fishdude

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Markets Allocation
70 % stocks 30 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USOIL 20% | 2 SPY 20% | 2 FANG 10% | 1 HLF 10% | 1
fishdude fishdude USOIL, 240,
USOIL: Oil decision point
57 0 1
USOIL, 240
Oil decision point

Oil short term bullish breakout. Price is heading up to a longer time period down trend. Decision point around the red box on my chart. I think it does not break, and will continue down. Time will tell. Set your alerts. :)

fishdude fishdude USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: Oil beginnings of descending triangle
202 1 4
USOIL, D Short
Oil beginnings of descending triangle

Oil failed to break the October 9th high. It's beginning to form a descending triangle, EMA's are starting to cross, and it hasn't touched the 200D MA in a while. Enter at the top of the triangle, or for a safer play on a close below 45.80. Price target ~41.50.

fishdude fishdude FANG, D, Short ,
FANG: FANG distribution
56 0 2
FANG, D Short
FANG distribution

Looks like a big distribution day in FANG. Price has been following a channel pretty much since it IPO'd in late 2012. It broke the channel to the upside on 6/11, and is currently near the 1.382 channel fib, but was not able to close above it. With vol 3x normal and today's close basically unchanged from yesterday's close, this could be a signal of a ...

fishdude fishdude SPX500/VIX, M,
SPX500/VIX: A look at SPX/VIX ratios.
197 0 2
SPX500/VIX, M
A look at SPX/VIX ratios.

Can using fibs from the previous bull market predict the top as far as SPX/VIX is concerned?

fishdude fishdude P, D, Short ,
P: Pandora not looking so hot
19 1 3
P, D Short
Pandora not looking so hot

After a pretty significant downtrend, there is the potential this could turn back up at any time, but I'm liking this pattern here for a swing trade short.

fishdude fishdude SPY, W,
SPY: Trendbased fib time
38 0 2
SPY, W
Trendbased fib time

Just messing around with the trend based fib time tool on the SPY weekly back to the 2009 low. Obviously there's been a bit of movement around between the lines, but all except for the 0.618 line up with some sort of pullback. This chart would suggest that it wont be until Sep/Oct with SPY around 200 before we would see any significant correction.

fishdude fishdude SPY, D,
SPY: March was a "W" reversal, are starting a new downward channel?
44 0 1
SPY, D
March was a "W" reversal, are starting a new downward channel?

Most of March formed a perfect W pattern, with follow through to the potential target (half the amount between the middle high and the lowest low). Now it looks like a new possible downward channel has formed, and possibly another W pattern within that channel. Confirmation should come soon.

fishdude fishdude WEN, D, Long ,
WEN: Reversal candle and CCI divergance.
44 0 1
WEN, D Long
Reversal candle and CCI divergance.

I'm not necessarily expecting it to break out of the downward channel, but a nice reversal today + CCI divergance should be good for some gain over the next few days.

fishdude fishdude WPRT, D, Short ,
WPRT: WPRT short setup
73 1 1
WPRT, D Short
WPRT short setup

I entered this short position (PUTS) on Friday. RSI is getting a little oversold, but it should have plenty of room to go down in the channel.

fishdude fishdude HLF, D, Short ,
HLF: HLF good place to go short
124 3 2
HLF, D Short
HLF good place to go short

Looks like pretty good risk/reward ratio to go short on HLF. We had a reversal candle on Thursday and it's about to cross below the 21 and 9 dma.

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