jarthoben

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Joined Switzerland
Markets Allocation
33 % forex 8 % stocks 58 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDUSD 25% | 6 XAUUSD 16% | 4 SPX 12% | 3 GER 8% | 2
jarthoben jarthoben XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Breakout to the upside
42 0 0
XAUUSD, D Long
Breakout to the upside

Gold has done nothing for over a month. Hugging 50 & 200 SMAs with no clear directional bias. Up +$100 from July/December 2013 lows. Down ~$100 from March 2014 high. Gold set for a breakout to the upside.

jarthoben jarthoben UK100, 240,
UK100: GOING NOWHERE FAST
26 0 1
UK100, 240
GOING NOWHERE FAST

Going nowhere fast! FTSE approaches top and runs out of steam. Note the 18 month ascending triangle...

jarthoben jarthoben GER30, 240, Short ,
GER30: DAX GETS THE DEATH-WOBBLES
26 1 2
GER30, 240 Short
DAX GETS THE DEATH-WOBBLES

Death-wobbles... Running out of steam until European QE comes to the rescue!

jarthoben jarthoben AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Aussie in Perspective
31 0 0
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Aussie in Perspective

Today, Building Approvals m/m was down -3.5% vs +1.3% expected Then, Chinese HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI 48.1 vs 48.4 expected Tonight. US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Tomorrow the RBA announces the cash rate. To my fellow shorts, hold on!

jarthoben jarthoben SPX500, 240,
SPX500: S&P carving out next move at quadruple top!
50 0 0
SPX500, 240
S&P carving out next move at quadruple top!

S&P makes a quadruple top, and this week let's us know it's next move! If it can get above 1888 levels, a major bullish breakthrough would be expected. My favourite trade, however, is to the short side with a tight stop and a high risk reward ratio. Bad news is for the past 2 years, shorting the S&P500 hasn't turned out well. Neutral for now until a few more ...

jarthoben jarthoben USOIL, 240, Short ,
USOIL: Follow through...
21 0 1
USOIL, 240 Short
Follow through...

Oil followed through showing weakness last week. The only question remains, how far can it go? Keep eyes peeled for the low 90's.

jarthoben jarthoben AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Danger Ahead for the Aussie
201 1 4
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Danger Ahead for the Aussie

Whilst grinding lower, the Aussie has failed to make significant headway to the downside. A sharp selloff on Friday was met by equally large demand, erasing the entire move as the Aussie went Bid. Whilst we understand that the majority of major inflection points are not always pretty, clean cut breaks, Friday's development indicated that the AUDUSD market appears ...

jarthoben jarthoben EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: Ready for Euro QE debasement?
55 0 1
EURUSD, 240 Short
Ready for Euro QE debasement?

Get in whilst you can! Eurozone QE to end 2 year rally and take EURUSD down to 1.32 levels

jarthoben jarthoben XAUUSD, 240, Short ,
XAUUSD: Another Sweet Short Enrty
285 0 2
XAUUSD, 240 Short
Another Sweet Short Enrty

Technical pullback through down-trendline - but significantly the failure to close above the 4HOUR 200SMA provides an opportunity to short XAU around 1300 with a tight stop. A break upwards through $1310 would invalidate this trade.

jarthoben jarthoben SPX500, 240, Short ,
SPX500: S&P Quadruple Top sets up Sell in May
47 0 1
SPX500, 240 Short
S&P Quadruple Top sets up Sell in May

S&P Quadruple Top setup The next move happens at this inflection point. A new all time high? or Sell in May and go away?

jarthoben jarthoben AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Aussie on Heiken Ashi
44 0 0
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Aussie on Heiken Ashi

It hasn't been pretty for the past 48 hours... but looks like the Aussie is trying to make a move to take out the lows...

jarthoben jarthoben AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Waiting for the inevitable
52 2 0
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Waiting for the inevitable

Inflection point... check Big US data... check Gold sell-off... check USDCNH going haywire... check Chinese economy contracting... check US economy expanding... check What is everyone waiting for???

jarthoben jarthoben JPN225, 240, Short ,
JPN225: SCREAMING SHORT
42 0 0
JPN225, 240 Short
SCREAMING SHORT

Just Do It!

jarthoben jarthoben GER30, 240, Short ,
GER30: High Probability Short
218 2 2
GER30, 240 Short
High Probability Short

Based purely on technicals, the DAX has run out of steam and has been going sideways all year. Short around here (9600 level) for a trade target of 9200 Cheers

jarthoben jarthoben IRBT, D, Long ,
IRBT: iRobot valued to shine
14 0 0
IRBT, D Long
iRobot valued to shine

27.07 Forward PE 1.10 PEG 24.6% Forward earnings growth Cash per share $6.46 High PE priced appropriately to growth prospects. Use this selloff to load up. BUY

jarthoben jarthoben DWA, D, Short ,
DWA: After nice sell-off, Dreamworks valuation still too rich!
20 1 1
DWA, D Short
After nice sell-off, Dreamworks valuation still too rich!

45.9 Forward PE 2.57 PEG 17.85% Forward EPS growth 0% Dividend 1.59 Price Book HUGE intangibles Awesome company but expensive any way you crunch the numbers. SELL

jarthoben jarthoben XAUUSD, 240, Short ,
XAUUSD: SO FAR SO GOOD
27 0 0
XAUUSD, 240 Short
SO FAR SO GOOD

So far so good, but really need a continuation to 1280 levels for anything conclusive... From there, it's open season down to 1210. Take a look at my USDCNH chart to understand what I mean.

jarthoben jarthoben AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: No-Man's-Land inflection point and key levels for shorts
176 0 0
AUDUSD, 240 Short
No-Man's-Land inflection point and key levels for shorts

Have to make a confession. My last Aussie dollar post showed a 50% retracement stop loss in place. It was actually a mental stop loss, that by the time I checked on the Aussie, it had breached the stop level and then fallen below it again. Mental stops are probably not the most ideal thing to do. Back to the Aussie Dollar... still slowly grinding lower - but yet ...

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