mortonpeak

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COINBASE:BTCUSD 84% | 107 LTCUSD 3% | 5 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 3% | 4 BCHUSD 1% | 2
mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 15, Education
BTCUSD: resetting analytics in bull times
58 0 1
BTCUSD, 15 Education
resetting analytics in bull times

resetting my BB and MA to accomodate the bull market

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: cusp of exhbiting weakness
51 0 1
BTCUSD, 240
cusp of exhbiting weakness

As you can see from this upward channel, the momentum is waning, and about to fall outside the channel. This will likely happen if the market does not rescue it. I see little reason for it not to. Let's hope it continues to cheapen. The recovery momentum was so good, there is excellent buying presence in the BTCUSD area right now.

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: time to establish a new trend line
191 2 0
BTCUSD, 240
time to establish a new trend line

per excavo, whose trend was established falling off the 19K -> 17K highs (lower highs), we are out of the falling trend. This is a big deal which I wrote about earlier today, as I scramble to figure out how to respond to this new bull chart. I am big on buying dips, so the upcoming dips will be short lived. Time to find a spot and hold for about 50 days or ...

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 45,
BTCUSD: in 2018, demand for BTC is approximately 2x higher
134 0 1
BTCUSD, 45
in 2018, demand for BTC is approximately 2x higher

At $6k last year (december), it took 14 days to rise 57%. Now, two months later, at 6K it took 14 days to deliver 92% gain. Twice the demand? Yes You are sitting on a powder keg, in terms of demand right now. Will it drop? Probably not by much, if history is guide. We are growing at 2x rate, at same price. This document is for information and illustrative ...

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 120,
BTCUSD: BTC must prove its meddel by the 26th
85 0 1
BTCUSD, 120
BTC must prove its meddel by the 26th

or else risk another big drop back down into the low 7K area by late march

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 15,
BTCUSD: Strong crypto fundamentals
140 0 3
BTCUSD, 15
Strong crypto fundamentals

Surging chart, hoping for a dip, maybe not going to happen soon. Strong fundamentals: 1) strong demand for cryptos, institutional buy-ins taking place, professional traders battering price, signaling strength if-pullback 2) no bad news on horizon, strong SEC, Korea govt news, no bans, enhanced regulations online (international BIS, though) 3) great upcomining ...

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: BTC inflection point is now
201 0 1
BTCUSD, 240
BTC inflection point is now

I know people are expecting a drive up to 10K before turning south. It will need to break apart the apathetic triangle right now. $8.5K seems to be a test point. As you can see the longer term pitchfork preceding last year's price boom, we are on track for bull market. However in our dropping-knife condition, trading is dangerous on the short term. Since all ...

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: elliot tells the tale going forward, with a parallel channel
507 0 9
BTCUSD, 240
elliot tells the tale going forward, with a parallel channel

last post could adjust the impulse waves going up to the surge, then now, as we recover. Parallel channel remains important mode of trend R/S. Make a prospective Elliot set to illustrate the rebounding impulse up to summer gains. Pretty healthy recovery from rebound to low of 5.8K. Price just did not stay there, per my last predict. NOT AN INDUCEMENT TO TRADE / ...

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: reversion to  mean, post impulse wave
279 0 3
BTCUSD, 240
reversion to mean, post impulse wave

if you are reaching close to 100% growth by summer's end, who's complaining? Once BTC exceeded upper bounds of its parallel channel, growth went asymptotic. Can't keep doing that forever. Too valuable. Have to restart within a reasonable channel, to keep growth. Even if BTC continues to grow along this parallel channel, you have 2x growth by end of summer. ...

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 1D,
BTCUSD: Revisiting 2014: dip recovery dynamics (hopeful post, spoiler)
343 0 2
BTCUSD, 1D
Revisiting 2014: dip recovery dynamics (hopeful post, spoiler)

2014, crash went not-quite to 23% fib retrace. https://www.tradingview.com/x/7OZqsmLt/ zooms up 157%, near term recovery. I would recommend sticking around for this

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, W,
BTCUSD: logarithmically, the current decline is meaningless
251 2 4
BTCUSD, W
logarithmically, the current decline is meaningless

See how insignificant the current decline in BTC is? Historically, BTC has grown slower, in logaithmic terms in the past four years, than in the previous two. The aggregate growth rate has slowed down 50%.

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 120,
BTCUSD: is it so hard to lose 4K in price? Just did, can do some more
72 1 1
BTCUSD, 120
is it so hard to lose 4K in price? Just did, can do some more

5K is real support, pertinent to 200 day MA if you can shed $4k of price over 2-3 weeks, what prevents you from doing some more? Inverse parabolic!

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 120,
BTCUSD: is $5,289 the magic number?
88 0 1
BTCUSD, 120
is $5,289 the magic number?

if we crash to 5K, we position for demand

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 120,
BTCUSD: 200 MA: stop complaining
89 0 1
BTCUSD, 120
200 MA: stop complaining

we have been treated to such delicacies, we should not complain at how we've escaped the 200D MA. Here is a trend based on linear gain over 200 days, and how it's shot upward. We'll likely dip beneath the linear 200 day trend before regaining it -- the recovery of 200 day linear MA is where there is bullish trend, and hope for price gain.

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 15,
BTCUSD: crash christmas still in sight
111 0 4
BTCUSD, 15
crash christmas still in sight

finger crossed for a nice big crash!

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 120,
BTCUSD: savor the crashes, manos
98 0 1
BTCUSD, 120
savor the crashes, manos

savor the fact that crashes yield very significant ROI, in the BTC universe. Instead of craving for explosive gains, you should pray for total and complete crashes.

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 30,
BTCUSD: falling apart
166 0 1
BTCUSD, 30
falling apart

look at the buy responses from the same price over the past few days. Losing momentum. How can you expect to jump on something from this point, without a serious dump? This document is for information and illustrative purposes only. It is not, and should not be regarded as “investment advice” or as a “recommendation” regarding a course of action, including ...

mortonpeak mortonpeak PRO BTCUSD, 30,
BTCUSD: bottoms and recoveries, post crash
88 0 0
BTCUSD, 30
bottoms and recoveries, post crash

When BTC has the opportunity to recover from a crash, change trend and exit downturns of late, it results in a table top of angle 3 degrees or more. Then another crash takes place. We only have a 3 degree table top. So forget BTC recovery until the blue line above shows a reverse (200 day MA) This document is for information and illustrative purposes only. It is ...

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