mr.dmizer

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About me To do: tame the market dragon before you marry!
Joined Sweden
Markets Allocation
13 % forex 88 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GER 37% | 3 SPX 25% | 2 US30USD 12% | 1 CN50USD 12% | 1
mr.dmizer mr.dmizer CN50USD, D, Short ,
CN50USD: Dr. Hagopian visits China
40 0 6
CN50USD, D Short
Dr. Hagopian visits China

It appears to me that the Hagopian rule is about to play out and we are getting a chance to enter this trade with a very small stop. The Hagopian rule This rule is invoked once a confirmed pitchfork breaks without the price ever reaching the median line, what should follow is a bigger movement in the opposite direction.

mr.dmizer mr.dmizer US30USD, D, Short ,
US30USD: Least expected?
257 0 5
US30USD, D Short
Least expected?

Least expected now when U.S. indices are higher than ever? What if the new highs are merely a false breakout? I know this is not my first idea of this market, but I get new ideas as I learn.

mr.dmizer mr.dmizer SPX500, W, Long ,
SPX500: The ultimate uptrend [2016-2017]
618 3 13
SPX500, W Long
The ultimate uptrend [2016-2017]

I was bearish, but I must admit...the bulls have it. SPX has broken out of the range that it created in 2015 and has the potential to double it. Trend-wise we are in a trend inside a trend, inside another trend and all of them are pointing up. In other words the movement will be straight and rapid, but also terminal. At the top of the range the bulls will quickly ...

mr.dmizer mr.dmizer SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: The upcoming failure(s) in S&P 500 [2016-2017]
460 4 8
SPX500, D Short
The upcoming failure(s) in S&P 500 [2016-2017]

I have discovered a very simple and surprisingly effective way to construct pitchforks based on Hull MA (100), in all of the similar cases a sliding parallel near the middle line has worked as a high-probability target. Should price move so rapidly that it penetrates thru the middle line you can expect target #2 to be reached, however it is more common for price ...

mr.dmizer mr.dmizer UK100, 900,
UK100: UPON CONFIRMATION: 290 pips LONG ~ 5 990
63 0 1
UK100, 900
UPON CONFIRMATION: 290 pips LONG ~ 5 990

Seems to me that bulls were a bit hasty first time we tested the buying zone and not everybody had a chance to get in. This can of course be viewed as a presence of strong bullish mood by those who are willing to long below 5 990.

mr.dmizer mr.dmizer GER30, 900,
GER30: UPON CONFIRMATION: 410 pips SHORT ~ 10 250
75 0 1
GER30, 900
UPON CONFIRMATION: 410 pips SHORT ~ 10 250

Reasons for action: 1) Pitchfork lines commonly act as support/resistance. 2) Above 10 114 begins a selling zone. 3) Price has yet to re-test the middle line of the down-sloping pitchfork. 4) We are still inside of a working down-sloping pitchfork and as the price rises, so does the probability of bearish mood.

mr.dmizer mr.dmizer GER30, D,
GER30: Still a way to go down
527 0 2
GER30, D
Still a way to go down

I believe that DAX will hit critical buyers somewhere between 6 and 5 k, so there is a good way left. However we are now extending past the latest swing low, this movement cannot continue forever and should be exhausted by the time we reach 8 200s. In other words we may expect a surge back to 10 100s, where DAX should find more powerful sellers before it gets ...

mr.dmizer mr.dmizer GER30, W, Short ,
GER30: Lower at the beginning of 2016
300 0 4
GER30, W Short
Lower at the beginning of 2016

After a false breakout, followed by an acceleration to the downside, we briefly found ourselves visiting the red area (50 %) of the fib retracement. Essentially I took it as a clear sign of a dying bullish trend, but just like in every classic case we now made it back to the yellow area (23,6 %) before continuing to fall. The fall itself I expect will begin shortly.

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