McGuireTO

APH bears in full control

Short
TSX:APH   None
APH bulls had a gift this morning with a gap-up open breaking the hourly downtrend, and re-confirmed the hourly downtrend by giving back the entire move back, barely holding the low of Friday by 5c. The bulls couldn't even muster a small push up after opening bell, leaving the bears in full control and the opening price as the high of the day.

The range I'm watching is 17.37 - 20.57. If the low can hold I am anticipating a lower high on the daily roughtly in the $19.50 area at best, unless some news catalyst propells us higher.

Other than 17.37 there is absolutely no support on the chart until 15.76; the loss of that level, would break the weekly uptrend and be a red flag for investors with a much longer term mindset. I don't anticipate a straight drop to there and to break it, the most likely scenario would be to find a new support, bounce and set a daily lower high, then come down to test that support region.

Keep an eye on CGC, 1% away from a bear break on the daily chart. I've seen APH drop several dollars in a span of minutes before and it's already the weakest of the major sector names. The correlation to the sector leader, CGC, breaking bear will definitely favour the APH bears.

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