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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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USDAUD trade ideas

Will AUDUSD Continue To Gain On The Theme of a Fed Cut?Fundamental approach: - AUDUSD edged higher this week amid a softer US dollar. Aug US CPI came in slightly hot but reinforced expectations for a Fed rate cut. RBA policy remained steady following Aug’s cut and a data‑dependent stance. - US dollar moves were driven by Aug inflation at 0.4% MoM and 2.9% YoY, and a labor market picture softened by benchmark revisions, keeping markets positioned for a Sep Fed easing, which weighed on the greenback. - Australian policy settings stayed unchanged after the Aug RBA cut to 3.60%, and officials reiterated data dependence, limiting AUD-specific surprises. Risk sentiment improved after the CPI release, adding modest support to pro‑cyclical currencies. - AUDUSD could gain if the Fed delivers a dovish cut and US data cools further. Next week’s Fed decision and any RBA communications on the release schedule are the key catalysts to watch. Technical approach: - AUDUSD broke the ley level at around 0.6600 and rose higher. The price is well above both diverging EMAs, indicating a bullish structure. - If AUDUSD continues to rise, it may retest the resistance at around 0.6700. - On the contrary, struggling to close above 0.6700 may prompt a correction to restest the support at 0.6600. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
AUDUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.660. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.658. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
Bullish continution?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level, which serves as a pullback support slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level to our take-profit. Entry: 0.6552 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6510 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6620 Why we like it: There is a multi-swing high resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD H4 | Reversal signal at swing high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a swing high resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 0.6620, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss is at 0.6638, a resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit is at 0.6558, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Approaching Fibonacci confluence level?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a swing high resistance and could reverse to the overlap support. Pivot: 0.6620 1st Support: 0.6556 1st Resistance: 0.6667 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUD/USD – Upward Channel Weakness | Possible Reversal SetupAUD/USD has been moving inside a clear upward channel on the 2H timeframe. Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) patterns confirm short-term bullish momentum. Currently, price is testing the upper boundary of the channel, where rejection signs are visible. If the structure holds, we may see a short-term pullback toward the lower channel support and demand zones around 0.6560 – 0.6480. Structure: Upward channel in play BOS + CHoCH confirm shifts in momentum Watch for bearish rejection near resistance First support: 0.6560 | Second support: 0.6480 This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk before entering any trade.
Short
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
4
AUD/USD touches new ten-month highAUD/USD knocked into another new ten-month peak yesterday, clocking in an intraday peak above 0.6650 for the first time since last November. The Australian Dollar (AUD) rose around three-quarters of one percent against the US Dollar (USD) for the day, bringing its latest bullish swing from its last swing low to nearly 4%. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose again in August, with headline CPI inflation rising to 2.9% YoY, while core CPI inflation held steady at 3.1% YoY. US money markets have fully priced in three quarter-point rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) before the end of the year. The Fed is broadly expected to deliver an initial 25 bps rate cut at its rate meeting next week, with two more rate cuts fully priced in for the October and December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The AUD/USD is bullish in the near-term, with the 4-hour chart showing a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) attracting buyers on dips. The SMA currently stands at around 0.6600. . The pair peaked at 0.6635 earlier this week, the immediate resistance level. Further advances expose the 0.6670 area en route to the 0.6700 mark. Support below the 0.6590 intraday low surges at 0.6550.
Long
by Blueberry
AUD/USD hits new YTD high on USD weaknessThe US dollar weakened further on the back of the unexpected drop in producer prices inflation, which has now raised the bar even higher for CPI to beat expectations tomorrow. This caused the AUD/USD to break to a new high for the year. The Aussie could now start to rise more noticeably after months of underperformance relative to the euro and pound, for example. As you may have already seen it, headline and core prints fell by 0.1% in August took the market by surprise given that gains of 0.3% were expected on both fronts. What’s more, July was revised down to +0.7% from +0.9% previously. As a result, the year-over-year PPI fell to +2.6% against expectations of 3.3% as energy and services prices took a dip. From a technical point of view, the AUD/USD repeatedly tested the support zone between 0.6370 and 0.6430 in recent weeks, but the bears failed to cause a breakdown. Instead, rates have started to rally, along with the other major pairs. The latest rally in the AUD/USD pushed through 0.6560 to create a short-term higher high earlier this week, before a brief pause yesterday. The fact that the July peak at 0.6625 is now taken is a positive development now from a bullish point of view. If the breakout can now hold, then this could open the way towards round-number handles such as 0.67, 0.68, and beyond, with the September 2024 high at 0.6942 the next major objective if momentum holds. The 0.6560 level now acts as the first layer of support. Below that we have 0.6500. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers, glad to have you here. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to boost and subscribe. Key Points - On the 10th, a large-scale “National Paralysis” movement broke out across France in protest against the government’s emergency fiscal policies. - In Poland, reports came out that 3–4 Russian drones intruding into its airspace were shot down, and the EU has begun discussions on strengthening air defense systems in response. - According to the U.S. Department of Labor, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August was -0.1%, far below the forecast of 0.3%, and on a yearly basis it rose 2.6%, well under the expected 3.3%. This decline was due to wholesale and retail trade margins plunging 1.7% month-over-month, suggesting that companies refrained from excessive price hikes despite U.S. tariff policies. Major Economic Events This Week + September 11: ECB interest rate decision, U.S. August CPI + September 12: U.K. July GDP, Germany August CPI AUDUSD Chart Analysis There is another attempt to break through the 0.66000 level, which has acted as resistance multiple times. If this resistance zone is breached, conditions may align for a medium- to long-term rise toward the 0.69000 level. However, if the pair fails to break through this resistance, the 0.65000 support line is expected to collapse, with a possible retreat as far as the 0.62000 level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
1
AUDUSD – Testing Key ResistanceAUDUSD has extended its recovery from the 0.6420 channel base and is now testing a significant resistance band at 0.6660. The breakout from the channel has underpinned a constructive near-term bias, but price action is showing signs of fatigue as it approaches prior supply. We see limited risk-reward in chasing longs at current levels. A rejection from resistance would open scope for a corrective pullback toward 0.6450. Conversely, a sustained defense of that zone would provide the platform for another test of 0.6660. A clear break above would re-establish upside momentum, whereas repeated failure would likely tilt near-term flows back toward sellers. Overall, AUDUSD sits at an inflection point, with positioning now sensitive to headline risk and broader USD dynamics.
Short
by radhiohead
AUD/USD Ascending Triangle Breakout – Bulls Eyeing 0.6600AUD/USD is forming an Ascending Triangle on the 4H chart, showing bullish pressure building after multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirmations. Support Level: 0.6400 Support Zone: 0.6450 – 0.6470 Resistance Area: 0.6600 Currently, price has broken above the descending trendline, suggesting bullish continuation if momentum holds. A retest of the breakout zone could provide a potential long opportunity, with targets toward the 0.6600 resistance area. Breakout from Ascending Triangle Higher highs with strong demand at support Bullish continuation expected if price holds above 0.6500 This is not financial advice. Always manage risk and use proper risk-reward ratios before entering trades.
Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
12
AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D11| Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D11| Y25 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD Daily Forecast - Q3 | W37 | D11 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D11 | Y25 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT