AUDUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.658.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.641 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Trade ideas
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W46 | D13 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W46 | D13 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast & Full Pre LDN Open Breakdown
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:AUDUSD
AUD/USD LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 0.654 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.652.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.653 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUDUSD: Neutral View First Buy and Then Sell! Hey everyone!
Our first buy swing entry is going swimmingly! We’ve got over 500 pips running positively, and we reckon price can keep going up and then when it hits our selling zone, you can swing sell too. This is a fantastic opportunity where we can wait for price to do its thing and then when it reaches the sell zone, we can execute our order. But if you’re feeling adventurous and want to take a bit of a risk, you can take a buy entry at the given point and keep it up until it reaches our sell area.
With just one shot, we can make two entries!
Good luck and trade safely!
Thanks a bunch for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to lend a hand, here are a few ways you can contribute:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 25 November 2025
- AUDUSD reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6500
AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed from support area between the key support level 0.6420 (which has been reversing the price from May) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
This support area was further strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp upward ABC correction B from April.
Given the clear daily uptrend, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.6500.
AUD/USD Rises from Multi-Month LowsAUD/USD is trading near 0.6465 this Tuesday as the Australian Dollar comes under pressure amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Asia-Pacific. The Aussie dipped briefly below 0.6450 earlier in the week after comments from Japan’s top diplomatic official suggesting a strong response to a Chinese move over Taiwan triggered a sharp risk-off tone in Asian markets. That risk-off shift ended the modest rebound in the Aussie following last week’s positive PMI prints.
Looking ahead, the key drag on the pair is the lack of follow-through on Australia’s improved manufacturing and services data, while the greenback remains supported even as Fed rate-cut expectations face re-assessment. Unless risk sentiment recovers or Australia delivers a fresh positive surprise, AUD/USD is more likely to drift lower than break higher in the near term.
In the above chart, AUD/USD rates remain in the multi-month range that’s defined price action for the better part of the past seven months; the recent rebound finds the pair moving off of intermediate lows carved out in July and August. Momentum has a slightly bearish tilt, insofar as MACD continues to trend deeper beneath its signal line as each of the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMA) sustain a negative slope.
AUDUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.645.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.641 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD Idea 23.11.2025For audusd I am approaching the set sfp level which could probably be at a price of 0.64, then I would put a possible long below the next low that the market gives us or at least a local low, if I were to consider a short then at a level around the monthly level at a price of 0.663 where the price could be surprised but I would wait for a reaction at a level around the golden pocket level of 0.660
The Global Shadow System1. Foundations of the Global Shadow System
The shadow system emerged alongside globalization. As the movement of capital accelerated in the 20th century, governments liberalized financial markets and reduced restrictions on cross-border flows. While these steps facilitated investment and economic growth, they also opened channels for unmonitored capital movement.
The system rests on four foundations:
1.1 Secrecy
Secrecy is the lifeblood of the shadow world. Whether in offshore financial centres or covert diplomatic channels, secrecy shields actors from accountability. Jurisdictions like the British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Panama, and Luxembourg built industries around confidential structures, shell companies, and trusts.
1.2 Regulatory Fragmentation
Different countries have different laws. Global actors exploit these inconsistencies, creating a patchwork of loopholes and arbitrage opportunities. A company may be headquartered in one country, registered in another, banked in a third, and operational in dozens of others—all to avoid taxes, scrutiny, or liability.
1.3 Financial Innovation
Derivatives, complex securities, and digital assets—while beneficial in many ways—also enable obfuscation. Financial technology often evolves faster than regulation, creating zones where oversight lags behind activity.
1.4 Geopolitical Competition
Nations sometimes encourage secret channels to advance their interests. Intelligence services run covert operations; states use secret funding networks; governments enable their corporations to operate with minimal oversight abroad.
2. The Financial Shadow World
The financial sector contains some of the most sophisticated components of the global shadow system. The most prominent elements include:
2.1 Offshore Tax Havens
These jurisdictions specialize in:
Low or zero taxation
Strict banking secrecy
Minimal reporting requirements
Offshore havens attract corporations, private wealth, and even government officials wanting to move funds discreetly. Research suggests that trillions of dollars of global wealth are parked offshore, depriving nations of tax revenue and hiding ownership structures.
2.2 Shell Companies and Trusts
A shell company exists mainly on paper but can hold assets, open bank accounts, and move funds. Trusts further obscure the true owner by separating legal ownership from beneficiaries. These instruments are commonly used in:
money laundering
tax avoidance
political corruption
global mergers and acquisitions
2.3 Shadow Banking
Shadow banking refers to financial intermediaries that perform bank-like functions but are not regulated like banks. This includes hedge funds, private equity, money market funds, and structured investment vehicles. The 2008 financial crisis exposed how massively interconnected shadow banking is with the formal economy.
2.4 Illicit Financial Flows
Illicit flows encompass illegal money from corruption, trafficking, sanctions evasion, and organized crime. The global shadow system provides channels for these funds to move across borders and integrate into the legal economy.
3. Political and Geopolitical Components
Beyond finance, the global shadow system includes political and geopolitical networks that operate invisibly or unofficially.
3.1 Backdoor Diplomacy
Nations often communicate secretly through back channels:
intelligence services
private envoys
intermediaries in third countries
These channels allow negotiations, coup planning, and geopolitical coordination away from public view.
3.2 Corporate Influence and Lobby Networks
Multinational corporations exert massive influence on global rules. Lobby groups, think tanks, political donations, and policy consultants form a shadow ecosystem that shapes trade agreements, tax policies, and regulations without direct public accountability.
3.3 Intelligence Alliances
Agreements like the Five Eyes network operate partly in secrecy, sharing surveillance, cyber intelligence, and counterterrorism data. Such networks influence global security policies without democratic transparency.
3.4 Private Military and Security Companies
Firms like Wagner (Russia), Blackwater/Academi (US), and other PMCs operate in conflict zones, often without public oversight. They influence wars, resource extraction, and political transitions, forming a covert layer of global warfare.
4. Shadow Economies and Illicit Trade
The shadow economy includes activities that are legal in some contexts but hidden from regulators, as well as outright illegal sectors.
4.1 Black Markets
These markets deal in:
narcotics
arms
counterfeit products
human trafficking
wildlife trade
The shadow system provides the logistics, banking, and distribution channels needed to sustain these markets.
4.2 Crypto and Digital Shadows
Cryptocurrencies and digital assets have added new layers:
privacy coins like Monero
decentralized finance (DeFi)
darknet markets
ransomware payments
Though blockchain is transparent, anonymity tools create shadowed zones of activity.
4.3 Informal Economies
Millions of workers globally operate in informal sectors without legal protections. While not criminal, these activities form part of the grey economy that escapes tax and regulatory systems.
5. How the Shadow System Shapes Global Outcomes
The global shadow system influences the world in several powerful ways:
5.1 Rising Inequality
The wealthy use offshore structures to minimize taxes, while ordinary citizens face stricter rules. This widens the gap between elites and the public.
5.2 Policy Distortion
Governments may appear powerless against corporate tax avoidance or illicit flows, but often they are influenced by the same networks that benefit from secrecy.
5.3 Financial Crises
Unregulated financial products and shadow banking were major contributors to the 2008 crisis and remain potential future risks.
5.4 Undermined Democracy
Opaque funding, influence networks, and secret diplomacy reduce the transparency that democracies require to function.
5.5 Geopolitical Manipulation
Nations use covert financial and intelligence networks to influence elections, destabilize rivals, and secure strategic resources.
6. Efforts to Regulate the Shadow System
International bodies and governments have attempted reforms:
OECD’s BEPS framework targets corporate tax avoidance.
FATF regulations target money laundering and terror financing.
Automatic exchange of financial information reduces secrecy in banking.
Pandora and Panama Papers revelations pressured certain offshore centres.
Despite these efforts, the shadow system persists due to powerful incentives, political protection, and the complexity of global finance.
Conclusion
The global shadow system is an invisible but deeply influential structure shaping our world. It is built on secrecy, financial engineering, regulatory loopholes, and geopolitical backchannels. It affects economies, politics, crime, diplomacy, and global development. Understanding its mechanisms helps explain why inequality persists, why financial crises erupt, and why global governance remains fragmented. The shadow world is not merely a hidden side of globalization—it is its backbone.
AUD/USD Just Confirmed the Fade — Here’s Why I’m SellingI’ve been watching this pair quietly range under key resistance for weeks, but now it’s finally showing its hand. AUD/USD just gave a clean rejection from a stacked confluence zone — weekly trendline, lower high, and both 21 & 200 EMAs capping price. Smart money tapped the zone, failed to break above, and now we’re seeing momentum shift downward. That tells me one thing: continuation is likely.
My bias is bearish, with confirmation across the Weekly, Daily, and 4H. Price rejected off a weekly support/resistance flip (0.6499), failed to close above 0.6518, and respected the trendline beautifully. The 4H gave us a minor rally that tapped into structure before dumping — classic mitigation move. As long as we stay below 0.6518, I’m holding a short bias with targets down toward the next clean liquidity pocket near 0.6455 and potentially deeper at 0.6420.
🔻Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 0.6499–0.6504
Stop Loss: 0.6518
Take Profit 1: 0.6455
Take Profit 2: 0.6420
This is a clean setup that fits my criteria as a swing trader. I’m shorting with structure, not emotion — and I’ll let the chart tell me when it’s done. Until then, I’m just flowing with the momentum.
🖤 Let’s trade smart.
AUD/USD Bearish Retracement SetupThe 15-minute AUD/USD chart shows price tapping into the session high (SH) formed across the London and New York sessions. This level sits inside a broader bearish premium zone, signalling exhaustion for buyers.
With the general market direction still bearish, this reaction at the SH is expected to produce a retracement back toward the TP area. The rejection wick and slowdown in momentum strengthen the case for a corrective move lower.
Overall, the confluence of SH and bearish structure supports a short-term drop toward TP before any further reassessment of trend continuation.
I'm still a bit Bearish on the AUSSIE DOLLAR CHOCH + BOS + Liq (IND) + M45 OB
Fortunately, yesterday's sweet zone held.
New signal Alert 🚨
AUDUSD
Pair: AUD/USD (Aussie Dollar)
Side: Sell (Sell Limit)
Entry: 0.6505
QP/STP: 0.6480 (25 pips)
TP 1: 0.6450 (55 pips)
TP 2: Open
Stop Loss: 0.6511 (6 pips - enough space for price to breathe)
Do not over-leverage your account, use proper risk and money management.
I9.11.25
AUDUSD - 4H - Weekly Analysis - (17 Nov – 21 Nov 2025)🔎 Market Structure Overview
AUDUSD is currently in a sideways consolidation, showing:
Lower-timeframe indecision
No strong bullish or bearish dominance
Repeated rejections between 0.6560 and 0.6500
Momentum from the 4H chart shows:
Last swing down followed by a weak recovery
Stochastic in mid-zone → no momentum direction yet
This indicates a range-bound week unless a breakout occurs.
📌 Key Levels for the Week
🔼 Resistance Zones (Sell Areas)
Zone / Price / Expectation
R1 / 0.6580 – 0.6600 / Strong supply area – ideal SELL zone if price spikes into it
R2 / 0.6560 – 0.6570 / Immediate rejection zone – intraday scalping sell
🔽 Support Zones (Buy Areas)
Zone / Price / Expectation
S1 / 0.6500 – 0.6510 / Strong support – BUY zone for rebound
S2 / 0.6470 – 0.6485 / Major support – deeper retracement BUY
📊 Expected Movement (Weekly Bias)
Base Case (60% probability) – RANGE WEEK
Price stays between 0.6560 and 0.6500, bouncing up and down.
➡️ Sell the highs, buy the lows
Bullish Case (25% probability)
Only if price breaks above 0.6600 and holds:
➡️ Upside targets: 0.6640 - 0.6675
Bearish Case (15% probability)
If price breaks below 0.6480:
➡️ Downside targets: 0.6450 - 0.6415
🧭 Trading Plan for the Week
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Sell Zone 1: 0.6560 – 0.6570
Sell Zone 2: 0.6580 – 0.6600 (high probability reversal)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.6535
TP2: 0.6510
🛑 SL above: 0.6620
2️⃣ BUY Setup
Buy Zone 1: 0.6500 – 0.6510
Buy Zone 2: 0.6470 – 0.6485 (best risk–reward)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.6530
TP2: 0.6560
🛑 SL below: 0.6450
⚠️ What to Watch This Week
USD data (CPI/retail sales) → can push AUDUSD sharply
RBA tone (if any speech or minutes)
Commodities → AUD reacts strongly to market risk sentiment
📌 Summary (Easy View)
🔷 Bias: Range‐bound
🔷 Sell: 0.6560 → 0.6600
🔷 Buy: 0.6500 → 0.6480
🔷 Breakout Buy: Above 0.6600
🔷 Breakdown Sell: Below 0.6480
AUDUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.6548
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 0.6529
- Multi-swing low support
Take Profit: 0.6579
- Swing high resistance
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W46 | D14 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W46 | D14 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast
FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:AUDUSD
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W46 | D14 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W46 | D14 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast
FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:AUDUSD
AUDUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.6515
- Strong overlap support
Stop Loss: 0.6488
- Overlap support
Take Profit: 0.6559
- Overlap resistance
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast & Full Pre LDN Open Breakdown Q4 W46📅 Q4 | W46 | D13 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast & Full Pre LDN Open Breakdown
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:AUDUSD






















