In this example, we've highlighted two big moves for Trump and Biden that occurred after the first debate in late September. Biden seemed to breakout while Trump hit a peak. Of course, polling results do not always tell the full story. The 2016 general election demonstrated how polls don't always tell the full story. Nonetheless, it's interesting to see how the polls might move markets in the short term. Here are some ideas you can research yourself:
1. Trump vs. energy XLE: energy stocks have been getting demolished since the first debate.
2. Biden vs. solar TAN: solar stocks have been climbing since the first debate.
3. General election vs. Nasdaq-100: big tech, as measured by the QQQ , is up over 6% since the first debate.
4. General election vs. crypto: do crypto markets care who wins? Are they immune to election results?
We hope you enjoy this new data and put it to good use. Our goal is to give you as much information as possible so that you can make the best decisions. The data comes from Real Clear Politics who uses the average of 10 national polls including , the Economist, Reuters, CNBC, Fox, The Hill, and six more.
If you have any questions or comments, please leave them below. Our team will do their best to help.
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Time will soon confirm if it is.