BTC: Hash Ribbons Buy Signal. What can be derived from this?

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Let’s take a look at the performance of this indicator in the past

May & June 2012

Bitcoin went straight up after the signal in May. A 10% decline after the signal in June and then 100% gain

February 2013

BTC had a monster pump after the signal (I do not think that this pump will repeat this time)

January - June 2015

In 2015 Hash Ribbons gave us three Buy signals. After the first one BTC firstly dropped by 11% and then went up by 37%. However the second Buy signal is of particular interest, because BTC did barely nothing but small fluctuations after the signal. The third one was a classic go-straight-up-after-the-signal.

August 2016

In August 2016, after the halving in July, Bitcoin pumped up right after the Hash Ribbons Buy signal and doubled in price in 4 months

January 2019

Hash Ribbons Buy signal in January 2019 led to a small decline (-8%) before a moonshot of +283%

December 2019

After the buy signal BTC dropped by 5% before a 45% gain
In April 2020 BTC moved up right after the Buy signal and topped after a 34% rise

Now in July we again got a Hash Ribbons Buy signal. Based on the history of this indicator, we can expect BTC finally break through the declining resistance trendline coming from 20k top. But hold your horses, BTC can still pull back by 5-15% after the signal (in this case we would finally hit the 200-Day MA)

For a mid-term long confirmation we need a break above 10k. For aggressive traders out there you could jump in above 9.5k at the break of the sequence of lower highs.

Regarding the upside move, let’s be conservative and measure 30% up from the signal. That will put us at 12k. So, either way, we are talking about a pretty Big Move.

Let’s take a look at Bollinger Bands Width (in other words, how tight the Bollinger Bands are right now) and compare it to what we have in the past

We see that Bollinger Bands Width is completely crushed right now suggesting that a volatility spike will follow soon while Hash Ribbons Buy signal has just appeared.


What do you think about it? Share your thoughts in the comments!




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The information given is never financial advice. Always do your own research

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