AudUsd Trade IdeaIts been a minute since I posted one of these. I just took some shorts on AU with price respecting the previous high and price shifting to the downside. If all goes well we could expect price to crash back below to the major support level where price could potentially continue ranging. Looking for a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how it goes.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUD USD H1A long opportunity has occurred on AUDUSD as price is pulling back to a nice support which happens to be the 0.382 fib level as well.
Confluences for the trade:
- Price in an uptrend making higher highs and higher lows.
- Price pulling back to the 0.382 fib
- Price reacting off a previous support
- Price above 50 EMA
- Price in sync with RSI
AUDUSDConsider entering long positions as the trend continues upwards, but monitor the resistance level near 0.65926. Place a stop-loss below recent support around 0.65640 to manage downside risk. Watch for volatility spikes that could indicate a change in the current trend. If momentum fades, consider reversing to short positions if bearish patterns form around resistance levels.
AUDUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the AUDUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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AUDUSD Daily Forecast - Q3 | W37 | D11 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D11 | Y25
📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.655.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.662 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bullish continution?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level, which serves as a pullback support slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.6552
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6510
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6620
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/USD hits new YTD high on USD weaknessThe US dollar weakened further on the back of the unexpected drop in producer prices inflation, which has now raised the bar even higher for CPI to beat expectations tomorrow. This caused the AUD/USD to break to a new high for the year. The Aussie could now start to rise more noticeably after months of underperformance relative to the euro and pound, for example.
As you may have already seen it, headline and core prints fell by 0.1% in August took the market by surprise given that gains of 0.3% were expected on both fronts. What’s more, July was revised down to +0.7% from +0.9% previously. As a result, the year-over-year PPI fell to +2.6% against expectations of 3.3% as energy and services prices took a dip.
From a technical point of view, the AUD/USD repeatedly tested the support zone between 0.6370 and 0.6430 in recent weeks, but the bears failed to cause a breakdown. Instead, rates have started to rally, along with the other major pairs.
The latest rally in the AUD/USD pushed through 0.6560 to create a short-term higher high earlier this week, before a brief pause yesterday. The fact that the July peak at 0.6625 is now taken is a positive development now from a bullish point of view. If the breakout can now hold, then this could open the way towards round-number handles such as 0.67, 0.68, and beyond, with the September 2024 high at 0.6942 the next major objective if momentum holds. The 0.6560 level now acts as the first layer of support. Below that we have 0.6500.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
AUD/USD: Bullish Push to 0.65543?As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, FX:AUDUSD is setting up for a bullish move on the 1-hour chart , with an entry zone between 0.64930-0.65020 near a key support level.
The target at 0.65543 aligns with the next resistance, offering a solid upside play. Set a stop loss on a close below 0.6482 to manage risk effectively. 🌟
Watch economic data! 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: 0.64930 – 0.65020 (support area)
❌ Stop Loss: Daily close below 0.6482 to manage risk
🎯 Target: 0.65543 (next resistance)
Ready for this move? Drop your take below! 👇
Chronex | AUDUSD - BUY - A new high ahead🚀 Yo Chronex — Bias for today is live!
🎯 100 % model-driven.
No trend-line art, no gut calls. Just a repeatable institutional process delivered every day at London Open
CHECKLIST
H4 Structure:
H4: Order flow:
H1 Structure:
H1 Order flow:
m15 Order flow:
Entry Model:
Context Today:
🧠 What Chronex does (bird’s-eye view)
- Scans all 28 major FX pairs every session.
- Ranks each currency’s relative strength / weakness from multi-TF data.
- Pairs strongest vs. weakest to create a tight outlook list.
- Adds built-in risk filters → posts one clean table: *Direction · Conviction · Entry zone · SL*.
📍 Today’s Playbook:
Risks
1. Do we have economic high impact news release?
2. Any higher-timeframe counter-trend zones?
3. Has better zone above/below?
Verdict:
💬 Drop questions, challenge the outlook, or share your own setups below!
AUDUSD longFundamentals
Still looking for longs on AU
AUD on trade surplus showing resilience even as commodity demands drop
USD still under pressure as cut's being priced in
Technical
AU can reach target 0.66, 0.67. as of now I'm targeting 0.665
There are two important levels to look for buys
@ 0.6540 and @ 0.6518
Australian confidence data slips, Aussie rally continuesThe Australian dollar continues to propel higher. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6618, up 0.40% on the day. The Aussie has shot up 1.5% since Thursday and is trading at six-week highs.
Australia's consumer and business confidence have taken a hit, pointing to pessimism over the economic outlook. The Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index fell 3.1% m/m in September, after a strong 5.7% gain in August. Westpac said that the index is back in "cautiously pessimistic" territory.
Consumers remain uneasy over high interest rates, as the Reserve Bank has been slow to lower rates. The Westpac survey found that consumers are more concerned about unemployment and less likely to purchase a major household item.
The NAB Business Confidence Index also headed lower, falling in August to 4 points, down from 8 in July. This marked a three-month low. Still, business conditions showed improvement and forward orders moved higher.
The Reserve Bank of Australia is coming off a quarter-point rate cut and meets next on September 30. The money markets don't expect a cut in September, as GDP rose in Q2 to 1.8% from 1.4% and core inflation jumped to 2.7% in July, up from 2.1%. A stronger economy and higher inflation will make it more difficult for the RBA to lower rates.
We could see a rate cut in November and further easing early in the new year. Much will depend on the direction of inflation, the strength of the labor market, and the health of the Chinese economy.
In the US, the Federal Reserve is poised to deliver a rate hike next week for the first time since December 2024. The weak nonfarm payrolls report has raised the likelihood of a half-point cut to 12%, with a quarter-point cut priced in at 88%, according to CME's FedWatch.
AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25
🔎 AUDUSD Focus:
Watching for a bearish 4H close at our POI. Eyes are on shorts — but only when timing aligns.
Plan: wait for the 4H bearish close → pullback into POI above → 1M break of structure to confirm entry.
Discipline first, execution second.
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD long to 0.66500soft U.S. economic data and heightened expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, which have weakened the dollar and supported the Australian currency.
Australian economic resilience highlighted by stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP and improving market sentiment ahead of key domestic surveys are reinforcing the buying momentum.
AUD/USD Trades to 2025 High After U.S. Jobs Revisions, Soft PPIAUD/USD is advancing on Wednesday, nudging above 0.6610 amid a softer U.S. dollar driven by growing optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts. Investors are betting the Fed will deliver a 25-bps reduction next week, with growing expectations of a 50-bps move. Weaker than expected U.S. jobs revisions yesterday and a PPI reading that went into negative territory month-over-month is keeping pressure on the greenback. Rebounding metals and energy prices are likewise propping up AUD/USD rates.
The above chart shows that, technically, AUD/USD rates have traded into key resistance, the 2025 high carved out in July at 0.6625. Bullish momentum is firming up, with Slow Stochastics extending into overbought territory and daily MACD rising to its highest levels since early-July. A move into new highs could increase the possibility of a retest of the November 2024 swing high at 0.6788.
AUSSIE H4 | Bearish reversalAUD/USD is reacting off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.6519, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6556, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6469, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Rising Wedge Breakdown! 🔥 AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Rising Wedge Breakdown! 🔥
The Aussie just completed a clean rising wedge pattern on the 3H timeframe, breaking structure to the downside after rejecting a key supply zone.
📉 Bias: Bearish
🔑 Reasoning:
Rising wedge breakdown ✔️
Fresh supply zone rejection ✔️
Break of trendline support ✔️
Momentum shift confirmed ✔️
🎯 Target zone: 0.64500 – 0.64200
🛑 Invalidation (SL): Above 0.65550
Risk–reward looks solid, with sellers gaining control after buyers failed to push past resistance. If momentum continues, we could see a swift drop into demand.
💡 What’s your take? Are you selling the Aussie here, or do you see a potential bounce back? Drop your thoughts below 👇