing US labour market, a move which could lead to a weaker US dollar (AUDUSD higher).
With so much for AUDUSD traders to navigate this week, assessing the technical outlook and identifying some potential support and resistance levels to monitor should prices start to move more aggressively could be useful.
Technical Update: Can the 11 Day Winning Streak Continue?
The latest activity in AUDUSD has seen a fresh bout of AUD support and outperformance aligning with a period of USD selling pressure. This has resulted in a phase of AUDUSD price strength since the November 21st session low, leading to an advance of more than 3.5%.
As the chart below shows, the latest price strength has seen successful closing breaks above resistance at 0.6628 materialise, a level which was equal to the September 24th high. This could be viewed by some as an indication of the strength of buying support for AUDUSD at present and the potential for moves to higher levels in future sessions.
However, look at the chart again and you will also notice that since the November 21st low, each session has managed to close above its daily opening price, meaning there have been 11 consecutive ‘green’ or positive daily candles posted, possibly even 12 if the latest candle sees a close on Monday above the day’s opening price. From our analysis of historical data, this is unprecedented within AUDUSD and may introduce a note of caution regarding whether over-extended upside price conditions are evident and if price gains are going to be able to extend further.
Just because a currency pair has seen such an extended advance doesn’t guarantee the direction of the next move, be it to the up or the downside. Therefore, a closer focus on identifying support and resistance levels to monitor may be required this week to help gauge the next directional themes for AUDUSD.
Potential Resistance Levels: .
The latest closing break above the September 24th high at 0.6628 saw a new upside extreme posted on Friday at 0.6649, and having encountered sellers at this level before, they may be found there once more. As such, this 0.6649 peak might prove to be the first resistance focus in the week ahead.
If successful closing breaks above the 0.6649 level were to materialise, it is possible the current phase of strength can extend further. This could lead traders to then focus on the September 17th high at 0.6710 as the next resistance point.
Potential Support Levels:
It remains to be seen if the current 11-day period of positive candles since the November 21st low can continue or not, but if breaks of support levels were to materialise, it might lead to concerns of a phase of price weakness developing.
Having seen such a strong rally emerge from Friday’s 0.6605 low, it is possible this could prove to be the first support level to monitor for the coming week.
Much will continue to depend on market sentiment and price trends but closes below the 0.6605 support may lead to a phase of price weakness. This could open the possibility to test 0.6562, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, possibly even lower.
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AUDUSD Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.665.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.652 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD bullish breakout supported at 0.6608The AUDUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.6608 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.6608 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.6680 – initial resistance
0.6705 – psychological and structural level
0.6720 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.6608 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.6580 – minor support
0.6567 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the AUDUSD holds above 0.6608 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the AUD/USD with the target of 0.659 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST -Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
BUY AUDUSD - great opportunity ..AUDUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and struggled to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. AUDUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. BUY AUDUSD now - great buy opportunity,
AUDUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish move.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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AUDUSD H1 | Bullish Continuation Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.66206
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 0.66016
- Overlap support
Take Profit: 0.66487
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
AUD/USD Breakout Exhausts into Resistance- RBA/Fed on TapThe AUD/USD breakout exhausted just ahead of confluent uptrend resistance on Friday with price pulling back today into the 75% parallel of the ascending pitchfork extending off the November lows. Initial lateral support is eyed at the 23.6% retracement of the November rally and the 61.8% retracement of the September decline at 6595/98. Bullish invalidation is now raised to the August high and the October Fed-day reversal close at 6569/75. Note that the median-line converges on this threshold over the next few days and a break / close below would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place and a larger reversal is underway.
A topside breach / close above the yearly high-day close (HDC) at 6653 would be needed to mark resumption of the monthly uptrend with subsequent resistance is eyed at the 2025 high-close at 6683, the 67-handle, and the 78.6% retracement of the 2024 decline at 6723.
Bottom line: The outlook remains constructive while above 6569 with a break / close above 6653 needed to unleash the next leg of the advance. Keep in mind we get the release of the RBA interest rate decision tonight (hold expected) with the Fed on tap Wednesday. Stay nimble into the releases ahead watch the weekly closes for guidance here. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 6595 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the upper parallel needed to mark uptrend resumption.
-MB
AUD/USD long trade ideaAUD/USD retail positioning is extremely one-sided (≈78% short, 22% long).
AUD futures positioning remains net short, with no meaningful long build-up.
This creates a clean contrarian bias aligned with your prior AUD thesis.
Here is the revised, data-driven execution note:
Based on extreme retail short positioning and continued net-short AUD futures exposure, I’m revisiting and initiating a long AUD/USD position.
AUDUSD is BearishPrice is in a strong uptrend, however the bulls seem to be exhausted now and formation of a double top reversal pattern coupled with bearish divergence hints a possible reversal. If previous higher low is broken then we can expect a bearish rally as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
BUY AUDUSD nowAUDUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and struggled to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. AUDUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. BUY AUDUSD now - great time to buy






















