JohnBaron

PRO
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Joined
Markets Allocation
44 % forex 33 % commodities 22 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USOIL 32% | 8 USDWTI 32% | 8 RBV 8% | 2 CL1! 8% | 2
JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO CL1!, D,
CL1!: OI with history information
99 1 4
CL1!, D
OI with history information

Simple analysis of OI including options, including last year values for seasonal comparisons. First group of indicators are producers and consumers. Second group is managed money. Red is Short, Green is long and yellow is net.

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO CL1!, 240,
CL1!: Oil ... short term idea
132 0 5
CL1!, 240
Oil ... short term idea

Short term idea, nice cup/handle forming, needs a 50% retrace to validate, and an overlay of last years price, same time period for reference. Expect near term short oppty, and then perhaps a prolonged decline for the season, or a snap back up to $52 then a decline. ... but here is the chart anyway. the normal caveats for oil follow... geopolitical risks, major ...

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO RBV2017, 60,
RBV2017: Update of previous RBOB Idea
25 0 1
RBV2017, 60
Update of previous RBOB Idea

Updated the count - updated the trend

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USOIL, 240, Long ,
USOIL: A few possible paths for WTI, USOIL
222 4 7
USOIL, 240 Long
A few possible paths for WTI, USOIL

A few possible paths for WTI. Overall Harvey is bullish for oil - higher consumption of product from stores - refiners world wide increasing production/consumption of crude to fill the product gap and take advantage of the RBOB spreads - curtailed crude production in the GOM and shale - spread between Brent/WTI driving higher exports of WTI to Asia The ...

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO RBV2017, 60,
RBV2017: Gasoline
38 0 2
RBV2017, 60
Gasoline

Entering holiday weekend and hurricane after effects, we should see a few weeks of significant draw downs in inventory.

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USOIL, 240,
USOIL: OIL through April
381 2 13
USOIL, 240
OIL through April

RSI is at peak,expect some stability until early first week of April, then a drop to 49.3x, more wedging until break out and up around the 11th. Always the risk of extended wave 3. Timing is always dodgy with news and events Also MM continued reducing their long positions. Recent increase in price I believe was largely driven by quarter end closing of short ...

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO CLH2017, 15, Long ,
CLH2017: An idea about WTI
93 0 2
CLH2017, 15 Long
An idea about WTI

I think it describes it's self. But i need to type in some words so it will publish. The rains in Spain fall mainly on the plains.

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USOIL, 240,
USOIL: USOIL, patterns and channels for bulls and bears
240 0 9
USOIL, 240
USOIL, patterns and channels for bulls and bears

Begin with the caveat all traders understand, every pattern requires confirmation along the way. So this will be a discussion of patterns and confirmations. I tend to trade daily, so i am neither long nor short. Pattern 1: Macro wolf wave, $65 by mid January. Channel 1 (Yellow): bull channel from November 2016 Channel 2 (Blue) : bear channel from December ...

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: BAR Bottom Reversal
327 2 6
USOIL, D
BAR Bottom Reversal

Long term view of WTI. Bukowski Patterns. Break out would suggest a complete reversal.

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO CLU2016, D,
CLU2016: One possibility
121 0 9
CLU2016, D
One possibility

This is one view - seems to line up with seasonality fundamentals and quarter close. With oil it's always uncertain what may happen with geopolitics and supply disruptions. Holding those aside, which is difficult, a seasonal demand pattern does exist with this commodity. Annual fib pivots are shown. Red lines show highs and lows.

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USDWTI, 120,
USDWTI: A conceptual view of WTI trading over the next week
152 1 4
USDWTI, 120
A conceptual view of WTI trading over the next week

WTI has moved into a bear market. Following support levels and patterns from last year, I anticipate another 4-5% decline in USDWTI until next August 16th. The contract rollover will serve to stimulate some buying. After two weeks of bearish 'EIA' reports, I anticipate 'EIA' next week will be bullish relative to market expectations and that will stimulate a ...

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USDWTI, D,
USDWTI: 2016 WTI YTD with 4 prior years to study seasonality
307 4 12
USDWTI, D
2016 WTI YTD with 4 prior years to study seasonality

Vertical lines represent EIA report dates. August date was selected for approximation of low date. A projection is extended from 2016 moving average

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USDWTI, 60,
USDWTI: WTI over the next few months, some ideas
67 0 2
USDWTI, 60
WTI over the next few months, some ideas

Multiple layers of channels are shown, multiple wedges, hinged around EIA reports - other major unanticipated supply disruption or macro-economic news, such as Brexit, clearly would throw spanners into the works. A few patterns to note. 1. Channels - regression a. Major upward from February b. Sub-Major sideways - call it May c. Minor Near term channel from ...

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USDWTI, 60,
USDWTI: WTI for next 24 hours
58 0 5
USDWTI, 60
WTI for next 24 hours

Coming off the API report, the next move will be triggered by the EIA. Support and Resistance levels shown along with channel.

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USDWTI, 60, Long ,
USDWTI: A potential path for the next few weeks of WTI Crude
118 0 3
USDWTI, 60 Long
A potential path for the next few weeks of WTI Crude

A plan that incorporates Brexit Extend gains on positive EIA report to 52.4 Brexit Remain vote push to 56 Brexit Leave vote drop to 47 1st week of July, assuming summer season draw downs are over, start to see oil decline through to mid August. September, anticipate a rate hike. Price begins to rise slowly though december

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USDWTI, 240, Long ,
USDWTI: WTI  - big picture
61 0 5
USDWTI, 240 Long
WTI - big picture

If there are no large surprise events (more dramatic supply disruptions), then the next hard resistance is 50.93 and the price may break the wedge or move forward. The Fed decision on USD is the next big event and not likely to have any impact on the movement in the wedge. The Brexit vote is the next big event on June 23. That will either accelerate the movement ...

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USDWTI, D, Long ,
USDWTI: WTI Long term.. updated
69 0 3
USDWTI, D Long
WTI Long term.. updated

Mirror reflection updated showing two potential paths - one a correction before a new high, the other a new high then a correction back to 43, then 37-38, then a gradual climb back up beyond 50

JohnBaron JohnBaron PRO USDWTI, 120, Long ,
USDWTI: WTI projection using 2hr candles and reflection
35 0 3
USDWTI, 120 Long
WTI projection using 2hr candles and reflection

This is a reflection of the downward trend over time - the uptrend is running ahead of the rate of it's downward movement in the past.

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RBOB GASOLINE FUTURES
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WTI CRUDE OIL
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