mc202

mc202

Long tvix with exit if sp goes north of 2091ish. Will see how it acts if sp goes toward its pivot. Sp500 is down when wti and usdjpy have been up for two days. Bounced off its post 1853 drop rebound high ~2112-2115. Decoupled? Doubt it but will wti and usdjpy dip to marry up or the other way around? Rejected by the bottom of a 30 minute ichimoku cloud and...

mc202

Didnt think it hit its 50% fib but its at the bottom of its range now. Just closed tvix 5.85 entry at 7.25. xiv to sp 2022 would be an easy pick. maybe next stop is sp 2066

mc202

break below wedge - bad sign but on a low vol day gives the move less impact on my conviction. Looking forward to getting back to regular action in the new year.

mc202

like the way its acting. constrained ascent, large short interest. could break below pitchfork but a confirmation above wedge over 61, into next pitchfork lines and toward the first fib line could setup a decent squeeze.

mc202

Low vol levitation to resistance line. Lower high will be punished in new year. Extremely low propensity for any data to pleasantly surprise the market in any meaningful way in order to change the foundation and allow for a fundamentally driven higher market. Same ol QE/buy back driven number dressing, very low advance/decline ratio, more and more components...

mc202

Target fib lines into 2016, stop bottom of pitchfork. Market is a headwind against the move. Will see if amba can hold up.