NASDAQ:BND   VANGUARD BD INDEX FUND INC TOTAL BOND MARKET ETF
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Bonds are dropped...

Please help me here - what does this mean exactly ?
Comment: In my opinion this is a fake rally and the flash crash is building up... see also this:
Comment: lack of a good interest rate and also lack of capital is making Asian powers to withdraw from bond markets in general.
It means long term interest rates are dropping despite the FED trying to raise short term rates. That's called Deflation...
+1 Reply
LoLBeach Cincinnatuus
@Cincinnatuus, Thank You Sir ! So basically the central interest rate is too high...
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Gold is down and USD is up due to "blockbuster" non-farm payroll numbers. US treasury secretary is on TV drumming up support for the economy. US Fed chairman will speak in ~20 minutes. Bulls coming out at the moment.

Let's see what happens after the Fed speech. If he does not rock the boat, expect bullish moves for the moment.
+1 Reply
AetherMass AetherMass
Also, the US is sending a deputy-level delegation to China for trade talks on Monday and Tuesday. Bulls like this as well.
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LoLBeach AetherMass
@AetherMass, Zebra told me yesterday that Fake News will start working. Employment is not the real economy ! Delivery is ... and delivery sucks across board...
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@LoLBeach, Every news channel has their spin. The Bloomberg anchor was asking Kudlow some hard questions. Kudlow downplayed all of the delivery concerns that the Bloomberg anchor mentioned.
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LoLBeach AetherMass
@AetherMass, your insight is golden. fake rally... - you cannot downplay USDJPY ... maybe the stocks - for few days. that's all.
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@LoLBeach, Well, we cannot know the timeline. It could be days, weeks, or months. Trump did get elected president in this crazy environment. I'm still very new at trading; less than a year being active but I have been watching and reading for five years. The insight that I have gotten from others is that this is an emotional market and that politics are much more involved than normal.

These emotional and political factors seem to be encouraging this volatility. Many experienced traders that I follow are very concerned or are full bearish due to the "hard data" that has been released. The US gov leadership wholly denies there are issues -- but this is doublespeak a la Orwell's 1984 because many reports/numbers contradict the US gov leadership's message.

So, the market movements end up being based on beliefs. Beliefs that Trump will deliver trade deals. Beliefs that the Chinese economy will not impact the US because the trade between the interaction between the two countries is smaller than people think. Beliefs that the housing numbers delayed by the gov shutdown will be fine. Beliefs that the Fed will not make a policy mistake -- but good jobs numbers mean the economy is healthy and further rate hikes are ok ... right?

Emotions. Politics. Beliefs. Doublespeak.

This is a dangerous environment. Be careful with your capital.
+1 Reply
LoLBeach AetherMass
@AetherMass, is even worse... they synchronize political action with lack of volumes and committing the crime in "dead" days. Is no coincidence that they act Fridays or during celebrations in order to "fix" the market. Is all make-up.
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@LoLBeach, Absolutely true. Market manipulation is legal BUT only in the bullish direction. Another example is Apple's earning revision. They released it after hours on the first trading day of the year. Why? This encourages institutions and fund managers to keep it on the books because there is time for it to recover before the next quarterly report. I would bet that Apple relayed some warning/information to gov before the release as well.
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