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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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USDAUD trade ideas

Bearish Reversal Forming off Key Resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6543 1st Support: 0.6383 1st Resistance: 0.6644 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
AUDUSD| Bullish Bias - Momentum Holding Strong🔹 HTF (4H): Structure shows clear bullish intent with strong momentum to the upside. Large bullish candles confirm continuation potential. 🔹 MTF (30M): Price cleared liquidity, mitigated the OB, and refined structure for continuation longs. 🔹 LTF (5M): A CHoCH confirmed directional shift, leading to bullish runs toward the highs. 🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to mitigate my marked OB before reloading longs to target major highs. Until then, patience — let smart money defend the level before we step back in. 🔹 Mindset Note: The market is delivering. Our role is to wait for the OB to be tapped and then execute with precision.
Long
by Juicemannn
AUDUSD Q3 W36 Y25 ForecastHigher Time Frame Overview (Weekly/Da🔎 AUDUSD Q3 W36 Y25 Forecast 🧠 Higher Time Frame Overview (Weekly/Daily) There hasn’t been much aggressive movement on the higher timeframes, particularly the weekly and daily charts. That said: The 50 EMA is sitting comfortably in the middle of price action for August, suggesting consolidation or a clear range-bound market. This kind of environment offers defined trading ranges, making lower timeframe setups more actionable for both swing and intraday traders. ✅ Plan of Action 🔹 Bullish Bias on Higher Time Frames Week 35 closed with strong bullish price action, pushing the daily candle above the 50EMA. This provides confirmation for a higher-probability long setup from range lows. The weekly candle also supports bullish continuation, forming a solid base and momentum structure. 🔔 Bias: Bullish on higher time frames — prefer buying from support levels or imbalance zones. 🔍 Lower Time Frame Strategy (4H / 15M) 🔸 4H Analysis A clear 4H order block led to the creation of a lower low, identifying a potential point of interest (POI) for a pullback and intraday short. Target for the short idea includes: Weekly imbalance zone Daily 50EMA Weekly 50EMA ⚠️ Short positions should be considered countertrend, so: Stop-losses should be moved to breakeven quickly once structural levels are broken. Use tight risk management and watch for early signs of rejection from key zones. 🔸 15-Minute Confirmation Looking for a break of structure (BOS) on the 15M chart to confirm bearish intent. After BOS, wait for a pullback into a 15M POI before entering a continuation short. FRGNT FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD: Anticipate ShortAUDUSD is surfacing near a resitance level at 0.6547 the pair have been respecting the support and resistance zone within this recent days. A partial breakout above this resistance zone will active a slight upward move, meanwhile in regard of this structure the pair is on a expected short.. Possible outline: A comfirmed reversal below 0.6539 will trigger downward move targeting 0.6347 as the next support. At this point we keep a close eye on this resistance zone to see if the long will continue or would respect the zone and short as expected. like and share your thoughts on this pair thanks
Short
by Blaisefxacademy
AUDUSD: Buy-the-Dip Above KumoWhy: Ichimoku: Price above Kumo, Tenkan > Kijun, future cloud turning up, Chikou above price & cloud → bullish stack. 27–28th printed a Break of Structure with a wide bullish impulse, then a Rally-Base-Rally. The prior ceiling ~0.6500–0.6510 is now support (classic pullback after breakout zone). After the impulse, we have small-bodied consolidation / bull flag near highs; no clear bearish reversal (no evening star / bearish engulfing at the top). Earlier range breaks failed inside the cloud; the last break closed above the range & Kumo and held on the retest → favors a true breakout. Key levels Support (buy-the-dip): 0.6510–0.6525 (Tenkan/Kijun cluster), 0.6500 (former ceiling), 0.6475 (Kumo top). Resistance/targets: 0.6555–0.6565 (recent swing high), 0.6590–0.6600, extension 0.6620. If H1–H4 closes below 0.6475, bullish case fails → risk a drop to 0.6450 → 0.6425 (cloud backfill / demand).
by POLARMARKET
AUD/USD Swing Sell SetupOANDA:AUDUSD AUD/USD Swing Sell Setup - Current Price: 0.6550 - Invalidation Level: 0.66255 - Take Profit Targets: - TP1: 0.6504 - TP2: 0.6450 - TP3: 0.6430 - TP4: 0.63556 Technical Analysis: The AUD/USD pair is currently performing an ABC correction, suggesting a high probability of rejection at the current price level. The price action indicates a classic rising wedge pattern, which typically represents a decrease in buying volume, evidenced by the declining strength of buying interest indicated by the volume profile on the chart. The invalidation level for this trade setup is set at 0.66255. Traders should consider entering the sell position if the price remains below this level. Risk Management: Be patient and manage your risk effectively while entering this trade. Monitor the situation closely and ensure to adjust your stop-loss levels accordingly to protect your capital. Good luck, traders! 💰📉
Short
by SRFXGlobal
1
AUDUSDNon-commercial (speculators) net positions in AUD are decreasing, signaling declining bullish sentiment. Commercial hedgers are increasing long positions in USD, supporting a stronger U.S. dollar. Open interest in AUD futures is rising, but with more short contracts – a classic sign of bearish pressure building. This suggests institutions are shifting away from AUD and seeking refuge in the USD, reflecting risk-off sentiment and potential upcoming downside in the AUD/USD pair. Bias: Bearish Strategy: Look for short opportunities on pullbacks, especially near resistance levels or key fib retracements.
Short
by Primus0725
Lingrid | AUDUSD Shorting Opportunity After Fake BreakoutFX:AUDUSD is facing rejection near resistance after a recent upward push, signaling weakening momentum. The structure shows price moving within an upward channel but failing to hold above the short-term resistance. A further decline is likely if the pair sustains below 0.6550, targeting the next support zone. Broader price action points to a corrective move within the channel as momentum fades. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: Rejection of 0.6552 resistance Sell zone: 0.6550 – 0.6530 region Target: 0.6503 Invalidation: Break above 0.6555 💡 Risks Strong USD weakness from unexpected macro data could flip the setup. Breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario. Shifts in risk sentiment from global markets could drive renewed AUD strength. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
7
AUD/USD Sustains Bearish Momentum on 4-Hour ChartTechnical Analysis: AUD/USD Sustains Bearish Momentum on 4-Hour Chart The AUD/USD pair continues to exhibit a firmly bearish technical structure on the 4-hour chart, with all signs pointing towards a continuation of the prevailing downtrend. The price action is currently consolidating near a recent lower high, a key characteristic of a sustained downward trajectory. This pattern of successively lower highs and lower lows confirms that sellers remain in firm control of the market momentum. A clear weakening of buyer strength is evident in the recent price movements. Attempted rallies lack conviction and volume, quickly being overwhelmed by renewed selling pressure. This indicates a market that is eager to sell into any short-term strength, a classic behavior in a defined bear trend. The inability of buyers to muster a significant recovery further solidifies the negative outlook. Consequently, the pair is expected to remain under pressure in the upcoming trading sessions. The path of least resistance is firmly to the downside, suggesting that any near-term bounces are likely to be shallow and present potential selling opportunities rather than signaling a reversal. For traders, key levels to watch are well-defined. On the downside, the immediate target for sellers is the 0.64200 level. This zone represents a significant technical support and a previous swing low. A decisive break below this floor could accelerate the decline, opening the path for a steeper fall. On the upside, any corrective bounce is likely to face a formidable barrier at the 0.65700 resistance level. This level is critical as it represents a previous support level that has now turned into resistance, and it aligns with the recent lower high. For the current bearish bias to be invalidated, buyers would need to force a sustained break above this ceiling. Until that occurs, the overall sentiment remains decisively negative.
Short
by Brillant_Capital
AUD/USD CONTINUING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE IN 4H CHARTTechnical Analysis: AUD/USD Maintains Bearish Trajectory on 4-Hour Chart The Australian Dollar versus the US Dollar (AUD/USD) pair continues to exhibit a definitive bearish trend structure on the 4-hour chart, signaling a prevailing dominance of selling pressure. A comprehensive analysis of the current price action, momentum, and key technical levels suggests a high probability of further declines in the upcoming trading sessions. This persistent downward bias is critical for traders to understand as it shapes the strategic approach for both entry and exit points. The most telling characteristic of the current market structure is the pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This sequence is the fundamental hallmark of a healthy downtrend, indicating that each attempt by buyers to rally the price is met with even stronger selling pressure at a lower level than the previous rally. Currently, price is trading precariously near one such lower high, acting as a dynamic resistance. This positioning is a critical juncture; a failure to break above this level would reaffirm the bearish sentiment and likely catalyze the next leg down. The weakening of the buying force is visibly apparent in the price movements. Rally attempts appear lackluster, characterized by small-bodied candles and low volume, which are quickly overwhelmed by strong, decisive bearish candles that push the pair to fresh lows. This demonstrates a clear lack of conviction among bulls and a market eager to sell into any minor strength. Based on this technical configuration, the expectation is for the bearish momentum to persist. Sellers are expected to defend any upward moves aggressively, keeping the overall trajectory pointed downward. The path of least resistance remains to the south, aligning with the broader fundamental headwinds often faced by the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar, such as concerns over global growth and Chinese economic data. In terms of specific price targets, the analysis points to a downside target near the 0.64200 level. This level is identified as a significant technical objective, likely representing a previous major swing low or a key psychological support zone. A breach below this level could open the door for an extension of the decline towards even deeper supports. However, markets rarely move in a straight line, and counter-trend rallies are to be expected. On any upward move, the 0.65700 resistance level stands as a critical barrier. This is not just any level; it is a major inflection point that represents a previous support-turned-resistance or a confluence of other technical factors like a key moving average (e.g., the 50 or 100-period EMA). For the current bearish outlook to be invalidated, buyers would need to generate enough momentum to force a sustained break above this 0.65700 ceiling. Until such a break occurs, all bounces are likely to be viewed as selling opportunities within the broader negative trend. In summary, the AUD/USD's 4-hour chart paints a clear bearish picture defined by its structure. Traders should monitor reactions near the current lower high for potential short entries, with a primary profit target set towards the 0.64200 region, while using a break above the formidable 0.65700 resistance as a key stop-loss or trend invalidation signal.
Short
by TraderAishDXB
AUDUSD H4 | Price Approaching Major Resistance The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 199% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 0.6558, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss is at 0.6619, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 0.6496, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu