sciencei

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About me Trading based on Technical Analysis, Behavioral- and Macroeconomics
Check out our website www.scienceinvesting.com
Markets Allocation
26 % forex 17 % indices 13 % cryptocurrency 44 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 13% | 14 SPX 13% | 14 USOIL 10% | 11 BTCUSD 5% | 6
sciencei sciencei SHCOMP, 180, Short ,
87 2 5
SHCOMP, 180 Short
China Among Leaders In Worldwide Topping Process Of Risky Assets

Emerging economies are most likely the leaders during the topping process of risky assets worldwide. The most prominent markets, China and Brazil, are already close to -20% below their early 2018 peak. We expect the topping process to persist during 2018 and eventually follow into a multimonth correction. This time lagged behavior has been typical throughout ...

sciencei sciencei USDJPY, 60, Short ,
249 0 8
USDJPY, 60 Short
Waiting for Pullback in USDJPY

The USDJPY is most likely in a mid-term downtrend. That is depicted by the pale green and blue channels. The current move up is most likely corrective and it is most likely mature. The black scenario is slightly more likely. However, red could also play out. That would be the case if an impulse gets near the dotted horizontal line. The first steps to that are an ...

sciencei sciencei DEU30, 45, Long ,
178 0 5
DEU30, 45 Long
Strong Signal For Dax

It appears as if the German Dax set up a nice bear trap last week. The drop from mid-May as well as the subsequent bounce appears to be 3 wave swings. Moreover, the other main European indices appear not done with their correction to the downside short-term. Depending on the intensity of a further selloff, Europe may set the path for the next big swing and ...

sciencei sciencei DEU30, 45, Long ,
105 0 3
DEU30, 45 Long
More than 250% performance on our TV Ideas within 6 Month!

We truly hope that many of you could take advantage of that! Tradingview not only provides a great platform for ideas but also for reference. That's great because you can reflect on what gets posted here. Go through that lets you evaluate good idea generators. Professionals who manage traders or have to choose among hedge funds typically put a heavy weight on ...

sciencei sciencei US10Y, 60, Short ,
131 0 3
US10Y, 60 Short
US Treasuries May Have Finished Correction

The T-Note Elliott wave structure looks corrective short term. We record a drop from the May high and a subsequent 3-wave bounce. The bounce reached a Fibonacci level of the previous drop. We carefully conclude that the trend direction changed to the downside. We need to see confirmation regarding that. A break of the pale green trend is a first big step of ...

sciencei sciencei DJI, 60, Long ,
335 0 3
DJI, 60 Long
Dow Not Done To The Upside

Momentum is picking up during the current advance to the upside. The black count becomes increasingly likely. The Dow Jones Elliott wave structure still needs to subdivide into at least one more down-up sequence before the rally wave since the end of May 2018 completes. At that point, it will be deciding whether our red scenario has any validity or not. That ...

sciencei sciencei EURUSD, 30, Long ,
241 2 5
EURUSD, 30 Long
Trade With The Trend

The Elliott wave structure looks incomplete to the upside. Moreover, the entire retracement from the end of May low looks way too small in relation to the typical Fibonacci retracements. Last but not least, the channel support within the grey channel to the upside did its job and produced a rejection. All in all, the trend continues most likely up unless today's ...

sciencei sciencei USDCHF, 1D, Short ,
155 0 3
USDCHF, 1D Short
Black Swan? Swiss Referendum On Sunday

One word of caution about the Swiss “Vollgeld” referendum this weekend. The Swiss public is voting on an initiative that basically requires banks to fulfill 100% reserve requirements. Effectively the monetary multiplier gets passed on to the Swiss National Bank. This is quite an event and may send serious shock waves through the market. We are reminded of early ...

sciencei sciencei USOIL, 60, Long ,
369 1 8
USOIL, 60 Long
Crude Trend Following

Crude did a textbook correction. It was sudden and hard and faked a break-out. Net speculative positioning came off further in crude. All in all, the upside may be clear for further progress. The crude Elliott wave pattern has probably completed its correction. A 61.8% Fibonacci got targeted and the bounce from the low appears impulsive. The next step is a break ...

121 0 6
NDX, 45
Nasdaq Short-Term Wave Structure

The Nasdaq does not look done to the upside. Momentum indicators confirm new highs. This shifts odds towards the black scenario. Nevertheless, the double-three combination remains possible. It is highlighted in red. Basically, the correction gets extended sideways within the red scenario. Sentiment readings are not signaling towards short-term overcrowded ...

sciencei sciencei SPX, 45, Long ,
331 0 6
SPX, 45 Long
SPX Trend Following

The S&P 500 Elliott wave structure remains bullish. Either the trend continues straight on towards a new all-time high or we might see some more sideways extension before resolving to the upside. Both scenarios appear equally likely at this stage. A trend following strategy inside the yellow trend channel looks like an attractive risk/reward from our perspective. ...

sciencei sciencei XAUUSD, 60, Long ,
267 0 7
XAUUSD, 60 Long
Expecting Double-Digit Gold Swing

Gold hangs around key levels after a potentially complete correction into minuette wave (b). Moreover, the rebound from this month low is inconclusive as we publish this. It looks overlapping and thus correcting but could still morph into a motive wave. The asset is approaching a trend intersection between the 1.5y contracting diagonal support and pale gray short- ...

sciencei sciencei EURUSD, 45, Long ,
198 0 3
EURUSD, 45 Long
Potential Ending Diagonal -> 1/3 Risk /Reward

The wave pattern may have traced out an ending diagonal since mid-May. This could be either part of a double zig-zag (red count) or just finishing minuette wave iii (black count). We suspect to be near the most significant bounce in Q2/2018 if we are dealing here indeed with an ending diagonal. The pattern is dead if 1.1544 trades to the downside. We would expect ...

sciencei sciencei USOIL, 60, Short ,
317 0 14
USOIL, 60 Short
Overdue Correction In Crude

Crude looks like it went up too fast and too far. The latest price action looks like a wedge within a wedge. A correction is likely. This particular trade idea shows a 2.5 / 1 Reward / Risk ratio. S/L & Target are within the green/red box on the chart. Good luck guys!

sciencei sciencei GBPUSD, 60, Short ,
394 0 8
GBPUSD, 60 Short
GBP Probaly Most Vulnerable Major

The short US Dollar trade and long GBP trade both come from severely overcrowded conditions. Speculative positions were caught off guard by the sharp reversal, which takes nearly a month as we publish this. It resulted in position unwinding. The GBPUSD Elliott wave structure is approaching a relief bounce. Momentum is diverging already. This signals that the ...

sciencei sciencei EURUSD, 240, Short ,
351 1 9
EURUSD, 240 Short
The Trend Is Your Friend!

Patience is now required for another attractive risk/reward trading opportunity. It will most likely arise as soon as we see a 3-wave bounce on the upside.  The EURUSD is most likely approaching another relief bounce. We see a divergence in our short-term strength indicators.  Our two preferred scenarios are depicted in the very first chart below. Both show a ...

360 0 6
SPX, 15
S&P 500 Big Picture

The S&P 500 Elliott wave structure is at an interesting junction. We have three possible scenarios on the top of our list. The main conclusion remains that all of them are likely to resolve to the upside. Our preferred interpretation is depicted in black. It forms a 1-2-1-2 setup after a completed double-three correction into minor wave 4. That version looks best ...

sciencei sciencei EURUSD, 45, Short ,
137 0 7
EURUSD, 45 Short
Trend Following 1:3 Risk/Reward Setup

The EURUSD is most likely within a relief bounce that is part of a third wave of minuette degree. We expect to see a fade of this bounce very soon. Alternation guidelines suggest a sideways pattern into subminuette wave iv. All wave action should take place well within the red downside trend channel. The green trend channel should function as resistance. The ...

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