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USDCAD trade ideas

USDCAD: Bullish Momentum in PlayUSDCAD: Bullish Momentum in Play Price broke out above the descending trendline, showing bullish strength. After the breakout, price may retest the broken resistance zone before moving higher. After the better-than-expected data on Thursday and Friday from the U.S the odds are that USDCAD may rise further over the coming week. The only threat of the US dollar is Trump and the strange game he is playing with his tariffs. Let's hope he will not make a bigger mess Key Targets: 1.4000 1.4050 1.4150 As long as price stays above the breakout zone, the bullish scenario remains valid. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
10
USDCAD: A Pullback ? 👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:USDCAD ? Today, the pair is trading around 1.392 in the early hours of the new session, showing a slight decline. However, technical analysis still indicates that USDCAD is trading above the support zone. As long as the support holds, this decline can be seen as a pullback, after which the uptrend is expected to resume. Let’s see how this support level plays out. What are your thoughts on the trend of this pair? Feel free to leave your comments below! Good luck!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
8
USDCAD Bearish Reversal Setup – Supply Zone + Rising Wedge Break1. Chart Pattern A rising wedge/channel (highlighted in red) is clearly forming, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern. The pair has reached the upper boundary of the wedge — a strong resistance area. 2. Supply Zone Marked around the 1.3945 – 1.3981 area. This is a potential reversal zone, where selling pressure may overpower buying interest. The price has just entered this zone, indicating a possible short setup. 3. Trade Setup (Short Position) Entry Point: 1.39431 Stop Loss: 1.39810 – 1.39815 (just above the supply zone) Target Point: 1.36328 📉 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) Risk: ~38 pips (1.3981 - 1.3943) Reward: ~310 pips (1.3943 - 1.3632) RRR: ~8:1 – this is an excellent reward-to-risk ratio, making the trade very attractive if the setup confirms. 4. Trend Context The prior trend before the wedge was bearish. The wedge appears to be a corrective move, which aligns with the idea of a continuation to the downside. 5. Bearish Confirmation Needed Ideally, a bearish candlestick pattern (like a pin bar, engulfing, or evening star) inside the supply zone would provide confirmation before entering the short. 📊 Summary of Strategy Component Value Trade Direction Short Entry Price 1.39431 Stop Loss 1.39810 Take Profit 1.36328 Risk/Reward ~1:8 Setup Type Supply Zone Reversal + Rising Wedge Breakout ✅ Pros High RRR Strong supply zone Rising wedge at resistance Price action supports reversal ⚠️ Risks If price breaks above the supply zone, the setup becomes invalid Wait for confirmation before entering (e.g., bearish candlestick pattern)
Short
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
4
USD/CAD Bearish Channel Breakout – Short SetupThis chart is for USD/CAD (30-min timeframe) and shows a clear bearish setup. Here’s the breakdown: --- 1. Pattern Price is moving inside a downward channel (highlighted in pink). Currently near the midline of the channel with potential to retest the upper boundary. The plan here seems to be a sell setup after a small bullish pullback. --- 2. Key Levels Entry Point: 1.39286 (after price pulls back into the blue zone). Stop Loss: 1.39392 (just above the channel and resistance zone – good risk management). Target Point: 1.38880 (near the lower channel boundary, aligning with previous support). --- 3. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) This setup offers a favorable RRR (roughly 1:3), meaning potential reward is about 3x the risk. --- 4. Bias Bearish bias – expecting continuation of the downtrend after price retests resistance. The market is respecting the descending channel, and unless price breaks above 1.3940, sellers remain in control. --- 5. Confirmation to Watch Look for rejection candles or bearish engulfing in the blue zone before taking entry. If price breaks and closes above 1.3940, this setup becomes invalid (bullish breakout likely). --- ✅ Summary: This is a well-planned short (sell) setup. Wait for price to pull back to 1.3928 – 1.3930, then sell with stop above 1.3940 and target near 1.3888.
Short
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
4
USDCAD H4 | Bullish momentum to extendUSD/CAD is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levle to the upside. Buy entry is at 1.3876, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.3830, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.3948, which is a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
1
USDCAD UPSIDE MOMENTUM OPPORTUNITYTECHNICALLY: USDCAD remains very bullish due to US dollar strenght. From now price tested a interesting H4 ORDERBLOCK zone. Price is quite over extended but it's worth to give a try. As we can see price manage to manipulate MONDAY LOW. if dollar continue bullish then this pair will move up Otherwise the trade idea will be invalidated and that's okay because we manage the risk properly. FUNDAMENTALLY US DOLLAR CONTINUE TO BE BULLISH. A SMALL RETRACEMENT BUT A CLEAR BULLISH CONTINUATION BY POSITIVE CORRELATION INDICATES BULLISH MOMENTUM FOR USDCAD. all eyes on the upcoming HIGHER TIME FRAME CANDLE CLOSURES ON US DOLLAR INDEX! You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
Long
by AIRFOREXONE_
2
USD/CAD Maintains Bullish ConsolidationUSD/CAD Maintains Bullish Consolidation USD/CAD is showing positive signs and might aim for more gains above 1.3960. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD rallied above 1.3880 and 1.3920 before the bears appeared. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.3915 on the hourly chart. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD, the pair formed a strong support base above the 1.3770 level. The US Dollar started a fresh increase above 1.3820 against the Canadian Dollar. The pair cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and climbed above 1.3900. Finally, it tested the 1.3960 zone before the bears appeared. The pair traded below 1.3940 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Initial support is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.3915. It coincides with the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3768 swing low to the 1.3958 high. A downside break below the trend line might send the pair toward 1.3885. The next major area on the same USD/CAD chart could be the 50% Fib retracement at 1.3865. A close below 1.3865 could push the pair further lower. In the stated case, the bears might aim for a test of 1.3815. On the upside, initial resistance sits near 1.3930 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The main breakout zone could be 1.3960. A clear upside break above 1.3960 could start another steady increase. The next major stop for the bulls might be 1.4000. Any more gains could open the doors for a test of 1.4050. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Usdcad short Usdcad sell Entry: 1.39079 SL: 1.39.278 TP : 1.38662 RR 1:2 take partials after 1:1 and setup SL to BE. 📊 Trade Plan Idea 1. Liquidity Grab ($$$$$) Price ran above previous swing highs where liquidity was resting (buy-side liquidity). This is a classic stop-hunt before a potential reversal. 2. Supply Zone (1.3910 – 1.3928) Price has wicked into the supply zone and is showing rejection. This aligns with the earlier bearish idea. 3. Bearish Bias Confirmation The red arrow indicates expectation of a drop after liquidity grab. Liquidity sweep + supply zone = strong bearish confluence.
Short
by vicofalltrade
2
USDCAD | Yield Gap Supports Wave (y) Push to 1.40 The U.S.–Canada yield spread has widened back toward 1.0%, reflecting hawkish Fed–dovish BoC divergence. This has underpinned broad USD strength and weighed on the CAD. Technical Lens: USDCAD has progressed into wave (y) of the corrective structure, breaking through interim resistance and testing the upper channel toward the 1.40 region. The structure remains constructive as long as the channel holds, with the Elliott count framing 1.40 as a key inflection point. Scenarios: If the yield gap continues to widen and the channel holds → potential extension to 1.40. If spreads narrow and price rejects 1.40 → pullback toward mid-channel support near 1.37–1.38. Catalysts: U.S. economic data & Fed communication. Canadian growth signals and BoC policy stance. Oil price stability (limited CAD support so far). Takeaway: The 1.40 zone is the decision point where macro divergence and technical structure converge.
by AlchemyMarkets
Could we see a drop from here?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.3940 1st Support: 1.3793 1st Resistance: 1.4015 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USD/CAD: Bearish Loonie SlideUSD/CAD: Bearish Loonie Slide Amid #Fed Cut Hype and #Forex Volatility Buzz? 1.39 Breakout Target in Sight? USD/CAD is trading at 1.3795 today, up 0.17% amid a rebound from 1.3728 lows as markets eye the Fed's rate decision later, with 65% odds of a 50bps cut to 4.00-4.25% pressuring the dollar but offset by BoC's own easing signals. This follows a 0.25% CAD gain earlier in the week on CPI data, but the pair remains range-bound with analysts forecasting a bearish tilt to 1.35 by year-end if Fed cuts deepen. Just as #Fed surges with 15K mentions on X amid rate speculation, and #Forex trends spotlight policy divergence (e.g., BoC vs. Fed easing), USD/CAD's sensitivity to oil and CAD vulnerability position it for choppy action in the $1.8T daily forex market. But with volatility at 3.88%, is USD/CAD undervalued for a bull run to 1.39, or will dovish Fed trigger a CAD rebound? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 18, 2025. Fundamental Analysis USD/CAD's trajectory hinges on diverging central bank paths, with the BoC's recent cuts weakening the loonie while Fed easing caps USD upside—yet oil prices above $70/bbl support CAD via Canada's export reliance. Analysts project a 2025 average of 1.35, bearish on CAD amid #Fed cuts, but short-term resistance at 1.3800 could hold if US data softens. With #Forex volatility buzzing, the pair's undervaluation shines in a risk-on environment if Fed delivers 50bps, but sticky US inflation (2.6% core) risks a hawkish pivot. - **Positive:** - BoC easing and CAD vulnerability amid #Forex hype project USD strength to 1.3863 if Fed holds steady. - Oil tailwinds and EM inflows (e.g., SA bonds) bolster CAD floors, undervaluing the pair at current levels vs. 1.40 peaks. - Broader #Fed trends favor USD if dot plot signals fewer cuts, eyeing 0.5% monthly gains. - **Negative:** - Dovish Fed expectations weaken USD, clashing with #Fed optimism if 50bps cut confirms CAD rebound. - Canada CPI resilience (2.0% YoY) could strengthen CAD if BoC pauses, pressuring the pair lower. SWOT Analysis **Strengths:** Policy divergence favors USD with Fed's relative hawkishness vs. BoC, amplified by #Fed relevance in dollar sentiment. **Weaknesses:** High oil correlation exposes CAD upside; overbought momentum vulnerable in #Forex-shifting markets post-Fed. **Opportunities:** Fed cut confirmation narrows spreads, with undervalued bull potential to 1.3891 amid #Fed boom. **Threats:** Hawkish BoC surprises eroding gains; competition from AUD/CAD if commodity trends capitalize on #Forex volatility. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, USD/CAD rebounds in an ascending channel from 1.3728 support, with a pivot at 1.3800 mirroring #Fed volatility spikes. The weekly shows neutral bias with 1.3889 as key breakout. Current price: 1.3795, with VWAP at 1.3770 as intraday balance. Key indicators: - **RSI (14-day):** At 55, neutral—potential bull signal amid #Fed surge. 📈 - **MACD:** Histogram positive, crossover holding for upside. - **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA (1.3750) but testing 50-day SMA (1.3820)—bullish if holds. Support/Resistance: Support at 1.3728 (recent low), resistance at 1.3863 and 1.3891. Patterns/Momentum: Channel bounce targets 1.3863; fueled by #Forex momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher lows on volume. 🔴 Bearish risks: Failure at 1.3800 eyes 1.36. Scenarios and Risk Management - **Bullish Scenario:** Break above 1.3863 on hawkish Fed targets 1.3891; long on pullbacks to 1.3728, especially if #Fed signals fewer cuts. - **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below 1.3728 eyes 1.3538; watch for CAD cross amid #Forex fade on dovish pivot. - **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound 1.3728–1.3863 if dot plot mixed and #Fed cools. Risk Tips: Use stops at 1.3700. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #Fed-linked pairs like EUR/USD. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, a bullish bias if USD/CAD holds 1.3728, supercharged by today's #Fed and #Forex trends, with 0.7% upside to 1.39 on policy divergence. But watch the Fed outcome for confirmation—this fits September's rate volatility theme amid easing hype. What’s your take? Bullish on USD/CAD amid #Fed cuts or fading the loonie? Share in the comments!
by DCAChampion
Lingrid | USDCAD Short at Resistance Following Rejection SignalThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:USDCAD rebounded strongly from the double bottom around 1.3700 and is now climbing within an upward channel. The structure shows lower highs capped by the red resistance trendline, while buyers attempt to sustain momentum toward 1.3868–1.3924 resistance. If price fails to break and hold above 1.3868, a rejection could send it back toward 1.3800 support. Broader context suggests a corrective upswing inside a larger resistance zone where sellers remain active. ⚠️ Risks: A clean breakout above 1.3924 would invalidate the sell bias and extend the bullish leg. Strong USD momentum from macroeconomic data could fuel further upside. Failure of the 1.3800 support could trigger deeper volatility spikes. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
4