We are watching the Euro closely. Draghi said he wasn't ready to inject stimulus and needed more time to evaluate. Really? This is good news for traders. The Euro should consolidate tighter for a chance to POP in the near future. We will continue to monitor the possibility. Keep it on your watch list.
We are long Goldie and admittedly we are not very excited about it. It met every criteria of our trades but we have a conflicting monthly signal. Monthly signals trump all others so we are keeping our stop tight. Our R/R is awesome so we are good with a small loss. If we test the top of the wedge we will tighten our stop to entry minus 10 ticks. Stay tuned
After two attempts at getting target #2 we failed! Bummer. That's trading and as we've heard many time, "don't be a dick for a tick", we aren't. Price came within 5 points of our target and back away. We believe price is not done testing the down side so we will hold to our plan. These small bounces are on low volume. On the next visit to the recent lows we...
As we creep closer to our second target we are pulling stops to Break Even plus 10 to lock the trade in. We are fairly confident we will see target number 2 early in the session today. Regardless, we want to manage the trade properly. Yo never know when the PPT will swoop in to save the market. ;) Trade well!
We are short the Nasdaq from our post last night. We have set out stops and trigger. While this chart doesn't show it we hit our first target. We will leave stops in the same place and see if we can get Target #2. Stay Tuned
The bulls were squeezed hard on FOMC (and the day after). After many years of trading this is why we stay away from longer term trades until the dust settles. There will be more than enough opportunity to trade. Most of the indexes are at support or have broken their patterns. We expect a small bounce in the $NQ on Monday followed by more selling. An inside...
We stayed out of the Euro last week to let the FOMC announcement shake the "playa's" out of the market. Even after the hoopla, price is still contained inside the wedge. The daily chart is ugly so we look at the Weekly to give us the story. If we get a weekly close outside of the wedge expect them to eat up the supply from the week of 8/24 and try to run the...
With everyone and their kid brother devaluing their currency we have seen strength in Gold. Gold has formed a nice wedge that when broken should run nicely. We like the upside potential and pullbacks to the green zone (26-22 area) will be our trigger area. Sine this setup falls in the middle of the wedge it's important to wait for the trigger. NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!
After a crazy week in the markets crude attempted a breakout. Now we are back at the scene of the crime. It's interesting that we see this pull back after Goldman Sachs releases their long term Crude forecast. Very fishy. Our eyes are on the 43 - 43.50 area. There are a lot of stops below this area and someone is fishing for them. If they get blown out we...
We have pulled our buy orders off the table with crude. We have seen 4 straight days of up and down so we will let crude trade on Monday before accessing. However, crude is consolidating which means another move will happen soon. OPEC says prices will continue to stay low until the beginning of the year. Will they be right or will the bulls force the issue? ...
The Euro has hit our zone this evening and we are on the sidelines. This weeks FOMC will have an effect on the Euro and we don have enough time to take a position before that meeting. If you must trade don't get married to the trade.
No further trades popped up this last week in the Nasdaq and we are 3 trading days away from FOMC. Aunt Janet will make the market move but it's a crap shoot as to which way. There is plenty of speculation surrounding the rate decision but do not get wound up in it. We will sit on the sides lines and see how the market closes after the announcement. Expect...
This is why we wait for the market to tip it's hand and you should as well. We were thinking long and if we would've established longs in the range we would have been squeezed hard for a big loss. The long trade is off the table for us with our powder dry. We will analyze Goldie for her next move.
We are still watching crude for an entry long. We would like to see price re-visit the trigger zone and touch the lower flag. We are being CAUTIOUS with crude. This beast can blow through an area quickly so MAKE SURE IF YOU ARE TRADING CRUDE YOU ARE USING A TRIGGER! Define your risk and be good with it.
The $NQ kissed major resistance today and sold off hard. This paints a few pictures. 1st, if we get a close above the resistance area we could see the bulls come alive. 2nd, we should test the lower flag area. 3rd, as we approach the FOMC announcement next Thursday (17th) the market could lose it's memory from day to day and get choppy. For now we are selling...
The $NQ is in the same situation as $ES. Choose your poison. We will not take the direct break. We will wait for a pullback to trigger on a shorter time frame. ANY CLOSE ABOVE 4370 and we will change our sentiment. Next week should be fun. NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!
The $ES is looking weak. The bounces have been feeble and with low volume. What started as a wedge has evolved into a flag and this points to lower prices. We WILL NOT take the break of the flag. We will wait for the break and look for pullbacks on a smaller time frame (60 min) to trigger us short. NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!
Would of, should of, could of...That was another nice move off the trigger area but as we mentioned before it wasn't deep enough into our zone. Now crude was rejected at the upper flag so we expect price to fall into the range and hopefully test the lower flag in our zone. Patience is needed! It's on our watch list.