We may have missed the Euro opportunity. Price didn't quite get to our trigger area. Thanks to Draghi the Euro sold off hard this week. The middle of the range is not an area where we want to participate, so we wait to see how price reacts at the bottom of the range.
The $ES has held a re-test of the breakout wedge. This is very normal. We call this the kiss or a revisit to the scene of the crime. With yesterdays buying it looks as if the Bulls still have some fight left in them. We are still very cautious to the upside. Shorter time frames area bullish. Longer time frames are bearish. We are standing on the sidelines...
Crude touched our trigger area but didn't go far enough in for us to take the trade. It would have worked nicely but didn't meet our criteria. If crude re-visits our zone then it most likely will touch the lower part of the flag. For us...we will look for a test to the lower part of the flag to get a trigger. NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE! LESSON: Have a criteria...
Crude is experiencing some incredible moves which may be a sign a bottom is near. When bottoms form there is wider moves with volatility...we are watching the trigger zone for a possible long entry. We will keep a tight leash on the trade is it triggers. You never know with crude. NO TRIGGER...NO TRADE!
Still waiting. Trading is s waiting game...the better you get at it the more money you can make. Keep the E6 on your watch list.
Ok...we are not perfect and make mistakes. Price touched our trigger zone and we failed to get short. Bummer! We like to see price get into the zone...but its not a hard fast rule. It would have been a great trade. However, we are now back into the flag range which confirms a failed breakout. We will look to get short on any moves to the upside. ...
We saw an acceleration of buying above $47.00. It's safe to say a lot of shorts got shaken out of the market. Now we watch. We look for consolidation or a pullback to the $42 area. Will OPEC follow through with it's comments or will a rate hike send crude back down to the lows? It will be a tug of war and we are placing our bets on OPEC. We are seeking to...
Daily chart per our Weekly chart post. See "Fake Confirmed" for analysis. Look for a trigger
We look at the Weekly chart of the Euro and last weeks trading suggests more downside. Understand that the selling that happened last week and the fact that we are back inside the wedge suggest more selling is coming. We will look for bounces to resistance and look for TRIGGERS. If they take another stab at a breakout watch the high of last week. If we reach...
After a rocket off the bottom and a nice trade, Crude needs a rest. Is the bottom in? We don't so...soon though. We feel crude could make another attempt at a bottom to shake out the weak longs. However, if crude wants more upside from here we will need to see some consolidation. Above the $47 and we could see an accelerated squeeze. Crude is on our daily...
The $ES is in a tricky spot. Major resistance is above but is also butting up against a hidden resistance area now. It will take some serious buying to get us up to the watch areas. This is not a sell area for us however it is in the $NQ (see post). For now we will keep the $ES on the radar.
The Russell still has some ways to go until hitting her breakdown levels. It's lagging the $ES an $NQ. We will watch the 1152.00 area to see if price can hold. If we see price trade below this area then a squeeze could be in play. Be patient and wait for a trigger.
The potential bear flag did not form as price shot up and finished the week strong. The $NQ is now at the major breakdown level. While we expect volatility to continue it does need a rest. We like a move back down this week. We are still long term bearish on this market and will keep an eye on the watch zone. A break down of the level could send us to the...
Well...that was quick. Off the Descending triangle we were able to take advantage of a very quick move and ring the bell on a nice winner. Lessons for all: Define your trade - Wait for it to happen - manage it as defined - control emotions. We are flat and will see how the pullbacks look.
Crude moved fast and furious so we took some off at 42.04 and pulled stops to our entry level. We weren't expecting this quick of a move so we had to adjust. That is trading...noting is static. It's a free trade and we will trail the stop until we see target #2 or get taken out.
After waiting...we are long Crude (WTI). We like the potential of this trade and are looking for a larger than normal first target. We will keep this on a tight leash. In lieu of shorter targets we will move our stops up as we gain more in the trade.
The Euro is back under major resistance...was this a fake break out? We are watching closely and looking for opportunities to the short side. if the bulls rally and take out the most recent highs then the squeeze will be on and Euro bears will be jumping off the ship. We want to see a test of the major resistance and sellers to step in. NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!
The $NQ chewed up support which made it non existent over the last couple of days. The $NQ could be starting to develop a bear flag. We will watch this closely. We are short term bullish but long term bearish for now. The swings are wide. If you "must" trade, reduce your size and focus on one maybe two markets.