Waiting for clear engulfing candle (best when wick also engulfed) and after 1st candle close wait for confirmation with next candle (down wick of 1st engulfed with 2nd ) and that's good sign to go short. Take profit on support line (I think it will be also in dynamic support/resistance zone - between 30 and 50 simple ). R:R=~2 or better.
if you want to know the truth and see what i see - you don't need these MAs... only naked chart, watching price movements and dependences between groups of candles is all that you need... sometimes I add MA or MAs just to better illustrate example... forget about indicators and imagine that this graph is a snake... I will say more :) that snake always want to break through our "MA", but you don't have to see that "MA" drawn on chart, you must try to see "virtual-MA" in your head, because every strategy with 1 MA or 2 MAs or 3, 5, 7...100... MAs will fail... you must believe that only your "virtual-MA" will work :)