Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought With the housing market facing headwinds with rising mortgage rates soaring past 7% (The highest since 2002). Housing should expect a cooldown as it is tied directly to the rising Fed interest rates. Risk Mitigation While there is an S&R line at 22.3, if price hits 24 it would point to me being wrong on the direction short...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Plug is a company that will rely heavily on bank loans to operate, this would probably result in accelerated dips with the increasing interest rates Risk Mitigation There is a S&R line at 23.5 Can You Trade The Opposite Side (Y/N) No Trade Specs Sold 420 Calls @ 0.17 Strike 24.5 31.8% to Strike BP Used: 75k Max Gain: 7140
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I’ve been looking at the retail sector especially since the consumer willingness to spend has been shifting to services/ experiences and entertainment. Household cleaning, groceries, pets, alcohol, recreational vehicles all have seen drops in spend from Q1 2022 to Q2 2022 Walmart has also started laying off people and have...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought This position is a hedge as it is Market wide bullish inclined However I gave it a good 39.7% distance from the strike to account for market volatility that I expect to happen especially with the Sep rate hikes Risk Mitigation The 39.7% distance from strike should cushion market volatility but also there are 2 near S&R...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought JWN (Nordstrom) is a luxury departmental store chain. With the concerns of the recession and the cooling signs of the job market, layoffs in tech and the overall retail leadership cautiousness during the earnings. I think this is the right direction especially since it is following the larger market direction US retail sales...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Signet Jewelers is a retailer of diamond jewellery. With the concerns of the recession, the cooling signs of the job market, layoffs in tech and the overall retail leadership cautiousness during the earnings. I think this is the right direction especially since it is following the larger market direction US retail sales also...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Selling Calls on the VIXY goes against my market stance. But it has a good distance of 34.35% away from strike. Price action is ranging with the past volatility VIXY’s peak has still been below 24.65. Risk Mitigation There is a S&R lines at 24 There will be volatility and as such I have only purchased a small amount with a...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Airlines are doing well with the travel surge, but they are throttling this growth as their operations are unable to handle the demand and the macro economics Flight delays and cancellations have battered the US industry this year as consumers starved for travel during the pandemic have forked over higher fares and crammed onto...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Similar hypothesis to July’s UAL trade I do feel that Airline would be the next sector to move upwards as the airline start coping with the travel surge. I would probably have to be more cautious on this after Sep Flight delays and cancellations have battered the US industry this year as consumers starved for travel during the...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought For some reason the VXX options contracts seems to require a lot of Margin/BP to develop a decent premium. As such I decided to look at other VIX related ETFs and found VIXY well priced and from my research has a closer correlation with the VIX Over the past year of trading options i’ve come to realised that I’m really trading...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought CWH is part of the Recreational Vehicles sector, that came out of my shortlist of companies with medium level volatility in the past month Across the sector there is a bearish alignment which is important I do expect some volatility with an upwards movement as price across the markets might stabilise from the past 5 weeks of...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I had filled my Macy’s trade first but as I was looking at the charts I realised that it was possible for me to create some sort of a hedge with JWN and M (one being Puts, the other Calls). JWN similar to Macy’s has strong S&R lines at 30, 26 and 24.19 As I believe we are in the ranging situation. I expect the price to drop or go...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought The Departmental Store sector was not one of my original shortlist. But I also do think my current method of shortlisting from the median of the monthly performance (both negative and positive), might not be the best. Even if the price performance meets my expectations on what I should be trading in a volatile ranging market. ...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought My original intention was to leverage the volatility from the rate increases to enter VXX. However the BP (Buying Power) requirements were pretty high. Making IT less attractive in risk and reward The airlines sector are seeing signs or recovery with surges over pre-pandemic level in March. United Airlines (21 April) have...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I purposely ended my March trades last week because I felt this week would be super volatile given the Fed announcements on interest rates. This play turned out well as I got to write VXX calls that end 1 Apr at an amazing price On the 15 March, I noticed that the VXX had stopped correlating with the market and I believe this...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I entered this position as I believe that we are currently in a sideways bearish situation. The markets took huge dips since late Nov to Jan and while it has recovered some of that loss. The S&P and especially the NASDAQ show that at least for now, the constant bold bullish days are narrowing Even though I am taking a sideways...
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought I identified this trade by looking at Finviz Groups and shortlisted the mid volatility Industry players (1 Month bull, 2 - 1 Week bearish). This was because I wanted to be trading in industries with less volatile price movements. Previously for the past 4 months I have been trading in industries at the forefront of any movement....
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought Bullish Stance XRT are retail discretionary companies and right now there seems to be alot of optimism. Consumers seem to be find paying for the current rising prices of products. I think will continue with the festive period Sep Consumer Spending has lost momentum but still grew at 1.4% Sep Personal income was up 0.9% Current...