Gold (XAUUSD) dipped on Friday below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but that doesn't affect the long-term trend (see chart below), which is still bullish within the 18-month Channel Up pattern: Even on the current 4H time-frame analysis, the price found support right at the bottom of the short-term Channel Up. However, short-term buys can only be confirmed...
Last time we looked at the USDJPY pair (May 22, see chart below), it gave us a solid buy signal at the bottom of its Channel Up: Since then the price got rejected on Resistance 1 (161.950), forming a Diverging Higher Highs trend-line and pulled back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and at the bottom of the (blue) 7-month Channel Up. Once the price breaks...
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has so far followed to near perfection our last long-term analysis (May 13, see chart below) where we called for a prolonged accumulation (red Rectangle) of at least another 2-months before the real cyclical rally started: We called then that 'patience will be rewarded' and the stock is finally close to rewarding your patience on...
The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) initially expanded but then took a breather on the new Bullish Leg, as per our January 24 (see chart below) buy signal, before hitting our Target: The price is now approaching the bottom of the 2-year Channel Up yet again and by next week a 1D Death Cross will be completed. The 2 previous such formations within...
The GBPNZD pair is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Up and has already completed a +4.40% rise since its recent Higher Low. That is the exact rise % that the previous two Bullish Legs of the Channel achieved. As a result this is close to the most optimal sell signal we can get. Both previous Bearish Legs that followed such top...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is approaching the top of the 4-month Bull Flag pattern and is technically ready to break above it. When it does, expect a parabolic break-out as this will be a bullish structure within a long-term Channel Up (blue) breaking above the All Time High (ATH) trend-line. ** Bull Flags are a norm ** Similar Bull Flags that broke above the exact same...
The S&P500 (SPX) has been rising steadily since our June 17 bullish break-out signal (see chart below) and despite this week's pull-back, the upward pattern remains unchanged: As long as it continues to be supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we remain bullish with our Target intact at 5800, marginally below the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. On a...
This is a small Gold (XAUUSD) update on Monday's idea (see chart below) as we have a major Resistance break-out: As you can see, the price action is so far following our trading plan and following the Resistance break-out, we see it potentially moving a little higher and then pulling back to re-test the Resistance as a Support. That happened on the previous...
WTI Oil (USOIL) is posting today the 2nd straight green 1D candle following yesterday's EIA report but the short-term pattern remains a (dashed) Channel Down, which keeps the trend bearish. Ever since the July 05 rejection at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Triangle pattern, we've been aiming for a 1W MA200 (red trend-line) contact, similar to the...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) hit our 41000 Target as projected on our last analysis (July 10, see chart below) and reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 3-month Channel Up: The Bullish leg competed a rise around the same levels as the previous one (7.87% against 7.65%), so we can assume the symmetry will continue to shape within...
The AUDCHF pair is on the 3rd straight day of a strong short-term pull-back and just touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 3 weeks. The long-term bullish trend remains intact though as the dominant structure is a 7-month Channel Up. As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we will remain bullish, targeting 0.62250 (+6.20%...
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the May 01 High, which is a technical Bearish Leg inside the long-term Channel Up structure. The price is already very close to the bottom of the Channel Down and with the previous Bearish Leg completing a -2.36% decline, we believe this is the right time to buy again on the...
Nasdaq (US100) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the November 2022 market bottom and at the moment is unfolding its 3rd major Bullish Leg of the pattern. Supported on the short-term by the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), the index is aiming for at least a +26.20% rise from the April 15 Low, as the 2nd Bullish Leg rose by 5% less than the first. The...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yesterday above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time after 1 month (since June 18). It even closed the 1D candle above it, showcasing enormous buying pressure on the short-term. That is within the 4-month Channel Down pattern, whose 3rd Bullish Leg started after bottoming (Lower Low) on July 05. The 1st Bullish Leg was +24.30%,...
The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern and as we mentioned on our previous idea (July 08, see chart below), is aiming for a Higher High target at 1.09500: Since last week, the price is getting closer to our Target and the top of the 3-month Channel Up. Based on the pattern's symmetry and the proportions between the Bullish/ Bearish Legs,...
Gold (XAUUSD) is on a sustainable short-term rise above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and is coming out of a consolidation pattern (blue) similar to December 2023 - February 2024. Both were supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and both are within the long-term 18-month Channel Up. This could technically be the start of the 3rd Bullish Leg of this pattern....
DAX (FDAX1!) has been following our May 17 (see chart below) projected path very closely and as mentioned, it has been a repeat of the May - July 2023 Megaphone consolidation so far: The price is back above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again and we have adjusted the Megaphone to the wider price-action that was given, in contrast to the 2023 one. As a result,...
The EURAUD pair has been consolidating sideways for almost 3 weeks following the June 26 Low. Even though this is not near the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the long-term (blue) Channel Down, the fact that it is being formed while the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, indicates a Bullish Divergence. The last such Divergence occurred on December 25 2023, when the pair...