moneymaking
Short

AUDUSD: LONG TERM ANALYSIS BASED ON TIME AND SINE CYCLES !!!

FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar
Hello Traders,

Here I wanted to present everyone with a long term analysis based on TIME and SINE CYCLES methods. Looking at the monthly chart, we clearly see a strong bullish trend has been formed on this pair, which is easily seen by the formation of NSH's and NSL. Now at least we know that in the long run, we should be bullish on this pair. Next we determine if this pair is in a specific time cycle by shifting around the monthly cycle arc and we can see that this market is in a 2740 days or 391 weeks or 90 month time cycle. Every time we came close to the end of 90 month time cycle, we were exactly at the lowest points on this pair. The weekly cycle also lines up perfectly with the monthly time cycle and also the sine cycle.

So the absolute best place to look for long entries on this pair is when we hit the coming up monthly cycle arc, which is most likely to occur around April/1/2016 . We also recently got a valid break and close below one of the monthly trend lines and currently we are waiting for a retest of that trend line before going lower. I have also placed a pending short order close to the broken trend line, with -100 pips stop loss and +693 pips of potential target which is at the 2nd monthly trend line. This 2nd trend line is where I most likely expect to see a strong trend reversal on this pair. Of course I won't be blindly placing a long pending order at that 2nd trend line, that would be considered gambling. But instead that would be the level at which I will be most interested in taking long positions on this pair.

That's all I wanted to cover for this FX:AUDUSD             pair, I hope I didn't overwhelm anyone with a long description :)

I have added links to other pairs that I analyzed using this method, under the RELATED IDEAS section below. Do check them out if you require more information for time and sine cycles analysis.

Please feel free to AGREE or DISAGREE with this idea by leaving a comment below. Hit that thumbs up button (top left corner of this chart) if you like the idea. Thank you everyone for all the SUPPORT that you have given me so far, I truly appreciate it. Good luck everyone :)
That's a nice projection. If anything, it's colorful!
+2 Reply
moneymaking EverythingForex
a year ago
Hey mate, Thank you. Hehe :)
Reply
EverythingForex PRO moneymaking
a year ago
I've seen and know a little about sine cycles but I've never really put them into use in my trading because I don't prefer to trade based on time cycles or fib cycles. But your sine analysis does match with my own monthly analysis on this pair. So I guess that's something, huh? GL!
+1 Reply
moneymaking EverythingForex
a year ago
Ya mate, I actually don't specifically trade only based on time and sine cycles, I use them to find POTENTIAL major lows in a certain pair. Once you know on which side you should likely be on for the long run, then you just go down to the lower time frames to find long entries with lower risks involved. Those will most likely turn out to be potentially high probability trade setups :)
+1 Reply
FullTimeTrader
a year ago
Does this something to do with Hurst cycles? I attended a webinar and there is hole science behing that. Many interesting things to learn!! but i want to go step by step, may be next year.......
+1 Reply
moneymaking FullTimeTrader
a year ago
Hey mate, I am not really familiar with the Hurst cycles. I just recently read about this method in different technical trading books.
Reply
IvanLabrie PRO moneymaking
a year ago
Constance Brown mentions these in her book: http://www.amazon.com/Technical-Analysis-Trading-Professional-Edition/dp/007175914X

It's a good read.
+1 Reply
moneymaking IvanLabrie
a year ago
Awesome, thank you so much mate. Highly appreciate you sharing good reads with all of us. Cannot thank you enough :)
+1 Reply
IvanLabrie PRO moneymaking
a year ago
No prob, it's what this site is for.
+1 Reply
BuddySav
a year ago
Cheers for this chart! readings/papers to apply these cycles? Thanks a lot!
+1 Reply
moneymaking BuddySav
a year ago
Hey mate, thank you. Appreciate it. I would say that in almost all technical trading books, you would find this type of analysis technique :)
Reply
moneymaking
a year ago
UPDATE #1: Trade is ACTIVE now !!!
Reply
IvanLabrie PRO moneymaking
a year ago
Great, might work nicely.
+1 Reply
moneymaking IvanLabrie
a year ago
Hey mate, thank you. Yeah hoping for the best. Fed news might screw things up, that's what its famous for :(
Reply
IvanLabrie PRO IvanLabrie
a year ago
snapshot


Entered as well, nice confluence of levels, and also that bearish bat GcNaif found.
+1 Reply
moneymaking IvanLabrie
a year ago
Awesome, let's hope the fed don't screw things up for us :)
Reply
aibek
a year ago
Hello! Very nice chart! Agree with broken trend. All is clear except second lower blue trend line where you set your target - how did you build it?
+1 Reply
moneymaking aibek
a year ago
Hey AibekB, thank you appreciate it. Do you mean, how I built the 2nd lower trend line?
Reply
aibek moneymaking
a year ago
Yes please
+1 Reply
moneymaking aibek
a year ago
Sure mate, I connected the 2001-04-02 low's with 2001-09-03 low's. Have a look at the chart below. Does that clear things up a bit? Do ask more questions if you require further clarification :)

snapshot
Reply
aibek moneymaking
a year ago
Ah ok, thanks for clarification, just closest troughs!
+1 Reply
moneymaking aibek
a year ago
Yeah, you got it. No problem :)
Reply
moneymaking
a year ago
UPDATE #2: Stopped out for -100 pips. Will be looking to re-enter into the short position on a potential second retest of the trend line AFTER the September monthly candle closes.

snapshot
+1 Reply
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