BTC/USD what outcome will be 1 or 2?

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar

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Comment: it's a question for everyone, I wonder how everyone thinks
If I had to give my best guess based on everything I would say we are going to go up before we crash down pretty hard, but we all know what this market can be like and may just decide to crash now.
up or down? This does seem to be the question all the time, ;-)
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