graham.edwards84

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Markets Allocation
26 % forex 26 % commodities 5 % indices 42 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
CL1! 21% | 4 FX_IDC:XAUUSD 10% | 2 DXY 10% | 2 FX:XAUUSD 10% | 2
graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 NASX, D,
NASX: NADAQ Toppy? compared to XLU and XLP
9 1 5
NASX, D
NADAQ Toppy? compared to XLU and XLP

Maybe a reversal soon?

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Trending XAUUSD
89 1 8
XAUUSD, D Long
Trending XAUUSD

Iv'e seen numerous charts over the past two days showing the solid blue trend line as shown here and indicating to traders that gold has broken to the downside. My feeling is that the trend line is more likely the dotted blue line and I would suggest that tend lines can be back-tested for a more accurate picture as I have done. With this in mind I would suggest ...

DXY: Dollar / Yen idea
82 1 3
DXY, D
Dollar / Yen idea

DXY here compared to USDJPY. Both will begin to make moves lower now and hopefully break through their resistance which will be bullish for PMs. If USDJPY can finally push down through 111.60 it would be a good indicator to go long on PMs, GDX, JNUG etc. The US Dollar will recover though and move up again to make its cyclical high probably to the 110 range but ...

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD and USDJPY inverse relationship
120 0 4
XAUUSD, D
XAUUSD and USDJPY inverse relationship

This chart shows the relationship between XAUUSD and USDJPY. You will also see how gold is more volatile and the movements can become exaggerated. It is these exaggerated overbought and over sold movements of gold that make excellent short term plays. Longer term plays should be made by studying the movement of USDJPY as it cycles through it's waves. Happy trading!

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: USDJPY idea as it relates to Gold Movement
148 0 4
USDJPY, D
USDJPY idea as it relates to Gold Movement

I have learned that when trading in Gold and Gold ETFs that one extremely important factor is to watch the movement of USDJPY as it moves inversely to Gold. One can use this knowledge as a predictor of the gold movement although gold does move in wilder swings due to its volatility. This chart shows my idea of the currency pair to work up to 108 before falling ...

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 GC1!, 240, Short ,
GC1!: Update to JDST set up
75 0 1
GC1!, 240 Short
Update to JDST set up

This chart pertains to a revision of JDST sell set up link below. Sell target should be within the week of Oct 10 to 14th

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 XAUUSD, W,
XAUUSD: Gold - A battle of two titans
169 4 4
XAUUSD, W
Gold - A battle of two titans

You can see by the blue trend-lines that gold likes to follow a narrow band, even more narrow when rising. So it is unlikely that it will move sideways between the two black trend-lines for very long... maybe for a little while but notice from the past this band is far too wide for gold's comfort. The red compare is USDJPY - gold's nemesis. The two are in ...

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 USDEUR, D,
USDEUR: USDEUR Fails to repeat pattern - monthly outlook
18 0 0
USDEUR, D
USDEUR Fails to repeat pattern - monthly outlook

Will USDEUR fail a second time? This one seems to really be counting on a catalyst to propel it to the upper range again. Seems to be running out of momentum. Does it indicate a weakening US dollar or a strengthening Euro? My feeling it that it will surprise us again to the upside, due to it following the rising black trend lines. But we'll see soon enough. A ...

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 USDCAD, D,
USDCAD: USDCAD
18 0 0
USDCAD, D
USDCAD

when USDCAD tumbled at the beginning of 2016 it seemed to know exactly where to go and found it's old trend-line once again. Next stop 1.34 My last three published charts are to demonstrate that the USD is on an upward trend which is bad for gold. Next we'll look at USDEUR

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 USDCHF, D,
USDCHF: USDCHF - Trending very predictably
16 0 0
USDCHF, D
USDCHF - Trending very predictably

Is it any coincidence that both of these massive blue wedge formations are pointed directly to today's price?,,, I wonder what will be in store for the future? Perhaps a break to the upper black trend line and then working slowly back to today's price. It almost seems as if countries take turns this way... is it all mapped out by government leaders?

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 USDJPY, 240,
USDJPY: Golds biggest test
43 0 2
USDJPY, 240
Golds biggest test

In my opinion Gold has the strongest inverse relationship with USDJPY and the real test for Gold bullishness is for USDJPY to break through this lower trend-line and fall back to 98.80. If this happens there will be a big rally in the metals. My opinion though is that USDJPY will gradually climb higher and finding itself clear of this wedge formation, move to a ...

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 XAUUSD, 240,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD IDEA - Not a positive outlook IMO
394 4 9
XAUUSD, 240
XAUUSD IDEA - Not a positive outlook IMO

I wanted so badly for Gold to beat the dollar and really rally this fall. Sadly I have changed my stance with what I believe is growing evidence of a strengthening US Dollar. I've been studying many currency charts and one can see a turning point in most for the Greenback, at least in the short term. Long term outlook might be a different story and I get a sense ...

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 JDST, 60,
JDST: JDST - idea, Columbus week ahead
100 2 3
JDST, 60
JDST - idea, Columbus week ahead

I expect USD to increase over the next week or so and with that in mind gold prices will be lower. My idea would be to choose one day to buy JDST and sell at the end of the day. I don't like to hold 3X Leveraged ETFs for more than one day (overnight) because of re-balancing, Once my target price is reached I may sell and buy JNUG for the ride down. It is always ...

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 DXY, 240,
DXY: DXY trading idea - Columbus day outlook
28 0 2
DXY, 240
DXY trading idea - Columbus day outlook

Even though the markets are open on Columbus Day it will most likely be lower volume trading (Monday the 10th)

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: CL1!
58 0 1
CL1!, D Short
CL1!

Revised this chart. This version seems more likely to me now.

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: Light Crude Idea
53 2 3
CL1!, D Short
Light Crude Idea

CL11 has formed an interesting pattern and is now in a tight wedge with a target of $45. My idea is that it will break to a channel downward and then reform into another wedge pattern this time with a target of $35. I think that it will then break to the upside again.

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: Light Crude Idea
84 0 4
CL1!, D Short
Light Crude Idea

Cl1! has formed a very interesting formation and is now tightly wedge bound with a $45 target. My idea is that it will break out of this wedge to a channel down and then move into a similar wedge with a lower target of $35. I would like to believe that it will break higher again with a channel upwards.

graham.edwards84 graham.edwards84 XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD towards US presidential election
272 7 1
XAUUSD, D Long
XAUUSD towards US presidential election

There doesn't seem to be a compelling reason now for XAUUSD to move out of this pattern before the US election. EMAs also are converging. Arpi, I'm hoping not to be correct. Thank you for your comments, I really enjoy your contributions.

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