guado77

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Last visit Joined 2 years ago Roma @guado77
Markets Allocation
26 % forex 11 % commodities 5 % indices 58 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
ITA 36% | 7 EURUSD 21% | 4 GDPDEF 5% | 1 DAX 5% | 1
guado77 guado77 EURUSD, D, Long , a year ago
EURUSD: Tight Swing - 1.0924 - 1.0999
29 2 0
EURUSD, D Long
Tight Swing - 1.0924 - 1.0999
Llarge option expiries in EUR/USD at 1.0900 (758mln) which is a contributing factor to the pairs inability to break its tight-range - Tomorrow sees even larger;options expiries at 1.0900 (1.6bln);1.0915 (500mln), 1.0845-50 (700mln) and 1.0800 (1.7bln);
guado77 guado77 GC1!, M, Short , a year ago
GC1!: "Golden Pyramid" - Market View 220715
27 0 1
GC1!, M Short
"Golden Pyramid" - Market View 220715
-Gold (montly): 1°Resistance 1.1149 - 1°Support 1045.8 - 2°Support 990 - No strong reaction from Shanghai Composite, markets without pushing seeking a point to be consolidated -Carry Trade Off ( long € - short Us dollar -> short EU index) -Commodity Tumble: Deflation -Bund&Treasury in bid - Risk Off and no ...
guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Long , a year ago
ITA40: "BLADE RUNNER MARKETS"- Global Market View  200715
12 0 1
ITA40, D Long
"BLADE RUNNER MARKETS"- Global Market View 200715
Market View 20/07/15 (Source Twitter/RansQ- Analysis guado77) - Trade at your own risk: - Eu stocks (Dax/FtseMib) "solved" for now "Grexit" recovered price level pre "Greece Referendum" calling (26/06/15). This level could be the "floor" for YTD HIGH for FTSEMIB and recovery 12.000 points for DAX and 2.134 for ...
guado77 guado77 EURUSD, D, Long , a year ago
EURUSD: Market_View_140715_EurUsd_Dax_FtseMib Support&Resistances
36 0 0
EURUSD, D Long
Market_View_140715_EurUsd_Dax_FtseMib Support&Resistances
Market View: EurUsd_Dax_FtseMib Support&Resistances
guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Long , a year ago
ITA40: FTSE MIB - best index 2015
9 0 0
ITA40, D Long
FTSE MIB - best index 2015
market mover grexit but Italy stock is the best index YTD 2015 and go on ...solved Grexit
guado77 guado77 GER30, D, Short , a year ago
GER30: ...ready, steady, go...grexit!
34 0 0
GER30, D Short
...ready, steady, go...grexit!
28/06/2015 - h 17:00 - Rome - Eurozone Rejects Greek Bailout Extension: All Bailout Programs Expire On June 30 - ELA to Greek banks maintained at its current level -Greek government will be "looking overnight at imposing capital controls and closing banks on Monday -People won't be allowed to take €300/day -: ECB ...
guado77 guado77 IAM2015, D, Short , 2 years ago
IAM2015: Grexit_Contagion On Rates Curve Italy_BTP
41 0 1
IAM2015, D Short
Grexit_Contagion On Rates Curve Italy_BTP
210 415 - Reversal Curve Rates Italy - Sales of long-term - Shopping on short - Contagion Grexit - This has led to the tracing on FTSEMIB
guado77 guado77 DAX, M, 2 years ago
DAX: ITALY  vs GERMANY - SPREAD AT THE HIGHEST EVER - STOCKS
95 0 1
DAX, M
ITALY vs GERMANY - SPREAD AT THE HIGHEST EVER - STOCKS
... "when they tell you that the Spread with Germany is at its lowest ever not believe... this is the only one that is important"... 01/01/2002 - 01/08/2009 : Spread vs DAX FTSE MIB lows . Divergence contained 01/08/2009 - 01/12/2014: BOOM BREAKS Spread between DAX and FTSE MIB . After 2000 days DAX " ...
guado77 guado77 EURUSD, M, Short , 2 years ago
EURUSD: EUR VS USD_The Road to 1:1
195 0 3
EURUSD, M Short
EUR VS USD_The Road to 1:1
Eur vs Usd - 1 months Long-term view 1.0450 main support . The break of support with the closing of the the monthly candle inside downward channel push the cross to parity by June or at the September 2015. Trade from 1.0450 - Area of earnings up to a minimum of 2001 , stop at max last month ( March 2015 ). The ...
guado77 guado77 SPX500, M, Short , 2 years ago
SPX500: The Big Bubble - Correlation S&P500 vs Treasury 30y
531 0 3
SPX500, M Short
The Big Bubble - Correlation S&P500 vs Treasury 30y
2007-2012: Convergence between S&P500 trend and yield on Treasury 30y USA: - Downhill stocks leads to a reduction in yields on the bond market . The flow of money coming out of the US stocks and goes to US bonds for the "safe haven" - RISK OFF. - Rise in share prices on stocks leading the market yield bonds to ...
guado77 guado77 RUBUSD, M, Long , 2 years ago
RUBUSD: "Tips for buying" _Russian Financial Market
88 0 0
RUBUSD, M Long
"Tips for buying" _Russian Financial Market
Strengths: -Enhancement The ruble by 18% from 2014 lows against the euro and dollario . -Stock exchange ( MICEX ) since the beginning of 2015 to + 16 % -Large Margin recovery for the ruble to reach the pre-crisis levels of June 2014 . -Rate Interbank Repo 14% cut in view of the revision of reducing inflation ...
guado77 guado77 ITA40, M, Long , 2 years ago
ITA40: FTSE MIB - ITALY 40 -The big bubble continues ..
48 0 0
ITA40, M Long
FTSE MIB - ITALY 40 -The big bubble continues ..
The big bubble continues ... effect QE ECB , Euro devaluation and no Grexit bring the iTA index to the first target of 24600 and then..27/28.000 at the end of the year?!?!
guado77 guado77 GDPDEF, M, 2 years ago
GDPDEF: USA BUBBLE (s&p futures)  VS USA NO BUBBLE (treasury)
15 0 0
GDPDEF, M
USA BUBBLE (s&p futures) VS USA NO BUBBLE (treasury)
USA Bubble: Real GDP - S&P Future (excluding the dollar revaluation) = -112% USA NO Bubble: Real GDP - Treasury 30y (excluding the dollar revaluation) = +2.4% data up to 10/2014 THE TREASURY 30Y SEEMS TO REFLECT THE PERFORMANCE OF REAL USA ECONOMY , THE REDUCTION OF YIELD IS IN LINE WITH THE RISE OF REAL GDP AND ...
guado77 guado77 JPN225, M, Short , 2 years ago
JPN225: THE BIG BUBBLE_QE EFFECTS FROM BEGINNING_NOVEMBRE 2008
119 0 1
JPN225, M Short
THE BIG BUBBLE_QE EFFECTS FROM BEGINNING_NOVEMBRE 2008
The Big Bubble ... as every time this time is different ... it's true this time the outbreak was unprecedented... QE effects from the beginning - start end 2008 S&P(orange) +186% - USD/JPY +22% USD/EUR +15% Nikkei (blue Mountain) +165% JPY/USD -22% FTSE100(blue points) +80% GBP/EUR +21% GBPUSD+3% DAX(green points) ...
guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Short , 2 years ago
ITA40: ITA40 MAX 2014 vs 2015_+2.50% 283 days
58 0 0
ITA40, D Short
ITA40 MAX 2014 vs 2015_+2.50% 283 days
While all equity markets ( DAX - SP - and today FTSE 100) are in the highest level of ever index Italian is just 2.50% up from high 2014 with a devaluation of eurusd of 20% ... also financial bubbles reflect some economic fundamentals..the italian economic is stuck at 0 % of GDP , and shows no signs of ...
guado77 guado77 ITA40, 15, Short , 2 years ago
ITA40: MIB intraday_to close the gap_190315
11 2 0
ITA40, 15 Short
MIB intraday_to close the gap_190315
TF15 resistance at 22920 not broken, movements in closing GAP 22565 once exceeded MA50 and MA100
guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Long , 2 years ago
ITA40: Who really won in the last 5 years...
16 0 0
ITA40, D Long
Who really won in the last 5 years...
Spread between the equity markets (S&P - Dax - MIB) - crude oil - eur usd who won with the excuse of the crisis ...!!
guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Short , 2 years ago
ITA40: QE effect on Italy Stock Index MIB
160 0 2
ITA40, D Short
QE effect on Italy Stock Index MIB
Bubble from QE on Italy Stock index Compensation loss index value The devaluation of the euro is offset by index 06062014 index 22500 eurusd 1:36 180316 index 22500 eurusd 1:05 theoretical value index change at 1.05 is 17500. The QE and the weakness EURUSD have created a bubble in the value of 5000 ...
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