DYSWIS

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100 % forex
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDJPY 70% | 28 EURGBP 12% | 5 GBPUSD 7% | 3 AUDUSD 7% | 3
DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 30,
USDJPY: USDJPY 30m
68 2 6
USDJPY, 30
USDJPY 30m

I'm getting a bit limited with my free account as to what I can put on my charts . . . just 3 MAs and that's it, so I've managed to hunt down Chris Moody's dual MA from the public library to pack everything in . . . thanks Chris :) Yesterday was a bit of a disappointment if you were a BULL but not to worry, as there were opportunities to trade the BEAR side. My ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 30,
USDJPY: USDJPY 30M . . . little update
105 1 10
USDJPY, 30
USDJPY 30M . . . little update

Pull back to the 50% so far which is good . . . it's a Monday and Monday's are often slow to settle in although PRICE can quite happily skirt with the 62% and still be valid. My working charts are a fraction different on the MAs because they kick in at 6pm yesterday rather than 9pm with these charts. PRICE can bounce between the 100 and 200SMA (blue /green) until ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 30,
USDJPY: USDJPY 30M . . . a step too far for today ?
131 4 8
USDJPY, 30
USDJPY 30M . . . a step too far for today ?

A step too far today perhaps especially after a couple of disappointing numbers out of the US. It isn't over yet by any means but yesterday was a big one for this pair so it's no surprise there's a little reluctance for a "gung-ho" follow through today. PRICE needs to finish topside of the yellow box to confirm a turnaround technically . . . HH on the shorter ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 30,
USDJPY: USDJPY 30M . . . almost getting excited :)
80 0 6
USDJPY, 30
USDJPY 30M . . . almost getting excited :)

Been up since the crack of dawn taking a few points on this pair as it was ripe for an attempted break . . . far stronger than the previous attempt with the 100/200/400SMA (B/G/R) beginning to bunch indicating an imminent BALANCE to IMBALANCE moment as the BULLS try to break out. Targets are academic today with the new channel and the 5 Day AvDaRa at 135 points ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 60,
USDJPY: USDJPY 60m . . . Safe SELL/Weak SELL
40 0 5
USDJPY, 60
USDJPY 60m . . . Safe SELL/Weak SELL

PRICE is at the double bottom area presently and everyone has got their thinking hats on and their fingers poised. Is it really going to turn just yet . . . guessing is no good unfortunately, so I have to stick to analysis and give myself good reason to trade with logical targets in either event BULL or BEAR. Fundamentally the USD is strong with an almost given ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 60,
USDJPY: USDJPY 60m . . . confirming a trade
53 0 3
USDJPY, 60
USDJPY 60m . . . confirming a trade

All the info in here from my last chart tagged below but I've added a regression channel in this last up phase just to give me some sense of the minor trend. If you're putting one of these on your charts do it from H-L or L-H and then pull it out either side until you get the maximum Pearson % MAJOR trend is UP on the dailies . . . the pull back is a MID trend ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 60,
USDJPY: USDJPY 60M . . . Yellen spike but not out of the woods just yet
224 2 6
USDJPY, 60
USDJPY 60M . . . Yellen spike but not out of the woods just yet

Packing everything into a 60m chart here and hope it remains clear. Updated channel from yesterday . . . always a little ambiguous as to which H&L to use but this is a "road map" and not a bible. Today's 5 day AvDaRa is approximately 160 points from the current H&L and plotted accordingly. PRICE is taking a breather at the 200SMA as I write (green) and still needs ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 240,
USDJPY: USDJPY 240 . . . one more leg down ?
81 0 6
USDJPY, 240
USDJPY 240 . . . one more leg down ?

I've got two different FIBs on this chart . . . one from the August low dismissing the BREXIT spike and a second FIB from the November low dismissing the US election spike . . . both valid but one will become more valid than the other as time passes. The pull back channel is still holding strong . . . I've got no ambition in taking BUYS just yet as I still ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: USDJPY Daily . . .
79 0 4
USDJPY, D
USDJPY Daily . . .

Difficult to know where to place FIBS . . . they are all valid until invalidated and for the moment mine start at 16th August LOW. However what I'm looking for is a target/valid area for USDJPY to think about stopping this correction and returning to a northward trajectory although for the moment I remain BEARISH. Historical business has been at BALANCE in the red ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS AUDUSD, 240,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD 240
53 0 3
AUDUSD, 240
AUDUSD 240

I was BEAR on this pair but then things changed and I became a BULL . . . I'm now going to NEUTRAL awaiting a pull back to see the C&H develop or not as the case may be. AUDUSD has been having a great run this month already and PRICE is just about to reach the December HIGH again, so a wee bit of caution as this coincides with the 100 and 200SMA daily ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 60,
USDJPY: USDJPY 60m . . . testing the LOWS in a channel
76 0 3
USDJPY, 60
USDJPY 60m . . . testing the LOWS in a channel

My preferred chart time frame is the 30m . . . I'm an intraday trader with an eye on the big picture so my trading decisions have to fit comfortably with both in mind. To clearly plot the info I've posted a 60m chart for ease of reading. USDJPY is clearly on a BULL run in the big picture and with more FED rate hikes on the horizon, I don't see why that sentiment ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 240,
USDJPY: USDJPY 240
124 1 8
USDJPY, 240
USDJPY 240

Trumped again . . . the press conference was always going to be a concern and Mr Trump didn't disappoint. Technical targets hit and the bots and humans both pile in to defend the area pretty much as expected (ref my previous post). Unfortunately I don't think it's quite over yet and I'll feel cheated if the LOWS aren't retested in the near future to check out the ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 30,
USDJPY: USDJPY 30m . . . BULLS and BEARS testing each other
57 0 3
USDJPY, 30
USDJPY 30m . . . BULLS and BEARS testing each other

BULLS and BEARS testing/probing each others lines for weakness. Look at the 240 time frame and it's just a FLAG and FLAGS generally break NORTH. Below we have the 100SMA weekly at 114.50/60 +- which coincides with previous RESISTANCE turned SUPPORT through the first half of December (yellow block). This has been my target area in my last few posts on USDJPY and ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 30,
USDJPY: USDJPY 30M . . . ???
64 0 6
USDJPY, 30
USDJPY 30M . . . ???

USDJPY 30m . . . if we're going to get another run for the top and beyond then this is where the action will happen somewhere in the red section between the 38% and 50% FIBS and the 100SMA on the 30s. 10 and 20 EMA (black and red) not yet giving any signs other than down atm and PRICE may linger in this red box until either the BULLS or BEARS win. Going further ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS EURGBP, D,
EURGBP: EURGBP Daily
28 0 2
EURGBP, D
EURGBP Daily

Never easy doing analysis on the EURGBP as you always have to take into account the third element of the USD. However I was looking at it over the weekend as Theresa May inferred the UK leaving the "single market" as part of the BREXIT deal. I have no problem with that personally as all I see is politics on both sides interfering with what both sides want beneath ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 60,
USDJPY: USDJPY 60m . . . BALANCE and IMBALANCE
61 0 4
USDJPY, 60
USDJPY 60m . . . BALANCE and IMBALANCE

In order for a market to move in one direction or the other, it has to go from BALANCE to IMBALANCE . . . in other words either the BULLS or BEARS have to win out at some stage otherwise the market would stand still. "Market Profiling" is one way to ascertain these areas but with experience it's pretty easy to just look to the left and see where PRICE has hit the ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: USDJPY Daily . . . the psychological analysis
42 0 3
USDJPY, D
USDJPY Daily . . . the psychological analysis

It's not over until the "rubenesque" lady sings . . . profit taking - weak hands - waiting for VALUE to reappear . . . it really won't be clear for another few weeks. It's been a good run and the FOMC are somewhat cautious over Trump's fiscal policies . . . rightly so as he's a bit of an unknown quantity but that's not new news. Combine the run with Trump and ...

DYSWIS DYSWIS USDJPY, 30, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY 30M . . . adapting and updating
58 0 6
USDJPY, 30 Long
USDJPY 30M . . . adapting and updating

Updated chart with new channel to take into account the LOW of yesterday (I continually look for what others can see as I want to be the same). Duplicated the channels to take into account yesterdays HIGH and all looks within acceptable bounds atm. The 5 day AvDaRa is plotted up and down from the current H and L (these positions will change throughout the day as ...

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