day0

BTC 4h may reach bottom between 2024-02-01 and 2024-02-11

day0 Updated   
INDEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
BTCUSD 4h chart may reach bottom between 2024-02-01 and 2024-02-11.

This analysis is based off of:
  • historical data;
  • trend analysis;
  • previous cycles near halving; &
  • laying multiple different analysis together to obtain confirmation of a best estimated time of for the bottom.


Note: This is subject to known unknowns; such as outside variables and black swan events (small or large) that may shift the market price of BTCUSD .
Comment:
This is an extremely weak support (at $36900) time-base calculation only (for 2024-02-11 specifically). However, I did some additional price analysis (aside from the time-based) and it seems that that $29000 to $29999 is also very possible (more support with a slightly longer timeline). It is worth pointing out that (general speaking) $30000 minus a 13.5% annual estimated high annual inflation number would result near a: $26431 zone. Also, for just a 13.5% annual high inflation example adjustment calculation:
$25950x1.135= $29453.25
Comment:
Stronger Support Lines:
Comment:
enhanced (black & white) what a repeat of the 2020 Q1 crash may look like if in Q1 2024:
Comment:
Image for this Idea:
Comment:
Comment:
BTCUSD 1D $40156 to $43345 with a close eye on $36963
(click to play)
Comment:
BTC 2h $40156 to $43345 with a close eye on $36963
(click to play)
Comment:
3h
Comment:
DCA limit buy $39866.60 (target next 30 days)
$42166.60 and $41266.60 are close also.
Comment:
4h BTCUSD DCA entry $39866.60
(click to play)
Comment:
recent DCA peaks: 2023-12-08 ; 2024-01-01; 2024-01-08; 2024-01-30; & 2024-02-07
Comment:
The 8th (increase) to 12th (decrease) of 2024-01.
Now the 8th (increase) to 12th (decrease) of 2024-02 'may' repeat.
However, I expect that the 12th 'can' be the next bottom's end.
Comment:
1W BTC DCA Analysis with Price Labels:
Next Possible DCA Target: near 2024-02-12
(click to play)
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.