We have been watching BTC in a tight consolidation that has broken up instead of down. The volume has spiked on the breakout confirming the move. We can still go to 19.3k-20k before finding rejection. THis is a major resistance/support so if we reclaim it, I will become pretty bullish. This rally has been nice but I am still anticipating lower prices this year. I...
CPI report came in at what was expected which is Neutral/bullish news. This fundamentally invalidates most of the bearish anticipation I had for the market.If we close today's candle above this support, I will look for 412 as BTC looks like it is in a cup and handle pattern just about to break out. A weekly close this fast above support is really surprising. So as...
BTC: after re-evaluating after some pattern invalidation, the best I can make for BTC is that this macro structure on the weekly where the weekly volume indicates a big move soon. Most likely decided by the SPY reaction the CPI reports tomorrw. So depending how the SPY leads, that will determine this overall trend for the next few weeks. The targets for the...
SPY: currently at major resistance on the daily. This entire move has been on declining volume. The SPY is about to make another major move off tomorrow news on CPI reports. In my opinion, the CPI reports will be poor and we will get rejection off of this major level. I think on bad reports, I think we can sell off back down to the 379 levels pretty quick which is...
Recently, the stock market broke from its consolidation to major resistance. We were anticipating it to break down which would have lead to our bearish prediction on BTC coming true. However, since it did not, it invalidated some minor bearish setups on BTC. After looking at the chart, I am remaining bearish on BTC. If we start closing above 17k-17.1k then I will...
We have been watching the SPY in a tight consolidation on declining volume getting ready to make a move. Traditionally, symmetrical triangles are continuations patterns in the direction of the trend. We had a bearish prediction down to 367. But on a positive jobs reports, the consolidation broke UP towards resistance(388-392). We can still push to 392 from here...
No change to the SPY. I am still watching the stock market as in a symmetrical triangle consolidation getting ready to break down to the 361-367 level on decliningg volume. It most clear on the weekly. I am expecting this pattern to be a continuation to 351 from the yellow rising macro wedge on declining volume we had been watching. Symmetrical triangles are...
I am still bearish on BTC to lower prices until invalidated. If we get invalidation and we break up, we could see the upper 18k levels if the Stock market holds. But for now, I am maintaining my bearish view. From our last update, we were watching a blue rising wedge on declining volume. We anticipated a break down but it actually broke up on a spike in buy volume...
Not financial advice. I am still bearish across the board to lower prices. I have not changed anything except my minor blue pattern from a symmetrical triangle to a rising wedge
There is no change to the previous BTC prediction. The major pattern is a rising wedge on declining volume(yellow) that will take us to 15k atleast but I’m expecting to go lower than that to 14k. We had a nice spike in sell volume on the breakdown of the yellow pattern which confirms to me the move is happening. We made another minor consolidation(red) that coiled...
There is no change to our previous calls on the stock market or Bitcoin. The SPY is breaking down to 351 from its rising wedge on declining volume(yellow). We had a nice spike in sell volume on the breakdown confirming the move for me. We are now in a symmetrical triangle on declining volume(red) getting ready to breakdown to 361 and eventually our 351 target. It...
Good morning everyone! I hope you have been enjoying the holidays! I just wanted to update that the minor rising wedge on BTC has broken down on a spike in sell volume. We got a few hundred away from our bottom target so we could go a little lower but it’s basically played out and I will be looking for the next setup. I am STILL bearish on the stock market to 351...
-NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE- No change to my previous updates. I am still bearish on both the stock market and Bitcoin
BTC has been mirroring the stock market recently. It was drawing a rising wedge(yellow) on declining volume. As the SPY broke down on a spike in sell volume, so did BTC. Since then, we have been drawing a minor consolidation on declining volume. Another rising wedge(Red pattern). I am anticipating this break down to at least 16k. But it will most likely over shoot...
I am still watching the stock market in a rising wedge on declining volume. We had a really nice spike in sell volume on the breakdown which is confirmation to me of the pattern. I am estimating continuation to the bottom of wedge at 351. It maybe a bit boring over the holidays but I think downside is coming in January at the latest. I saw a 1.7 trillion bill pass...
There has been no change to any of the setups. I am still bearish on the SPY to 351 from this rising wedge on declining volume. There was a bull trap right before the beginning of the breakdown. It did not change or invalidate this setup. We are starting to move below minor support and getting some increase in sell volume. I am anticipating it to accelerate to...
No change to any of my previous posts. there have only been fake outs before the break downs
I am currently bearish on the stock market and therefore crypto. See my thought in the video