Possible a medium-term consolidation is formed. The news background is very active. But we can look for an opportunity to trade both within the consolidation, and at its breakthrough.
Breakthrough up long-term consolidation on the pound may lead to the formation of an upward trend on the cross.
It is possible to form a short-term consolidation with the most probable breakdown down. The downward movement will close the gap, which was formed on Monday after the elections in France.
Two long-term downward resistance levels may be the target of the current upward movement.
NASDAQ reached a long-term and local targets. Index S&P yet can not break up the local resistance level. The probability of fixing profits on NASDAQ is high, which will cause a rollback downward. Perhaps, there will still be some downward model that will open a short position.
A pound for more than 4 days is in the range of less than 100 pips. A range break can be used to open a long position with a target in the 1.3550 area.
Consolidation can be broken both down and up. With a small stop, the profit factor can be good enough for such a small consolidation. Why was the short position opened:
A breakdown of consolidation may lead to the formation of a downtrend with a target in the 0.7780 area.
Correction downwards is possible. The growth rate of the long-term uptrend is falling. The picture will be in the comment.
Short position with a target in the area of the support level.
A small downward "Head and shoulders" model may be formed.
We have a long-term downtrend. For sale, we can use rollbacks up or models to continue the downtrend.
The pound has formed a long-term consolidation. We trade within the consolidation or at its breakdown.
If presidential elections in France are won by supporters of Frexit, euro can open with a gap down, with further movement down to support level.
A model of continuation of the downward trend is forming - a downward consolidation.
It is possible to form the "Head and shoulders" model with a target level in the region of the level of long-term support.
A breakdown of the long-term support level is possible. The target level will be determined by the long-term model.
An apparent decrease in the rate of downward movement or a reversal model can be used to open a long position in the purchase zone with a target in the area of resistance level 1.0906.