guado77

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Joined Roma guado77
Markets Allocation
26 % forex 11 % commodities 5 % indices 58 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
ITA 36% | 7 EURUSD 21% | 4 GDPDEF 5% | 1 DAX 5% | 1
guado77 guado77 EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: Tight Swing - 1.0924 - 1.0999
30 2 0
EURUSD, D Long
Tight Swing - 1.0924 - 1.0999

Llarge option expiries in EUR/USD at 1.0900 (758mln) which is a contributing factor to the pairs inability to break its tight-range - Tomorrow sees even larger;options expiries at 1.0900 (1.6bln);1.0915 (500mln), 1.0845-50 (700mln) and 1.0800 (1.7bln);

guado77 guado77 GC1!, M, Short ,
GC1!: "Golden Pyramid" - Market View 220715
27 0 1
GC1!, M Short
"Golden Pyramid" - Market View 220715

-Gold (montly): 1°Resistance 1.1149 - 1°Support 1045.8 - 2°Support 990 - No strong reaction from Shanghai Composite, markets without pushing seeking a point to be consolidated -Carry Trade Off ( long € - short Us dollar -> short EU index) -Commodity Tumble: Deflation -Bund&Treasury in bid - Risk Off and no inflation risk

guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Long ,
ITA40: "BLADE RUNNER MARKETS"- Global Market View  200715
14 0 1
ITA40, D Long
"BLADE RUNNER MARKETS"- Global Market View 200715

Market View 20/07/15 (Source Twitter/RansQ- Analysis guado77) - Trade at your own risk: - Eu stocks (Dax/FtseMib) "solved" for now "Grexit" recovered price level pre "Greece Referendum" calling (26/06/15). This level could be the "floor" for YTD HIGH for FTSEMIB and recovery 12.000 points for DAX and 2.134 for S&P500 -"Market driver" is now "the resurgence of ...

guado77 guado77 EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: Market_View_140715_EurUsd_Dax_FtseMib Support&Resistances
36 0 0
EURUSD, D Long
Market_View_140715_EurUsd_Dax_FtseMib Support&Resistances

Market View: EurUsd_Dax_FtseMib Support&Resistances

guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Long ,
ITA40: FTSE MIB - best index 2015
9 0 0
ITA40, D Long
FTSE MIB - best index 2015

market mover grexit but Italy stock is the best index YTD 2015 and go on ...solved Grexit

guado77 guado77 GER30, D, Short ,
GER30: ...ready, steady, go...grexit!
35 0 0
GER30, D Short
...ready, steady, go...grexit!

28/06/2015 - h 17:00 - Rome - Eurozone Rejects Greek Bailout Extension: All Bailout Programs Expire On June 30 - ELA to Greek banks maintained at its current level -Greek government will be "looking overnight at imposing capital controls and closing banks on Monday -People won't be allowed to take €300/day -: ECB SAID TO VIEW BANK HOLIDAY FOR GREECE AS ...

guado77 guado77 IAM2015, D, Short ,
IAM2015: Grexit_Contagion On Rates Curve Italy_BTP
42 0 1
IAM2015, D Short
Grexit_Contagion On Rates Curve Italy_BTP

210 415 - Reversal Curve Rates Italy - Sales of long-term - Shopping on short - Contagion Grexit - This has led to the tracing on FTSEMIB

guado77 guado77 DAX, M,
DAX: ITALY  vs GERMANY - SPREAD AT THE HIGHEST EVER - STOCKS
101 0 1
DAX, M
ITALY vs GERMANY - SPREAD AT THE HIGHEST EVER - STOCKS

... "when they tell you that the Spread with Germany is at its lowest ever not believe... this is the only one that is important"... 01/01/2002 - 01/08/2009 : Spread vs DAX FTSE MIB lows . Divergence contained 01/08/2009 - 01/12/2014: BOOM BREAKS Spread between DAX and FTSE MIB . After 2000 days DAX " Overperforming " FTSE MIB approximately 130% since 2002 ( euro ...

guado77 guado77 EURUSD, M, Short ,
EURUSD: EUR VS USD_The Road to 1:1
196 0 3
EURUSD, M Short
EUR VS USD_The Road to 1:1

Eur vs Usd - 1 months Long-term view 1.0450 main support . The break of support with the closing of the the monthly candle inside downward channel push the cross to parity by June or at the September 2015. Trade from 1.0450 - Area of earnings up to a minimum of 2001 , stop at max last month ( March 2015 ). The FIB retracement from top 2014 seems to confirm the ...

guado77 guado77 SPX500, M, Short ,
SPX500: The Big Bubble - Correlation S&P500 vs Treasury 30y
604 0 3
SPX500, M Short
The Big Bubble - Correlation S&P500 vs Treasury 30y

2007-2012: Convergence between S&P500 trend and yield on Treasury 30y USA: - Downhill stocks leads to a reduction in yields on the bond market . The flow of money coming out of the US stocks and goes to US bonds for the "safe haven" - RISK OFF. - Rise in share prices on stocks leading the market yield bonds to rise due to the vendite.Flow of money out of the US ...

guado77 guado77 RUBUSD, M, Long ,
RUBUSD: "Tips for buying" _Russian Financial Market
93 0 0
RUBUSD, M Long
"Tips for buying" _Russian Financial Market

Strengths: -Enhancement The ruble by 18% from 2014 lows against the euro and dollario . -Stock exchange ( MICEX ) since the beginning of 2015 to + 16 % -Large Margin recovery for the ruble to reach the pre-crisis levels of June 2014 . -Rate Interbank Repo 14% cut in view of the revision of reducing inflation (target 2017-4 % ) - Bond 10y 12% - Bond corporate ...

guado77 guado77 ITA40, M, Long ,
ITA40: FTSE MIB - ITALY 40 -The big bubble continues ..
59 0 0
ITA40, M Long
FTSE MIB - ITALY 40 -The big bubble continues ..

The big bubble continues ... effect QE ECB , Euro devaluation and no Grexit bring the iTA index to the first target of 24600 and then..27/28.000 at the end of the year?!?!

guado77 guado77 GDPDEF, M,
GDPDEF: USA BUBBLE (s&p futures)  VS USA NO BUBBLE (treasury)
16 0 0
GDPDEF, M
USA BUBBLE (s&p futures) VS USA NO BUBBLE (treasury)

USA Bubble: Real GDP - S&P Future (excluding the dollar revaluation) = -112% USA NO Bubble: Real GDP - Treasury 30y (excluding the dollar revaluation) = +2.4% data up to 10/2014 THE TREASURY 30Y SEEMS TO REFLECT THE PERFORMANCE OF REAL USA ECONOMY , THE REDUCTION OF YIELD IS IN LINE WITH THE RISE OF REAL GDP AND THE STRENGTHENING DOLLAR

guado77 guado77 JPN225, M, Short ,
JPN225: THE BIG BUBBLE_QE EFFECTS FROM BEGINNING_NOVEMBRE 2008
120 0 1
JPN225, M Short
THE BIG BUBBLE_QE EFFECTS FROM BEGINNING_NOVEMBRE 2008

The Big Bubble ... as every time this time is different ... it's true this time the outbreak was unprecedented... QE effects from the beginning - start end 2008 S&P(orange) +186% - USD/JPY +22% USD/EUR +15% Nikkei (blue Mountain) +165% JPY/USD -22% FTSE100(blue points) +80% GBP/EUR +21% GBPUSD+3% DAX(green points) +201% EUR/USD -15% MIB Italy( brown points) +46% ...

guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Short ,
ITA40: ITA40 MAX 2014 vs 2015_+2.50% 283 days
59 0 0
ITA40, D Short
ITA40 MAX 2014 vs 2015_+2.50% 283 days

While all equity markets ( DAX - SP - and today FTSE 100) are in the highest level of ever index Italian is just 2.50% up from high 2014 with a devaluation of eurusd of 20% ... also financial bubbles reflect some economic fundamentals..the italian economic is stuck at 0 % of GDP , and shows no signs of recovery...MIB index on which to speculate , and sooner or ...

guado77 guado77 ITA40, 15, Short ,
ITA40: MIB intraday_to close the gap_190315
11 2 0
ITA40, 15 Short
MIB intraday_to close the gap_190315

TF15 resistance at 22920 not broken, movements in closing GAP 22565 once exceeded MA50 and MA100

guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Long ,
ITA40: Who really won in the last 5 years...
16 0 0
ITA40, D Long
Who really won in the last 5 years...

Spread between the equity markets (S&P - Dax - MIB) - crude oil - eur usd who won with the excuse of the crisis ...!!

guado77 guado77 ITA40, D, Short ,
ITA40: QE effect on Italy Stock Index MIB
162 0 2
ITA40, D Short
QE effect on Italy Stock Index MIB

Bubble from QE on Italy Stock index Compensation loss index value The devaluation of the euro is offset by index 06062014 index 22500 eurusd 1:36 180316 index 22500 eurusd 1:05 theoretical value index change at 1.05 is 17500. The QE and the weakness EURUSD have created a bubble in the value of 5000 points.. is not now but in the end the bubbles burst...

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