On March 3, Friday, the USDJPY slid from a two-and-a-half-month high. The US non-manufacturing ISM index, released on the same day, fell from 55.2 in January to 55.1. The US dollar index, which measures the dollar against six major currencies, dropped from a high of 105.36 at the beginning of the week to 104.60. Investors took the opportunity to profitably...
Consequences of Powell's testimony overnight: Higher interest rate prospects for 2023. As of writing, the terminal interest rate expectation has risen to 5.655%. A 50 basis point rate hike is more likely at the March meeting. If the upcoming US inflation and nonfarm payrolls data fall short of expectations, it may dampen market expectations for rate hikes and...
As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates and unwind its balance sheet, concerns over other US banks were raised following the "Silicon Valley Bank Incident", causing all three major US stock markets to fall. The S&P 500 Bank Index plummeted 6% last night, marking the largest single-day drop in two years. JPMorgan's stock price also fell 6%,...
The market continues to digest the testimony of the Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. In his two-day speech, he appeared slightly less hawkish on the second day, which helped prevent further decline in gold prices. After Powell hinted at the possibility of a 50 basis points rate hike by FOMC in March, gold prices plummeted on Tuesday, and then stabilized in...
Bitcoin is currently in its third consecutive week of decline and has fallen below the 22,000 support level. Given Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's suggestion that interest rates are likely to continue to rise in the foreseeable future, Bitcoin's price has broken below its previous resistance and hit a low of 21,598 US dollars. As the semi-annual monetary...
Compared with his testimony in the Senate on Tuesday, Powell's speech in the House on Wednesday was milder, causing the US dollar to undergo a short-term correction and giving the gold price an opportunity to stabilize near 1800. In his testimony on Tuesday, Powell's remark that "the Fed is prepared to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes, and terminal...
Despite the unexpected drop in API crude oil inventory providing support to oil prices, the hawkish speech by the overnight Federal Reserve Chairman has continued to help the US dollar index soar, which has raised concerns about economic recession and continued to put pressure on oil prices. Although there is a chance for the oil price to rebound and adjust...
After each wave of market activity, successful traders reap joy, profits, and experience, while unsuccessful traders face sadness, losses, and lessons. The same market, the same time, but different results. Which type are you? If the direction is right, the road ahead is not daunting. Witness your strength with time, win the future with your abilities, let trust...
The decline in US bond yields dragged down the US dollar, with focus on Powell and the non-farm payrolls report; under the pressure of these two negative factors, the Australian dollar (AUD), also known as the Aussie, accelerated its decline against the US dollar (USD), breaking below the key level of 0.6700. Meanwhile, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) is still...
Keep an eye on US Treasury yields, as the two-year US bond yield rose to 5.085%, the highest in Asia, and currently stands at 5.062%; the Nikkei index closed up 0.5% at 28444.19 points. The USD/JPY rose to 137.90 and then retreated, but still remains bullish; The USD/JPY rose from the morning low of 137.10 in Asia to the highest of 137.90, and then softened...
Today's market saw a strong downtrend due to Powell's speech causing a strengthening of the US dollar and market bearish sentiment. The price has deviated from its technical trend, but I personally expect the market to eventually return to a technical trend. Our long positions entered at 1830 are still being held, and for friends with larger capital, additional...
There is a clear signal of a short-term top in GBPJPY, and there is a demand for a pullback. Short-term trading can be positioned for short positions. Personal trading suggestion: Enter a short position at 163.550-164.000 with a target of 161.200. I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude...
Over the past two weeks, international oil prices have continued to fluctuate upwards, despite the negative signals from changes in US crude oil inventories and little impact on Russian crude oil exports from sanctions. However, these pressures have been unable to overshadow the positive impact of China's economic recovery and resilient risk appetite on oil...
A person, a book, a cup of tea, and a dream. Sometimes, loneliness is so moving, and only at this moment can the world be so calm. The cool wind blows the pages of the book, and the smoke and rain permeate the dusty words and stories in the book with a moist breath. Leaning alone at the window, watching the blue-stone alley at the corner, an oil-paper umbrella...
On Friday, March 3rd, the GBPUSD rose 0.7% to $1.2032. The final reading of the February Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from the IHS Markit/CIPS rose to 53.5, higher than January's 48.7 and the initial February reading of 53.3, marking the strongest growth since June last year. The data has increased investor expectations that UK interest rates will...
Powell will testify before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday on the Fed's semi-annual monetary policy report. He will then testify before the House Financial Services Committee on the same topic on Wednesday. The market will also digest the latest non-farm payroll report for February, which is widely expected to add 200,000 jobs, with an unemployment rate...
Yellow leaves give up the trunk in anticipation of the verdant spring; candles sacrifice their perfect bodies to have a lifetime of brightness; and the mind lets go of the mundane clamor to embrace tranquility. Only by letting go can one free their hands and seize true happiness and joy that belong to them. Learning to let go is essential to living a fulfilling...
After being blocked at 24K, BTC fell sharply, and this large-scale decline was expected. Therefore, it was mentioned around 24K that profit-taking operations were needed. Although the long-term view is bullish, the market indeed needs to adjust before restarting. This decline actually provides a better entry point, and I will continue to establish long positions...