People are way too conservative on crypto this bull run. I don't know why. Half are talking about an early top, the other half of a recession. The halving hasnt even passed yet and BTC and ETH are at their all time highs. This is not bearish. This is bullish. BTC can go to 250k this cycle. Eth can go to 15k. And alts can go ballistic in just a year. We are in...
It would be funny to see the BTC maxi's reaction if ETH breaks its ATH before BTC does. It is perfectly set up to do it with the deflationary token omics and the ETH ETF coming.
Ok these are the 3 macro scenarios that I'm following that i think have the highest chances of manifesting for BTC this cycle. - 2 of the 3 scenarios are based on Bob Loukas standard and left translated scenarios. For those price targets I've used the lower fib targets between 122k - 173k. - For the third option I've used Plan B's stock to flow model and the...
BTC is perfectly set up for a pull back on the weekly for the next month or two. Wouldn't be surprised if we see 50k or sub 50k to shake out the leveraged longs and scare the weak hands. It would be inline with the cycle and it would give alts some room to run against BTC. People just classically fomoed in to BTC after a huge run up.
Look at that weekly. Consolidating after exiting the bottoming range in the beginning of the bull market with the seed unlocks going down from 3 to 1 mill coins a month in April. Hesus. This is going to pump. Probably to $50 without a red week. Im bullish if it wasn't clear enough.
Its easy to just hodl when you ve been trough the bear market. Its peaceful. Im not excited or disappointed of anything in my portfolio. I know every dog will have its day. Im not trading, chasing pumps. I know we have 6 - 18 more months left of the bull cycle. Easy mode. I hear some people starting to capitulate in altcoins and starting to chase the BTC pump....
Wall street is in boys. The cycles are not going to be carbon copies of each other any more. Hell there might not be a 4 year cycle for all we know. BTC could just follow the Nasdaq or SnP500 from now on, but just with higher volatility. They just might program it like any regular market. And in regular markets its just better if you are invested forever or you...
This is my second cycle in crypto. My first was a training one. I did ok there, but nothing spectacular i sold a 3.5x on my initial investment. But the trick is hanging on for the second cycle and applying what you learned from your first one. This time I got BTC at 17k, ETH at 1300, STX at 60 cents, ICP at 5 dollars, Link at 6.50, got in to ordinals early. This...
Lets pray for all the bears and leveraged traders that missed out or blew their accounts. You could have just bought and be an optimist, instead you chose to predict a recession or a zombie apocalypse and missed out on a once in a 5 year opportunity. You will probably fomo buy 70k and then the market will pull back just to make you realize how stupid you are.
Profit taking time is from April 2025 to October 2025. If you just hodl until then, without stressing about trading or capturing the exact tops of the coins you will probably do extremely well in whatever you are invested in. At this point im using trading view and X just to vent my daily thoughts and feelings and im looking at the charts for fun. I haven't...
When you buy your favorite projects, whatever they are close to the cycle bottom, you dont need to do anything else the entire bull market. You can just let the gains compound. Just follow the big daddy BTC and when you think that the bull market is over for BTC/USD, take profits in your altcoins. You are not going to time the exact bottoms and tops, get that out...
Lets say that we have a standard bull run and we go to 8 trillion MC for the entire market. And now lets say CRYPTOCAP:ICP captures 2% of that as a normal successful blue chip project. That is 160 bill MC. That is approximately 350 bucks per ICP. Totally realistic. Lets look at an optimistic scenario. Lets say that crypto surprises everyone to the upside and we...
ICP did more then a 5x from the bottom and is now consolidating at 4x in a bull flag pattern. The next move could be really fast as well. I would be surprised if we double from current prices in just month/ month and a half. Not that i can do anything about it. Im staked.
I havent posted a link chart for a while because it was simply consolidating in a range. As we can see it formed a bull pattern on the weekly and recently it broke out. The measured move comes up to 30 bucks before we have another consolidation period.
New market participants don't seem to understand that the price you buy something at is as important as its fundamentals. Its one thing to buy a used Toyota for 10k and another to buy the same Toyota for 100k. I hear this constantly in crypto twitter or you tube. Every one is talking about how their coin is better then the others but no one is talking about the...
Here is the most normal trajectory of the BTC bull run. Sideways up until October 2025. This is my base case time wise. Price wise its a bit more speculative. Im guessing 100 - 150k.
Here we have the 30 and 90 week moving averages. In the past two bull markets when these crossed bullish we were up for some gains. If we dont have a black swan event we should hold the 30 week MA from now until the end of the cycle, aka sometime in 2025.
Absolutely nothing special is happening in this cycle time wise. The bottom came in as it was supposed to. The halving is around the corner and we pumped off the bottom as we were supposed to. Now we are probably going to pump for the next year and a half as we are supposed to. We might actually get surprised to the up side this time and we might have a better the...