Things are likely to give confusing messages today, with the addition of Tesla to the market. The overall momentum is Bullish, Tesla will most likely drive up the price further. However, the market needs to pullback to collect liquidity if nothing else. Remember whenever there are buyers, people need to be selling to them. Be patient on any trade entry long or...
If you take into account the Wall Street cycle we can see the main points in the market move. On a technical level we have a weekly Elliott 3 top forming looking for a pullback to point 4. This is supported by the DXY oversold level on it's stochastic. COT data is showing a move toward short positions (not heavily) so again further support of the drop....
Not looked at Wyckoff concept for a while but watched a video the other day and found something similar after distribution. These guys were using an average level from accumulation/distribution. So with it being Christmas, I thought I would look into it again. This looks like it is setting up for a drop - we could indeed be in phase C of the concept. I would be...
Gold has a potential pullback to go long. (ignore the 0-5 levels) more the idea in general terms. The DXY requires a pullback this lines up with some Delta turning points. With Bitcoin, SPX and Gold rising as the DXY drops. The Correlation makes this an obvious next step. Just a question of when. If you look at the monthly chart (below) You will see the...
Check out the link in the related section, Done exactly as planned. Now it's slowed down, into the zone. Waiting on confirmation short. It could pop up a little more but bias is short still. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and...
Less of a tutorial and more of an observation. Worth a look at the relationships if your new to trading. Bitcoin's addition is intriguing. Wishing you all a Merry Christmas and a Successful New Year. Comments & Discussion welcome. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over...
After the post on the 20th of November Long. It looks like AU has tagged the area marked & could now be looking for at least a pullback. check the long call link below and you will see why the potential reversal is here. (nearly here) Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has...
Called the Long position a couple of weeks back. It's now set up nice for a drop. Not taking it immediately, should wait for a confirmation. The end of the cycle is here, the DXY is down on it's knees. So it's going to pullback. Looking at the pattern on the chart itself - we have a great W formed and Stochastic is overbought. We still have a false bar in the...
Following the Elliott pattern on the 'Advanced Get' Tool. DXY weakness still which will stay the same until SPX slows a little. The risk seems pretty much off at the time of writing. IG Trader sentiment is 68% short, giving further validation of a contrarian view. COT data - Asset Managers are only 50.50% long whilst LEveraged funds are 60.89% Long. Meaning...
There's a turn in the trend due around the 30th as part of the cycles. This lines up with an Oversold (currently - false bar stochastic) As well as the hyperextended S&P. This could be a good indication of the bubble growing and no place to run. Let's see... Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our...
We have Monday as a new cycle so we could easily push into the middle of next week for the change in trend. At the moment, the Long is too obvious & with retail traders 75% Long, The price needs to drop to collect some more liquidity. Expect an extreme spike or a long candle that will scare most long positions. Last week saw Asset Managers start adding longs but...
Similarly to the Swiss Franc in the other direction. Too many people are net short on this already. 73% of retail at the time of writing. Asset Managers are 68% Long so we will wait for data tonight. Leveraged money has started to move short. But still favoring long. The interesting date for the cycle is Monday. So a couple of days after that would make some...
With so many people now Long DXY, it's going to keep collecting liquidity for the sharp rise. It's now all about timing, Asset Managers and Leveraged funds are still short. Let's see what COT data shows tonight. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience...
IT looks like a messy H&S pattern potentially. With a crazy rally over the last 24 hours, it could be setting up for an almighty drop. The Covid Vaccine is a few months away & other companies fell over at the next stages. UK still has Brexit to look forward to, Biden is pro Euro. So a few potential pitfalls for the UK. I think the rally was 100% down to selling...
COT data (Leveraged Funds) have move positions long in this last week. Asset Managers are still predominantly short. But Daily, Weekly becoming exhausted. DXY strength down overall, but this would be a pullback in the shorter term. See Daily & weekly Situations below. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational...
Interesting times - SPX has all the price points baked in. Forget the Elections, the Richest CEO's and companies added $1 Trillion to their net-worth during the first round of Covid. Whilst retail traders are stressing over Biden or Trump. There are some bigger factors at play. We could see the price fall to around 3096 before a half-decent rise....
Here's an update from the last GJ post. Still short & it's looking like the pattern is playing out. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions and...
Brexit and Covid 2.0. No real need to say much else. However, we are in a Daily wave 4-5 of an Elliott wave. We should see a little pullback and a bigger drop. COT data also major short the GBP and net long JPY. There were key turning points in the Cycle indicator on the 5th, 10th and 15th - next is the 23rd, to the 29th. Let's see where next. Suprised if it...