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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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AUDUSD AUDUSD exchange rate =0.64931 RBA Governor: Michele Bullock Current RBA Cash Rate: 3.60% AUD/USD: Typically influenced by RBA monetary policy, commodity prices, and global risk sentiment; recent RBA rate hold supports AUD stability RBA Upcoming Event: The next RBA Annual Conference is scheduled for November 11-14, 2025, providing insight into future policy direction and economic outlook Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Approximately 4.35% US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.09% U.S. Federal Reserve Fed Chair: Jerome Powell Federal fund rate =3.75-4.0% interest rate differential =0.15%-0.4% bond yield differential=0.26% favor AUD carry traders ...am looking for AUDUSD long position of lower time frame #AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.648. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.643 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
AUDUSD | Bullish Structure in Motion💱 Ticker: AUDUSD 🧠 Description: Higher timeframes show a clear bullish perspective, with order blocks stacked across midterm and higher zones. Price mitigated those key areas and gave us a lower timeframe structural switch — the lower high was broken, clearing sell-side and trendline liquidity built by the courtyard players. From there, price dropped to mitigate the origin of the bullish leg on lower timeframes and held cleanly, showing intent. I executed from that zone, and I’m now targeting the 5M, 30M, and possibly 4H highs, depending on how market delivery evolves through the week. Until then, we chill patiently and let smart money do the work. 🧩 Mindset Note: Precision starts with patience — once structure speaks, you move with confidence.
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD AUDUSD GBPUSD DXY FRGNT Weekly Full Breakdown-Q4 | W46 | 📅 Q4 | W46 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD AUDUSD GBPUSD DXY FRGNT Weekly Full Breakdown 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D3| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D3| Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK AUDUSD exchange rate in the forex window =0.65447 since April 2025 demand rally floor of 0.59165 Australian dollar demand owing to commodities demand globally broke the key resistance roof at 0.63740-0.63642,if GOLD /silver continues to rise AUD one more break of structure could touch 0.7000 level. AU10Y=4.338% RBA RATE =3.60% US10Y=4.081% FEDERAL FUND RATE = 3.75%-4.0% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL =0.15%-0.4% FAVOUR USD BUT NEGLIGIBLE DUE TO NARROW SPREED BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL= 0.257 FAVOUR AUD LONG CARRY TRADE = FAVOUR AUD LONG FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK. HEAD OF RBA =MICHELE BULLOCK HEAD OF FEDS =JEROME POWELL RBA UPCOMING EVENTS ON 4TH NOVEMBER 2025 Cash Rate FORECAST 3.60% PREVIOUS 3.60% RBA Monetary Policy Statement RBA Rate Statement RBA Press Conference USD ECONOMIC DATA REPORT 4TH NOVERMBER Tentative JOLTS Job Openings FORECAST 7.21M PREVIOUS 7.23 5TH NOV USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 28K -32K Final Services PMI 55.1 55.2 ISM Services PMI 50.8 50.0 Crude Oil Inventories -6.9M #AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR #DXY
Long
by Shavyfxhub
AUD/USD – Waiting for the Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg?After rebounding strongly from October lows, AUD/USD is testing the 0.6580–0.6620 supply zone while staying above the key support area at 0.6520–0.6550. On the macro side, the RBA remains data-dependent after pausing its rate cuts, citing sticky services inflation and resilient labor markets. Meanwhile, the USD has been capped by softer growth data and growing expectations for further Fed easing into early 2026 — a mix that keeps AUD/USD in recovery mode, at least short term. COT positioning (last valid as of September 23, due to the CFTC shutdown) still reflected heavy speculative shorts on the Aussie — a structure that supported the recent bullish correction but is now outdated. Retail sentiment shows 77% of traders short, suggesting a strong contrarian upside bias, consistent with the technical picture. Seasonality data points to a mildly positive bias in October–November, typically followed by neutral behavior in December. Technical structure: Price has broken out of the descending channel and is building a short-term higher-low structure. Support (demand zone): 0.6520–0.6550 Resistance (supply zone): 0.6580–0.6620 → breakout could extend toward 0.6680–0.6720 RSI: mid-range, indicating room for another impulse higher. 🎯 Trading Plan Base scenario: Look for a pullback into 0.6520–0.6550 to rejoin the bullish leg targeting 0.6680–0.6720. Alternative: A rejection from 0.6600–0.6620 could trigger a short-term correction toward 0.6500 before buyers return. Invalidation: Daily close below 0.6475 (loss of structure). ⚙️ Bias: Short-term bullish, medium-term neutral-to-bullish. 🕒 Focus: RBA tone, Chinese PMIs, and U.S. ISM/labor data — all key for the next leg of AUD/USD.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
AUD/USD – Smart Money Building Quietly at the BottomThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6510, consolidating after an extended bearish move. From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, price action suggests that institutional players may be absorbing liquidity at discounted prices, hinting at a potential accumulation phase before driving price upward to collect liquidity at higher zones. 💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – When Price Pauses to “Take a Breath” Following a series of bearish legs, AUD/USD has formed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) near the 0.6460 zone, signaling early signs of weakening bearish momentum. Currently, price is holding within 0.6500 – 0.6510, forming a stable base of support. If this structure holds, it may serve as the foundation for a short-term bullish correction targeting the upper supply zones. Each dip into the lower range has shown long lower wicks and narrow candle bodies — a classic footprint of Smart Money absorbing sell-side liquidity in preparation for accumulation. 🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – Footprints of Smart Money Karina is closely monitoring three key structural zones: Demand Zones: 0.6462 – 0.6432: A strong demand base where price has reacted multiple times — likely a zone of institutional accumulation. 0.6504: A short-term demand area currently being tested, acting as the first layer of support. Supply Zones: 0.6570: A local supply zone where price may react upon retracement. 0.6642 – 0.6667: A higher supply zone filled with resting buy-side liquidity — potential target area for the next institutional move. 🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – When Smart Money Buys Low to Sell High The liquidity landscape shows that sell-side liquidity has already been swept near 0.6460, while buy-side liquidity remains untouched around 0.6618 – 0.6707. This aligns perfectly with a common SMC narrative: Smart Money absorbs liquidity below → builds structure → drives price upward to collect liquidity above. If price maintains structure above 0.6504 – 0.6462, we could see a bullish displacement toward the next liquidity pools around 0.6570 and 0.6640 – 0.6660. 🌙 4️⃣ Trade Scenario – Follow Smart Money, Don’t Fight It Karina’s current bias favors buying from discount zones once structure confirms a shift. Entry: 0.6465 – 0.6500 Stop Loss: below 0.6430 Take Profit: 0.6570 – 0.6660 This setup aligns with institutional logic — buy where Smart Money accumulates, take profit where they distribute. 🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Is Quiet, Institutions Are Working The market doesn’t need loud volatility to tell a story — often, quiet accumulation speaks the loudest. To Karina, this phase is about patience and observation — letting structure reveal its intent instead of rushing into noise. Right now, the market feels like it’s taking a deep breath before its next move. Smart Money usually moves in silence — they buy low, and sell high. 🌸
Long
by Karina_ilina
AUDUSD My Opinion! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 0.6526 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.6565 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD - 4H - Weekly Analysis (10-Nov - 14-Nov-25)Market Structure The overall trend is still bearish. The recent upward move is a correction, not a trend reversal. Price is now sitting mid-range, not at a good buy or sell level. Stochastic is rising from oversold, meaning we wait for price to pull into a premium (high) zone to SELL. So next week our focus is SELL from higher levels. Key Price Zones Zone / Price Range / Action Sell Zone (Primary) / 0.6515 – 0.6545 / Best zone to SELL Liquidity Sweep Sell Zone (Higher) / 0.6555 – 0.6585 / If price spikes up before falling Support / TP1 / 0.6450 – 0.6465 / First target Support / TP2 / 0.6390 – 0.6410 / Main target (strong demand zone) ✅ Primary Trade Setup (High Probability) SELL LIMIT: 0.6515 – 0.6545 STOP LOSS: 0.6575 TAKE PROFIT 1: 0.6460 TAKE PROFIT 2: 0.6410 Why this works You’re selling into a previous support → now resistance zone. This follows trend direction. Stochastic will be overbought near the entry. R:R = 1:3 to 1:5 — strong risk efficiency. 🟡 Backup Setup (If price pushes higher first) If AUDUSD sweeps liquidity and spikes up: SELL LIMIT: 0.6555 – 0.6585 STOP LOSS: 0.6615 TP: 0.6515 → 0.6460 → 0.6410 This setup is very powerful when it triggers — it usually leads to a fast drop. 🎯 Expected Price Movement Next Week Monday–Tuesday: Price pushes upward toward 0.6515 – 0.6550. Wednesday: Rejection begins → downward reversal. Thursday–Friday: Move toward 0.6460, possibly continuing toward 0.6410. This lines up with: USD mid-week strength cycle AUD weakness during Asian risk sentiment shifts 🏁 Quick Trading Card (Save This) Main Sell Entry: 0.6515 – 0.6545 SL: 0.6575 TP1: 0.6460 TP2: 0.6410 Liquidity Sweep Sell Entry: 0.6555 – 0.6585 SL: 0.6615 TP: 0.6515 → 0.6460 → 0.6410
Short
by onelinkFX
AUD/USD Bears Slam into Support- Break or Bounce?The Australian Dollar is poised to snap a three-week rally with AUD/USD marking a fifth consecutive daily decline on the heels of the RBA rate decision. The decline takes Aussie into the median-line of the yearly uptrend, and the focus now turns to whether price can stabilize here or if a deeper decline will unfold into November trade. Weekly support remains with the July low-week close (LWC) at 6469. Note that the 2022 trendline (red) converges on this level over the next few weeks and a break / weekly close below would suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger correction is underway. Subsequent support objectives rest with the 38.2% retracement / 52-week moving average at 6404/15 and the 100% extension of the September decline / February high-week close (HWC) at 6351/57- both levels of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Broader bullish invalidation rests with the 2025 LWC at 6290. Resistance stands with the 2025 HWC and the 61.8% retracement of the September decline at 6592-6605. Note that the 2022 trendline converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and further highlights the technical significance of this region. A topside breach / close above this hurdle would be needed to suggest a more significant low is in pace / resumption of the yearly uptrend. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2025 high-close at 6650 and the 78.6% retracement of the 2024 decline at 6723. Bottom line: AUD/USD is testing uptrend support on the heels of the RBA rate decision, and the focus is on possible inflection off the median-line. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to 6605 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 6469 needed to fuel the next leg of this decline within the broader uptrend. -MB
by FOREX.com
AUDUSD BUYAUD/USD is currently moving down to seek liquidity near the lower boundary of the ascending channel, after rejecting the mid-channel zone. I’ll be looking for buy opportunities around the 0.6470 area, expecting a potential rebound toward the upper side of the channel. Technical Outlook: The pair remains within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining a short-term bullish market structure. A liquidity sweep or stop-hunt near 0.6470 could provide an ideal entry zone for a long setup. A bullish reaction (rejection wick, break of structure, or bullish divergence) from that area would confirm buyers stepping in again. Fundamental Context: The Australian dollar is supported by improved risk sentiment and stabilization in commodity prices (especially iron ore and copper). The U.S. dollar has recently eased as Treasury yields pulled back, which can give AUD/USD room to recover. Additionally, markets are anticipating that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will remain relatively firm on policy compared to other central banks, providing further support for the Aussie. Summary: Waiting for a possible liquidity grab near 0.6470 to position long, targeting a move back to the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the lower channel support.
Long
by Dan-Goldfx
AUDUSD - short term predictionAUDUSD is showing early signs of strength after several days of consolidation. Price has broken above the minor descending trendline and is attempting to establish a new short-term bullish structure. This breakout aligns with the broader higher-timeframe support zone near 0.6450, suggesting that buyers may be regaining control. If price holds above the breakout area, I expect continuation toward 0.6540 – 0.6560, where a previous supply zone and trendline resistance converge. However, a clean drop back below 0.6480 could invalidate this setup and signal a deeper retracement.
Long
by Salvatore_x
AUD/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of AUD/USD 4-hour chart represents a bearish continuation setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and confluence with key moving averages and Fibonacci retracement zones. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis: --- Overall Bias: Bearish Continuation The chart suggests the market is in a downtrend, with price expected to pull back into a premium zone (a sell area) before continuing downward toward a new low or liquidity target. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Trend Context Price has been making lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish structure. Both the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (black) are positioned above the current price, which reinforces bearish momentum. The EMAs are acting as dynamic resistance zones. 2. Retracement Zone (Supply Area) The blue zone marks a premium retracement area (0.62–0.79 Fibonacci levels) where institutional sellers might re-enter. The red arrow highlights the anticipated rejection point near 0.6530–0.6540 — confluence of: 50%–79% Fibonacci retracement EMA resistance Previous structure zone 3. Projected Price Path The chart expects a short-term bullish retracement into the highlighted zone. Once liquidity is collected and the zone is tapped, a bearish rejection is expected. After that, price may form a lower high, confirming bearish structure before dropping further. 4. Target Point The final target zone is around 0.64530, aligned with: Prior swing low (liquidity area) 0% Fibonacci extension This acts as the next liquidity sweep or take-profit zone for short positions. Mr SMC Trading point --- Market Structure Summary Element Direction Key Levels Market Bias Bearish Retracement Zone 0.6520 – 0.6540 Supply area Resistance Confluence 50 EMA, 200 EMA, Fib 0.62–0.79 Entry Zone After rejection from blue zone Target 0.6453 Liquidity target --- Trade Idea (Conceptually) Wait for price to enter the blue zone and show bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection candle or structure break). Then consider a short position targeting 0.6453. Stop-loss would logically be above 0.6550–0.6560, above the supply zone. --- Narrative Summary > This setup anticipates a pullback to a premium supply zone aligning with EMA resistance, then a continuation to the downside following smart money structure principles. The bearish trend remains intact unless price breaks cleanly above 0.6560. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point