As it was nearing the highs, I put a small lot size on at 1.33104 for 10 pips to 1.33204 and got a short 10 pip scalp on the way up. Just because I knew it would break the highs to trigger the smart money stop runs and clear out tight stop losses people already had on sells. Now that it's above the Highs, I believe this is a false breakout as it's holding steady,...
So this Blue Horizontal line that I've had on my charts for quite some time represents a significant resistance/support line for the past 8 years or so. I call the daily bias for the EURUSD to be a sell, and it was overnight and when I woke up I immediately exited the trade with a mere but decent 20 pips, closing the trade at 1.18337 about 8 hours ago. The move...
I'm practicing the reasoning I would have to trade a specific direction for a daily Bias. Today, November 19, would be a sell bias. We've reached another resistance area that could not be broken and have a few daily lows that can easily break. Not only that, there have been some false breakouts aka "Turtle Soups" that have resulted in a short drop followed by a...
I'm going to point to the original breakdown of the this idea to my related ideas. The continued added comments in the linked idea were just price reading along the way from the time I called this price until now. Now that we've finally entered the trade at 3595, I'll continue the rest on this of the analysis on this idea as it slides down and what I plan to do...
SMT = Smart Money Theory. A lot of this can be explained in my EU Idea since both move in concert together (usually) Just GBP happens to make bigger moves. So that's why this chart is on the hour chart and the EU is on the 15 min chart. GU is looking to break the next daily low. There's a far reach for the next daily low. Price will reach the GU daily order block...
SMT = Smart Money Theory After looking at this from multiple time frames, price action needs to have a daily bias and after today it seems to have turned from the sell to a buy bias. Price seeks previous highs and lows to break and now we have multiple highs in succession and it is close to those highs. However, there needs to be a pull back before moving...
Once price creates a new low that extends past the 0% fib extension, you would expect it the have a mirror of price reach, not necessarily price action. The original trade set forth was the new high as being the bottom and the beginning of the explosion being the full length of the trade. I has reached that and has barely made any moves under it. It was a very...
The only thing I am worried about with this call is that it could hit that Buy-side breaker and not reach my entry. But I've mapped out all key levels. and I believe this is what is possible. The previous fib it reached between the 70 .5% level and 79% level before breaking a new high. (Previous fib chart) Should it retrace from the current high, or the projected...
As a student of ICT, retail theory is not our thing. What I see that creates the current All time high is a liquidity run. It dips, creating a breaker, comes back up but doesn't get higher than the All time high. This is a signal for price to drop below a previous low. Which low is that? Depends on where the strongest breaker/order block is. Anyway, I was looking...
As a student of ICT, you're taught to draw your fibs at specific points. Like the low of the last explosive move that broke a high is where you would place the bottom. And of course the obvious top. Fib has been drawn. There's usually a sweet spot of the 70.5% that it likes to narrowly cross for a great entry. It just so happens that there is a breaker in the 5...
I redrew the fib to include the explosive move that would be the bottom of the fib to be the final little resting place before it broke the daily highs. This time the 70.5% retracement level is on target with a bullish order block. This scenario seems a bit safer than my first call. But either (or both) are highly likely in my eyes. The rest of the analysis...
If you study any of ICT's work you can see why this would be called. I just hope it's the correct one. Buy-side bias with highs to attack. A large gap to fall back to for the buy at a break / order block. And the price action should do the rest of the work.
The picture is pretty self descriptive. The next daily bias seems to be heading toward the direction of selling. There are many daily lows stacked up ready to be broken as well as an equal low setup just prior to the previous daily lows. I think during the Asian session we'll see Cable range but create equal highs and lows that it will want to break to creating a...
Don't you hate it when you set a sell limit at a high that's close to equal to another one? Well that's because there's liquidity there and the banks want to take you money so it will run through your sell limit. That's why I'm waiting for the pull back to the unmitigated order block in the 15 minute time frame chart, which happens to be sitting around the 61.8%...
Kinda Self-explanatory. Price hit a major breaker. The goal is for the take profit to beat the current low and the stop loss to be just above the current swing high. Plus it just changed sentiment and when measured with a fib, it's already bounced off some key levels. Maybe expect it to get a little higher at the cluster of breakers but there is where I would...
I could be completely off as I haven't seen a break in Market Structure as I'm trying to catch it before it happens, not with just this pair but EURUSD AND GBPUSD. I think If AUDUSD does break it before any others than we have a high probability of the rest of them breaking structure. I'm seeing a lot of equal highs and lows and breakers in price action. Which...
As price rapidly drop at the end of the day I could easily spot the next movement price action would return to before going lower. Trade against it to the point if you wish or trade with it and add another position if you're still in my long swing trade with me. Entry will likely be around 1.18198 (allow room for broker) and it will trade back to the low it just...