dubi_m

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About me Medium and longer term trader, mainly options, tracking longer and shorter term trendlines influence
Joined
Markets Allocation
93 % stocks 7 % indices
Top Mentioned Symbols
NFLX 28% | 4 GLD 14% | 2 VIPS 7% | 1 NASX 7% | 1
dubi_m dubi_m SHLD, W, Long ,
SHLD: What's the deal with $SHLD and those Sep/Oct rallies?
19 0 0
SHLD, W Long
What's the deal with $SHLD and those Sep/Oct rallies?

Last few years, like clockwork, it comes to life. No idea why, but it seems to be consistent.

dubi_m dubi_m PCLN, W, Long ,
PCLN: Preping up for 4th?
24 0 0
PCLN, W Long
Preping up for 4th?

So many flags, this one gotta be prepping for some fireworks just in time for the 4th. Long term perspective on PCLN, Multiple bull flags here. Weekly support provides decent bounces and forming a nice channel here (blue flag). The upper line seems to be "toxic" for now and every test is getting faded. Shorter term bull flag excluding the fake breakout. I also ...

dubi_m dubi_m LNKD, D, Long ,
LNKD: IHS forming on LNKD could take it over 300 - not confirmed
48 1 1
LNKD, D Long
IHS forming on LNKD could take it over 300 - not confirmed

A bit flimsy but still looking nice. ER next week could take it over the neckline @ 239 and blast off. $320+ target

dubi_m dubi_m NFLX, D, Long ,
NFLX: NFLX gap up on January earnings
42 0 0
NFLX, D Long
NFLX gap up on January earnings

interesting historical pattern. NFLX gaps up on every January earnings. It didn't matter if it was trending up or down. It always (since 2008) have found the strength to pop. Today's double bottom makes it an interesting entry point. Could get interesting really quickly.

dubi_m dubi_m PNRA, 60, Long ,
PNRA: PNRA C&H
28 0 0
PNRA, 60 Long
PNRA C&H

PNRA has been working out nicely since ER. Seeing signs of breaking out. Watch 172.64 b/o for full confirmation. Then we head back to test previous all time high

dubi_m dubi_m SPY, W, Short ,
SPY: S&P loosing long term trendlines
124 0 0
SPY, W Short
S&P loosing long term trendlines

Haven't been short for a while but I'm thinking bears finally have it. We're back in the 2008-2013 channel we broke over and the longer trend from 2004 seems to be failing here. Not thinking we see 2008 crash but can't ignore what happened last time when we failed to hold the breakout. I'm thinking we correct to bottom of the 2008 channel. Probably 1700ish VERY ...

dubi_m dubi_m NASX, D,
NASX: Nasdaq composite
43 0 0
NASX, D
Nasdaq composite

Overall, longer term, We're heading to test that top of the channel. Medium term, I can make both a bullish and a bearish case here short term, so using more of a guide and watching closely. If we break below the yellow FIB sub channel, we're probably going to pull back to the bottom of the channel. BULL CASE: Strong bounce of bottom of the channel, yellow FIB ...

dubi_m dubi_m GLD, D, Long ,
GLD: GLD update
27 0 0
GLD, D Long
GLD update

I thought it would take a month or two to start moving since my original chart but it really tested my patience. The bounce and continuation from 120 strengthen my believe that gold has bottomed and will start making its way back up. I'd like to see it break over recent high @128ish but from there it should be a fairly smooth sail to 132+. I don't think it's ...

dubi_m dubi_m NFLX, D, Long ,
NFLX: NFLX over $500?
159 2 1
NFLX, D Long
NFLX over $500?

My previous bearish thesis on NFLX got quickly negated once we crossed that descending trendline. We're still a few dollars short of March highs but sure looks interesting here. The aggressive flush and recovery hints on strong continuation once we clear previous high at 458ish. We may potentially retrace back down to 430 for gap fill but sure seems like it's ...

dubi_m dubi_m VIPS, D, Long ,
VIPS: Nice little breakout today
81 2 0
VIPS, D Long
Nice little breakout today

This is probably too short to really qualify as a textbook C&H but still consolidated nicely over the last 7-8 weeks and now ready to move. TL break-out today and once clears 179.73 and 181.81, it should run fairly quickly to 200.

dubi_m dubi_m NFLX, D, Short ,
NFLX: NFLX update - still seeing a potential strong selloff
259 0 2
NFLX, D Short
NFLX update - still seeing a potential strong selloff

The previous H&S pattern I saw was quickly negated as we got a decent bounce on earnings. However the weakness of this bounce indicates to me substantial further downside is possible here. Probably it was just "working" on the right shoulder. Moving forward, I think we hit some support at 309-310 early next week and bounce back to the descending trendline around ...

dubi_m dubi_m NFLX, 60, Short ,
NFLX: NFLX at critical level
47 0 0
NFLX, 60 Short
NFLX at critical level

NFLX at critical level with major H&S forming. With overall market weakness, will probably not hold and potential $100+ drop.

dubi_m dubi_m GLD, D, Long ,
GLD: GLD reversal of downtrend?
165 0 3
GLD, D Long
GLD reversal of downtrend?

Not trading GLD much and fundamentally not sure why gold turn but can't ignore the technicals. Seeing lots of support down here and potentially reversal. Today's bounce was confirmation of support. Potentially working on inverted H&S against the ascending blue trendline (dotted). Don't expect it to happen quickly but probably in a month or two. Also seeing ...

dubi_m dubi_m AAPL, D, Long ,
AAPL: AAPL rounding bottom, trend reversal?
277 3 2
AAPL, D Long
AAPL rounding bottom, trend reversal?

AAPL trying to reverse the downtrend while forming a nice rounding bottom. It will definitely need a catalyst to break out, but if it does, measured move targets sets it over 700.

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