AUDUSD - Bullish Bias
๐น Pair: AUDUSD
๐น HTF Overview: Price respected higher-timeframe bullish structure and swept past the MTF OB with momentum.
๐น MTF Outlook: Mitigation occurred in the deeper hidden anchor OB. Waiting for a clean midterm CHoCH to confirm continuation.
๐น LTF Setup: Once the MTF CHoCH prints, Iโll drop to the lower timeframe to refine entries and align with discounted areas.
๐น Targets: Higher liquidity points above recent structure in line with bullish bias.
๐น Mindset Note: Patience and alignment across timeframes remains the edge.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUD/USD Intraday Technical Analysis โ September 29, 2025The AUD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.65635, following a sharp downtrend from recent highs near 0.6680. On the hourly chart, we observe clear consolidation zones and potential ABC corrective patterns forming, which can provide actionable intraday trading opportunities.
Key Technical Observations:
Trend Analysis:
The overall trend remains bearish, confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on the hourly chart.
EMA alignment shows short-term EMA below the longer-term EMA, reinforcing downward momentum.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance: 0.6570 โ 0.6575 (Point A)
Intraday support: 0.6528 โ 0.6535 (Point B zone)
Next strong resistance: 0.6600 โ 0.6620
Deeper support: 0.6500 โ 0.6510
ABC Correction Scenario:
Price appears to be forming a potential ABC corrective pattern, with the current rally reaching Point A.
Anticipated retracement to Point B near 0.6530, followed by a rebound to Point C around 0.6575 โ 0.6580.
Traders can use this structure for swing intraday entries, placing stops just beyond key support and resistance levels.
Fibonacci and Price Action:
Recent swing low near 0.6525 and swing high near 0.6570 suggest the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with the projected Point B (~0.6530), enhancing the validity of the retracement.
Watch for price rejection at Fibonacci levels, which may indicate continuation of the ABC corrective wave.
Trading Strategy:
Aggressive traders: Enter long positions near 0.6530 (Point B), targeting 0.6575 โ 0.6580 (Point C) with tight stop-loss below 0.6525.
Conservative traders: Wait for confirmation of reversal at Point B, using candlestick patterns or EMA crossovers.
Avoid selling at current levels (0.6563) unless a break below 0.6530 occurs with strong momentum.
Conclusion:
AUD/USD remains in a short-term corrective structure within a larger downtrend. Monitoring the ABC pattern completion around key support and resistance levels provides clear trade setups for both intraday and swing traders. Follow these levels and adjust positions according to price action confirmation to minimize risk.
Q3 | W40 | D29 | Y25| -AUDUSD Daily Forecast๐
Q3 | W40 | D29 | Y25|
๐ AUDUSD Daily Forecast
๐ Analysis Approach:
Iโm applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) ๐ฐ๏ธ
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range ๐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ๐
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation โ
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
๐ก My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan ๐๐
โ ๏ธ Losses?
Theyโre part of the mathematical game of trading ๐ฒ
They donโt define you โ theyโre necessary, they happen, and we move forward ๐โก๏ธ
๐ I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
โ FRNGT ๐
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD shortPrice has been making LH's and LL's which tells me market is looking to shift as price has broken many support levels so far.
Waiting for price to pullback into a good retracement level. I find myself entering without candlestick confirmation and I feel like it works better if you market order instead of waiting for extra confirmation.
This RR is a more conservative approach I would look to tighten SL as much as I can for this trade.
TRADING INSIGHTS ON AUDUSD AND AUDCHF (RECAP)Hey traders, I have made a video to share the thought process behind the setups I have and to show them as trades from last week, which has allowed me to bank nearly 6% for the week, and I would like to share the thoughts behind them and their management. This is a raw video to key transparency and clarity!
AUDUSD Wave Analysis โ 10 October 2025
- AUDUSD broke support level 0.6525
- Likely to fall to support level 0.6410
AUDUSD currency pair recently broke the support zone between the support level 0.6525 (low of wave (1) from September), 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse (C) from August and the support trendline from April.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment seen today, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.6410 (former low of wave (B) from August).
AUDUSD Daily Forecast - Q4 | W41 | D10 | Y25|๐
Q4 | W41 | D10 | Y25|
๐ AUDUSD Daily Forecast
๐ Analysis Approach:
Iโm applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) ๐ฐ๏ธ
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range ๐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ๐
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation โ
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
๐ก My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan ๐๐
โ ๏ธ Losses?
Theyโre part of the mathematical game of trading ๐ฒ
They donโt define you โ theyโre necessary, they happen, and we move forward ๐โก๏ธ
๐ I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
โ FRNGT ๐
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD(20251010)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement has officially taken effect. Trump announced he will travel to Egypt to attend the signing ceremony.
Technical Analysis:
Today's buy/sell levels:
0.6568
Support and resistance levels:
0.6640
0.6613
0.6595
0.6541
0.6523
0.6496
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 0.6568, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 0.6595.
If the price breaks below 0.6541, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 0.6523
AUDUSD IS GOING TO FLY IN THE MARKETKey Technical Zones:
Resistance Levels:
๐น 0.6582 โ Recent rejection zone
๐น 0.6624 โ Upper channel resistance
Support Levels:
๐น 0.6540 โ Immediate support (currently testing)
๐น 0.6515 โ Next downside target if breakdown occurs
Technical Signals:
The falling pressure curve indicates accelerating bearish momentum.
Price action is respecting the descending channel boundaries โ each bounce from the upper trendline results in a deeper low.
A minor rebound could occur from the support zone (0.6540) due to oversold conditions, but unless price breaks above 0.6575, the bearish bias remains dominant.
AUD/USD 4HR Trendline Breakout Long Setup. Daily Continuation.I will be entering a long trade at the close of the current daily candle on AUD/USD.
Stoploss and take profit provided. With this one management will be if the market does not trade through the target area by daily candle close on Thursday then I will close the trade manually.
Simple trading execution and plan.
Bullish Trend - Bullish Divergence - ABCD ContinuationFX:AUDUSD has continued its bullish trend, surpassing major resistance levels.
Currently, price has completed a 0.618 fib retracement, made bullish divergence and broke the lower highs, signalling imminent bullish momentum.
I am expecting price to complete the ABCD projections!
AUDUSD: Momentum Picking UpKey observations
Daily Timeframe:
Price holds above EMA20 and bullish bar indicates potential upside momentum
EMA20 remains above EMA60 to technically indicate uptrend
H1 Timeframe:
Price cross above DTL to indicate upside momentum
Price also crossing above EMA20 to indicate uptrend resumption
AUDUSD(20251002)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
At 8:15 PM Beijing time on Wednesday, U.S. ADP employment figures fell by 32,000 in September, the largest drop since March 2023 and the third decline in four months. This was below market expectations of 50,000 jobs, and the previous reading was revised down from 54,000 to -3,000.
After the data was released, U.S. Treasury yields fell, and spot gold saw little short-term movement. Traders increased their bets on two more Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Interest rate swaps tied to the date of the upcoming Fed meeting indicate an expected rate cut of 46 basis points by year-end, compared to a 42 basis point estimate before the data was released.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
0.6609
Support and Resistance Levels:
0.6648
0.6633
0.6624
0.6594
0.6584
0.6569
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 0.6624, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 0.6648.
If the price breaks below 0.6609, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 0.6594
AUDUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W40 | D30 | Y25|๐
Q3 | W40 | D30 | Y25|
๐ AUDUSD Daily Forecast
๐ Analysis Approach:
Iโm applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) ๐ฐ๏ธ
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range ๐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ๐
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation โ
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
๐ก My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan ๐๐
โ ๏ธ Losses?
Theyโre part of the mathematical game of trading ๐ฒ
They donโt define you โ theyโre necessary, they happen, and we move forward ๐โก๏ธ
๐ I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
โ FRNGT ๐
FX:AUDUSD