The for profit education sector has been losing market share for several years because of stiff competition from traditional universities moving to online platforms and tarnishing branding due to high education costs and poor career outcomes. Tougher regulation over government funding in regards to the 90/10 rule may also be lingering in the near future. Apollo Group is one of the giants in the space, although not notorious for predatory practices like Corinthian, will still be susceptible to the overall market forces that are squeezing the players in this industry.
Q1 FY15 earnings
was a wake up call that Apollo Group is still dropping in enrollment at an alarming rate as the firm blamed technical glitches in their new online classroom platform as the reason. I don't think Q2 is going to be much different, and investors have to wonder how much longer can cost cutting keep up with revenue drops before profit margin goes negative.
release comes out March 25th. I am short.