Buy crude on the latest commitment of reduction? 30% Opportunity

OANDA:BCOUSD   Brent Crude Oil
Waiting to get long Crude at a cheap level for some time. Price didn´t yet made it into my entry area around 45$.
Recently price showed 2 technical signs of short-term downtrend which made me confident to see lower prices. 1) break of uptrend line and 2) break of last swing low.
Looking for price to hit 45$ before rally may continues toward 60`s