Hi Guys, in my previous post I wrote about VIX's mantras: 1) When VIX is high it's time to buy and 2) When VIX is low look out below. Here a link to the post: A break of the 2nd blue descending trendline up would be negative for the markets. Above 30 would give a strong buy signal for VIX, which would be a strong sell for equities. Or, if markets keep going...
Hi Guys, comparison from the beginning of the pandemic up to today. What's your view? If you appreciate the idea please leave a comment, slap like now and start following me. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Cozzamara Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information...
Hi Guys, Here what happened two weeks ago when Powell testified during the Three Days of the Condor. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are due to testify before the U.S. House of Representatives Financial Services Committee today at 12:30 p.m. EDT (1630 GMT) to discuss how funds were disbursed to households and businesses. Will NY...
Hi Guys, here a comparison VIX vs SPX from the start of the pandemic on 20 Feb. The mantra "when the VIX is high, it's time to buy" played until the FED announced unlimited QE. Will the index also play the mantra "when the VIX is low, look out below!"? For additional information in respect of the these two mantras here some links for easy...
Hi Guys, the Index met with resistance at same level as B made on the 10th of June when Christine made her speach and right after the two days meeting of the FED. Here B in the daily chart: After B the SPX made two higher lows (HLs) before returning to B level again. In between we had Powell testify to the Congress (Three Days of the Condor) and IMF negative...
Hi Guys, The move from A to B seen from a more distant perspective on the daily chart: Since my post dated Jun 30 the Index has bounced on the supportive 200SMA and pushed up by the 50SMA. Click & Play the following chart to watch how daily candlesticks unfolded: Considerations: It is hard to tell if the bear rally started by the FED on March 23rd is...
Hi Guys, following the Three Days of the Condor, SPX futures found three key supports: 1) Level 3000; 2) 200SMA; 3) 50SMA. Will it bounce or will it cross? Here a snapshot of the hourly candlestick chart providing some infos: Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my...
Hi Guys, good morning! At the beginning of last week the index pulled back into the 1st Powell testimony before ranging during the three days of the condor. Last Friday it unfolded a bear trap before confirming support twice on monday at 3082 and resuming its run higher. To note the effect of Navarro's comments last night and price reaction into 3082 level...
Hi Guys, Hope you are all fine & well. Here just some infos. I was looking at EUR/GBP and noted something that resembles a Cup & Handle formation. For further information about such pattern here a quick link to the definition of a Cup & Handle and how to trade it. Cup&Handle Definition: www.investopedia.com New Ways to Trade the Cup and Handle Pattern:...
Hi Guys, Hope you are all fine & well. Here just some infos. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in...
Hi Guys, Just a view. Please note the swings of the index on SMA and the swings of RSI on its 50 level. This is how it looked on May 23: Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for...
Hi Guys, following my post dated Apr.14th (red arrow before n.3), the Index continued to climb up towards the SMA with a four legs movement made by 4,5,6 and 7. So far the pullback from A or, in my view, the "Bear Rally" retraced 0,618 Fib. 1) from X to A represents the fall caused by pandemic; 2) A was made when the FED used its "bazooka" (2200 same level when...
Hi Guys, the increase in volatility triggered by the pandemic event this year occurs when US Presidential election are 6 months away. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational...
Hi Guys, the increase in volatility triggered by the pandemic event this year occurs when US Presidential election are 6 months away. Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational...
Hi Guys, just some infos... Thank you for your support and for sharing your ideas. Disclaimer: Please note that I am not a professional trader and these are my personal ideas only. The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The risk of trading in securities markets can be...
Hi Guys, this is a comparison of the moves made by various markets since the beginning of 2020 using same tools/narrative: 1) from 0 to A represents the downhill provoked by COVID19; 2) A was made when the FED used its "bazooka" (2200 same level when Trump was elected US President); 3) a pullback or "bear rally" occurred from A into Fibonacci Retrecement levels...
Hi Guys, On Feb 20 markets started to go down due to COVID19. Here I posted some daily screenshots of: SPX, DOW, NASDAQ, DAX, CAC, FTMIB, FTSE, WTI When economic conditions weaken and risk appetite decline, Gold normaly goes up because it is considered by many a safe haven. But the move in Gold did not happen right on Feb 20. Instead Gold went down to find...
Hi Guys, long time since the last time. I hope you are all well and fine. Let's dive into it! March 23 - FED announced it would buy bonds in unlimited numbers and backstop direct loans to companies, the latest in a series of policy steps taken over the past 10 days to calm markets and support the economy. (www.reuters.com) SPX bounced at 2200 (red dotted line)...