Bitcoin - continuation pattern or a top?
Determining whether the pattern is a continuation or a top pattern can be challenging. One signifies a bullish trend while the other indicates a bearish trend, and we find ourselves amidst a 4-week range on the bitcoin chart. So, how do you proceed?
To analyse the situation, I typically examine the chart across various time frames. In the case of Bitcoin, both the daily and weekly charts present a mixed picture, leaving room for either pattern interpretation. However, the monthly chart suggests we might be approaching the upper boundary of a 4-year channel (refer to the chart below), though it's not conclusive yet. Zooming back to the daily chart, we observe that the market is encountering the 20-day moving average at 67,414, while on the 4-hourly chart, it appears to be stalling near the top of the cloud.
This additional insight is beneficial. Considering the proximity to the upper boundary of the 4-year channel, the moving average, and the cloud, our inclination leans towards a downside bias, particularly if the market remains capped by the 20-day moving average.
To confirm a downward trend, we would need to breach the recent low at 59,705. However, if our assessment is incorrect, a key indicator to watch for would be a close above the 20-day moving average, redirecting focus towards the upper boundary of the 4-month range, currently around 72,200. A close above this level would bolster the case for a continuation pattern, with further confirmation above the March high of 74,415.
#bitcoin #patterns #technicalanalysis #lovecharts
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Determining whether the pattern is a continuation or a top pattern can be challenging. One signifies a bullish trend while the other indicates a bearish trend, and we find ourselves amidst a 4-week range on the bitcoin chart. So, how do you proceed?
To analyse the situation, I typically examine the chart across various time frames. In the case of Bitcoin, both the daily and weekly charts present a mixed picture, leaving room for either pattern interpretation. However, the monthly chart suggests we might be approaching the upper boundary of a 4-year channel (refer to the chart below), though it's not conclusive yet. Zooming back to the daily chart, we observe that the market is encountering the 20-day moving average at 67,414, while on the 4-hourly chart, it appears to be stalling near the top of the cloud.
This additional insight is beneficial. Considering the proximity to the upper boundary of the 4-year channel, the moving average, and the cloud, our inclination leans towards a downside bias, particularly if the market remains capped by the 20-day moving average.
To confirm a downward trend, we would need to breach the recent low at 59,705. However, if our assessment is incorrect, a key indicator to watch for would be a close above the 20-day moving average, redirecting focus towards the upper boundary of the 4-month range, currently around 72,200. A close above this level would bolster the case for a continuation pattern, with further confirmation above the March high of 74,415.
#bitcoin #patterns #technicalanalysis #lovecharts
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
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