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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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AUDUSD AUDUSD exchange rate =0.64931 RBA Governor: Michele Bullock Current RBA Cash Rate: 3.60% AUD/USD: Typically influenced by RBA monetary policy, commodity prices, and global risk sentiment; recent RBA rate hold supports AUD stability RBA Upcoming Event: The next RBA Annual Conference is scheduled for November 11-14, 2025, providing insight into future policy direction and economic outlook Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Approximately 4.35% US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.09% U.S. Federal Reserve Fed Chair: Jerome Powell Federal fund rate =3.75-4.0% interest rate differential =0.15%-0.4% bond yield differential=0.26% favor AUD carry traders ...am looking for AUDUSD long position of lower time frame #AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD(20251107)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Revelo Labs, a US private data provider, reported that US non-farm payrolls decreased by 9,100 in October; Challenger job cuts in the US surged 175% year-over-year in October, and year-to-date layoffs increased by 65%; Chicago Fed data showed the October unemployment rate was approximately 4.36%, a four-year high. Federal Reserve officials remain cautious. Chicago Fed President Goolsby believes a lack of reliable inflation data and remains hesitant about interest rate cuts; Cleveland Fed President Hammarck emphasized inflation risks and opposed further rate cuts; however, Governor Milan continues to expect a Fed rate cut in December; New York Fed President Williams believes the model-based estimate of the US neutral interest rate is around 1%. Governor Barr pointed out that the impact of artificial intelligence may be affecting hiring in some industries. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 0.6485 Support and Resistance Levels: 0.6540 0.6520 0.6506 0.6464 0.6451 0.6430 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 0.6485, consider buying with a first target price of 0.6506. If the price breaks below 0.6464, consider selling with a first target price of 0.6451.
Short
by GoldenSpaceship
AUDUSD November 2025 fundamental analysisAustralian Dollar (AUD): Inflation Surprise Supports Hold Reserve Bank of Australia Stance The Australian Dollar received a powerful boost from the September quarter inflation data released on October 29, which delivered a significant upside surprise. Headline CPI accelerated to 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 3.2% year-on-year, well above the RBA's 2-3% target midpoint. More importantly, the RBA's preferred trimmed mean measure climbed 1.0% quarterly (beating 0.8% expectations and the RBA's August forecast of 0.6%), pushing the annual rate to 3.0%—the first uptick since December 2022.​ RBA Governor Michele Bullock had explicitly stated earlier in the week that a 0.9% quarterly rise in trimmed mean inflation would be viewed as a "material miss". At 1.0%, the threshold was decisively crossed. Bullock also described the labor market as "a little tight" despite unemployment rising to 4.5%, and emphasized the RBA's unwillingness to "leap at a single number".​ Rate Cut Expectations Pushed Back The inflation surprise has dramatically reshaped rate cut expectations. The November 4 meeting confirmed the decision to hold rates steady for the moment, and the first 25 basis point cut has been delayed from February 2026 to May 2026. This represents a stark shift from earlier expectations for near-term easing. The RBA cash rate remains at 3.60%, providing a substantial yield advantage over other major central banks.​ November Outlook: Very Bullish The Australian Dollar is the clear standout for November strength. AUD/USD surged to a three-week high of 0.6607 following the inflation data, and technical analysis suggests further upside potential toward 0.6706. The currency benefits from multiple tailwinds: delayed rate cuts relative to other central banks, particularly the Fed; buoyant risk sentiment following the preliminary US-China trade framework; and strong commodity prices, including copper near three-month highs. Against the weaker commodity currencies like CAD and NZD, the Australian Dollar is exceptionally well-positioned.​ United States Dollar (USD): Cautious Strength Amid Economic Resilience Monetary Policy: Fed's Hawkish Pause in Easing Cycle The Federal Reserve delivered its second consecutive 25 basis point rate cut in October 2025, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75-4.00%, the lowest since 2022. However, the tone accompanying this decision was notably cautious. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that a December rate cut is "not a foregone conclusion," effectively pushing back against market expectations that had priced in an 87.7% probability of another 25bps reduction in October and 62% odds for December.​ This hawkish messaging reflects the Fed's assessment of persistently elevated inflation, which has risen for five consecutive months and currently stands at 3.0% for both headline and core measures as of September. The central bank cited "increasing downside risks to employment" but noted that Powell explicitly stated he does not anticipate further deterioration in the labor market. The decision saw two dissenting votes—one favoring a 50bps cut and another preferring to hold rates steady—highlighting the divided nature of current Fed thinking.​ Economic Fundamentals: Resilience Defying Expectations The US economy has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of historically high tariffs (effective rate of 16-17%, highest since 1934) and a prolonged government shutdown exceeding five weeks. After contracting -0.6% in Q1 2025, GDP rebounded sharply to 3.8% in Q2, with Q3 tracking similarly strong at 3-4% according to the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model. This growth is partly attributed to AI-related spending, which accounts for more than half of US growth this year.​ However, the government shutdown—affecting 1.4 million federal employees with roughly half furloughed and half working without pay—poses growing risks. A rule of thumb suggests every week of shutdown shaves 0.1% off GDP. The lack of timely economic data due to the shutdown complicates the Fed's decision-making process, potentially supporting a cautious approach in November and December.​ November Outlook: Dollar Strength with Caveats For November 2025, the USD maintains a positive outlook supported by several factors. The relative economic resilience compared to other major economies, higher interest rate differentials (3.875% vs most G10 currencies), and ongoing safe-haven demand underpin dollar strength. However, this strength is tempered by the prolonged government shutdown, fiscal concerns, and the gradual Fed easing trajectory.​ The dollar's performance will likely hinge on three key developments: resolution of the government shutdown, clarity on the December Fed decision, and the Supreme Court hearing on November 5 regarding the legality of tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Market positioning shows the Dollar Index (DXY) holding above 98, with technical resistance at 99.75 representing a key threshold for sustained strength. Verdict Given the political insecurities surrounding the USD and AUD's unwavering strength, our conclusion for AUD/USD in November is BUY .
Long
by Oneirotrade
AUDUSD | Smart Money Building Long Positions From Demand ZoneAUDUSD is showing early signs of strength after reacting perfectly from the higher-timeframe demand zone (0.6530–0.6550). Price is consolidating near intraday support, suggesting possible accumulation before a liquidity sweep to the upside. Trade Outlook: Demand Zone: 0.6530–0.6550 (retest area) Liquidity Target 1: 0.6596 Liquidity Target 2: 0.6615 Bias: Bullish unless price breaks below 0.6530 Possible Play: Look for BOS + retrace entry confirmation inside demand
by TheWallstreetCapital
AUDUSD-LONG IDEAAUDUSD is in bullish trend according to higher time frame. I have market the structure on the chart. it took a deep retracement of 0.79 fib level according to daily time frame.1h structure is also broken to the upside. Now it is retracing back according to 1 hour time frame. There is a gap in between the recent leg up which will most probably be filled so mark your entries at the given point using the buy limit order. Do your own research and analysis before taking any trade.
Long
by CNxHoney
3
AUD/USD chart Pattern...AUD/USD chart with Ichimoku Cloud and a downward channel breakout setup. Here’s what I can observe: --- 🔍 Technical Setup: Pair: AUD/USD Timeframe: 3H Pattern: Downtrend channel breakout to the upside Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud, showing bullish Kumo breakout Current price: ≈ 0.6599 Breakout zone / support area: around 0.6560–0.6575 (highlighted pink zone) Resistance / target points: marked on chart as "Target Point" --- 🎯 Price Targets (from my chart): There are two target points indicated: 1. First Target Point: around 0.6450 → This seems to be a measured move target just above the breakout zone. 2. Second Target Point (higher): around 0.6720–0.6730 → This looks like the full channel breakout projection, measuring the channel height added to the breakout level. --- 📈 Interpretation: If the breakout sustains above 0.6570–0.6590, then: Short-term target: 0.6450 (first marked zone) Mid-term target: 0.6720–0.6730 (second marked zone) A retest of the pink zone (around 0.6570) could be a potential buy opportunity if it holds as new support. ---
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
5
AUD/USD 2-hour chart Pattern..AUD/USD 2-hour chart --- 📊 Chart Overview Pair: AUD/USD Timeframe: 2-hour Current Price: Around 0.6490 Support Zone: Around 0.6460 – 0.6470 (small consolidation area below price) Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud + Trendline Break Bias: Bullish correction after a breakout from downtrend line --- 🎯 Target Levels 1. 🎯 Target Point 1 (Short-Term Target): Price Zone: 0.6530 – 0.6540 This matches my first blue “Target Point” on the chart. It’s the first major resistance level above the cloud and likely a take-profit zone for early longs. Expect some price reaction or pullback around this area. 2. 🎯 Target Point 2 (Extended Target): Price Zone: 0.6600 – 0.6610 This is my second (upper) “Target Point” on the chart. It aligns with a previous high and represents the completion of a bullish swing projection if momentum continues. --- 🧭 Summary Table Target Type Price Level Notes 🎯 TP1 0.6530 – 0.6540 First resistance / partial profit zone 🎯 TP2 0.6600 – 0.6610 Extended bullish target (strong resistance area) 🛑 Support / Stop Area 0.6460 – 0.6470 Key support / invalidation zone
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
13
AUDUSD Rebounds Strongly: Double Bottom Signals Bullish ReversalAUDUSD Rebounds Strongly: Double Bottom Signals Bullish Reversal AUDUSD has formed a Double Bottom Pattern around the 0.6460 support zone — a classic bullish reversal signal. The pair has since broken above a minor resistance, confirming short-term bullish momentum. Currently trading near 0.6550, AUD/USD looks poised to continue higher toward the next key resistance levels and targets at: 0.6580 0.6615 If price sustains above 0.6520, this upward structure should remain intact. However, a drop below 0.6460 would invalidate the pattern and signal renewed bearish pressure. Overall, AUDUSD shows promising signs of recovery, with technical structure favoring further upside potential in the short term. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
14
AUDUSD → Attempt to reverse the trend to bullish FX:AUDUSD is forming a correction after breaking through the resistance of the downward channel. The market needs a trading range or consolidation above 0.6526. The dollar is consolidating but is not ready to continue growing. Pressure on the currency is emerging ahead of the Fed meeting. This may support the growth of the Australian dollar. The currency pair is entering a distribution phase after consolidation. The breakout of 0.6526 triggered a break of the downward channel resistance. An attempt to change the trend is forming. If the bulls keep the price above 0.6526, this could trigger further growth. Resistance levels: 0.6567, 0.661 Support levels: 0.6526, 0.6493 At the moment, an attempt to change the trend has been initiated. Consolidation and distribution are a good sign, but above the previously broken trend line, a trading range should form, which will confirm the fact of a change in the local trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
Falling towards major support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the major resistance. Pivot: 0.6530 1st Support: 0.6484 1st Resistance: 0.6619 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets
AUDUSD H4 | Potential Bearish Reversal from Key Resistance LevelAUD/USD is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with he 78.6% retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 0.6636, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss is at 0.6684, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6559, which is a pullback support. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W45 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | Y25 | 📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Weekly Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT